Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in FA Cup Predictions
Port Vale play host to Fleetwood at Vale Park in the third round of the EFL FA Cup. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.
Port Vale comes into this match under new management. Jon Brady has been appointed head coach after the sacking of Darren Moore due to poor league results.
The Valiants find themselves anchored at the bottom of the League One table with 18 points after 23 games. Their recent match against Blackpool concluded in a 5-1 home victory. That result ended a four-match winless run, including a three-match losing streak.
Jon Brady's men now turn their attention to the FA Cup. They are in the third round of this competition after defeating Maldon & Tiptree (5-1) and Bristol Rovers (1-0).
Fleetwood Town have also been behind unfavorable results in the EFL League Two. They have navigated three league games without a win (D1, L2). Their most recent setback came against Grimsby, suffering a 1-0 home defeat.
The Fishermen will be hoping to put an end to that unwanted run when they face Port Vale in the third round of the FA Cup.
Pete Wild's men defeated Barnet 2-1 in the first round before meeting a resilient Luton Town side in the second round. Fortunately, they triumphed 4-2 on penalties after a 2-2 draw in regular time.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Port Vale v Fleetwood Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.58 | 4.31 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.75 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town?
Our prediction for the Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/01/2026 between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.39% for a win of Port Vale against Fleetwood Town with odds of 1.88 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town is 29.53% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Fleetwood Town vs Port Vale with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
Port Vale - Fleetwood Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Port Vale Fleetwood Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins | 39.39% | 1.88 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.14% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Port Vale | 18.62% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Form
Port Vale and Fleetwood Town Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
22 Nov 2025 - League One
15 Nov 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
29 Nov 2025 - League One
8 Nov 2025 - League One
18 Oct 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
9 Dec 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
9 Dec 2025 - League Two
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
22 Nov 2025 - League Two
15 Nov 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League Two
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
60 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
8 Mar 2025 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
27 Feb 2024 - League One
3 Feb 2024 - League One
Players list
B. Amos
DefenderB. Heneghan
C. Humphreys
M. Clarke
J. Headley
MidfielderG. Byers
R. Croasdale
J. Shipley
G. Hall
ForwardD. Brown
D. Cole
J. Lynch
DefenderS. Rooney
H. Holgate
J. Powell
K. Hughes
MidfielderM. Virtue
M. Helm
E. Bonds
ForwardE. Ennis
W. Davies
C. Evans
Substitutes
J. Gauci
DefenderJ. Lawrence-Gabriel
L. Gordon
K. John
MidfielderF. Ojo
ForwardJ. Stockley
B. Waine
L. Hewitson
DefenderT. Mullarkey
C. Haughey
MidfielderH. Neal
O. Devonport
G. Morrison
L. Roberts
Port Vale - Fleetwood Town Key Points
- Port Vale have seen two of their last three home games end with under 2.5 goals.
- Fleetwood Town are conceding 0.9 goals per game when playing away.
- Port Vale have failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- Fleetwood Town have seen each of their last three matches end with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction
Port Vale and Fleetwood Town might be meeting for the first time in the FA Cup, but they've crossed paths 17 times. Of those matches, the former holds a slight advantage with six wins. However, this could turn out to be a cagey affair.
Both teams have lacked the cutting edge in the final third this season. Port Vale have failed to score in three of their last four matches, while Fleetwood are three outings without finding the net, with each of those matches producing under 2.5 goals. Our Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town prediction: less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Port Vale Fleetwood Town
| Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins | 1.76 | 1.88 | +6.8% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Fleetwood Town wins | 4.5 | 4.33 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Port Vale is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.8% and is now 53.2% (-3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Port Vale vs. Fleetwood Town game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
