Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto have made the most of Braga’s recent slump and will hope to finish the season strongly when they host Nacional. In the run-up to the final round, Porto have secured third place, and Nacional will be staying up. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Last time out, in a clash that saw two players sent off, Porto did well to edge Boavista 2-1. Now on 68 points, that win opened up a three-point gap against fourth-placed Braga.
They may have targeted a Champions League return, but the Europa League won’t be too bad, given the season they’ve had. At home, Porto lost only once and won 12 of 16 league matches.
Nacional were, for long periods this season, struggling for survival. That is now assured, and they will be looking to complete a double on Porto.
In the reverse meeting back in January, Nacional posted a shock 2-0 win over Porto. That was their only win in 10 meetings with Porto. The run-up to this game hasn’t been great, but Nacional had already done enough for survival.
They are coming off a run of four winless outings, losing twice in the process. In their 18 away matches across all competitions this season, Nacional managed just two wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Nacional Madeira Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.1 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Nacional Madeira?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Nacional Madeira match is: Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Porto and Nacional Madeira in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.85% for a win of Porto against Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Nacional Madeira is 20.26% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Madeira vs Porto with odds of 9.5 at Betobet.
Porto - Nacional Madeira Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Nacional Madeira Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 58.85% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 57.03% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 29.58% | 1.92 at Unibet |
Porto vs Nacional Madeira Form
Porto and Nacional Madeira's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 35 |
|
14
|
34 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -18 |
Porto and Nacional Madeira Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Nacional Madeira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
12 Jan 2021 - Taca de Portugal
20 Dec 2020 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2019 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2019 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Nacional Madeira Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
I. Jaime
Most goals and assists
Porto
Nacional Madeira
S. Aghehowa
(25 Goals)
L. Teodora da Silva
(6 Goals)
F. Moura
(9 Assists)
L. Teodora da Silva
(4 Assists)
Porto - Nacional Madeira Key Points
- Nacional are winless in their last four matches.
- Porto’s last five home fixtures saw 16 goals scored.
- Three of Nacional’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Porto lost once and won 12 times in their 16 home league games.
- Nacional have two wins only in 18 away matches in all competitions.
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Our Porto vs Nacional Madeira Prediction
There isn’t much more to play for in the final round for these two sides. Porto will, however, still be the favorites. They come into this game on a strong run of form at home and against Nacional too.
Their recent home matches have been high-scoring, and this trend could continue into the final game of the season. Nacional have the chance to seal a double over the Portuguese giants, but their recent form hasn’t indicated they can achieve that. Our prediction for Porto v Nacional is for Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Nacional Madeira
| Porto vs Nacional Madeira | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.33 | 1.3 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.5 | +10.0% |
| Nacional Madeira wins | 9.5 | 9 | -5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 76.9% (1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Nacional Madeira game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Porto and Nacional Madeira? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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