Poland vs Romania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Poland and Romania are still searching for their first wins in the UEFA Nations League. They will face off on Friday, with hosts Poland looking to add to their single point as bottom-placed Romania seek their first point. In the two nations’ struggles, high scores were recorded, and our prediction backs the same here.
Poland added to their winless run in the last outing as they fell 3-1 against Sweden in their second Group B4 match. That left them third in the pool, with a point, three behind second-placed Bosnia.
At this point, an instant return to League A looks tough, as in the longer run, they’re winless in seven UNL games.
Romania will head to Warsaw looking to add to their hosts’ woes. However, a win here means much more to them, as they’ve suffered back-to-back defeats in the group.
In their last outing they lost 2-1 to Bosnia & Herzegovina. Rather than securing a first-ever League A slot, an instant return to League C looks likely for the visitors. This year, they have only managed one win (2-1 against Wales) and lost four times in six matches.
It doesn’t paint a great picture either, that Romania’s only win since the start of 2025 was against San Marino. They come here winless in seven away games, five being defeats.
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Poland v Romania Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.54 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 6.07 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.2 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.2 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.26 | 5.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Romania?
Our prediction for the Poland vs Romania match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2026 between Poland and Romania in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.64% for a win of Poland against Romania with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Romania is 29.59% with odds of 4.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Romania vs Poland with odds of 6.07 at 1xbet.
Poland vs Romania Form
Poland and Romania's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Poland and Romania Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Poland vs Romania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jun 2017 - World Cup
11 Nov 2016 - World Cup
Poland vs Romania last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Kochalski
S. Abramowicz
DefenderW. Monka
T. Kedziora
P. Frankowski
K. Potulski
MidfielderB. Slisz
M. Regula
K. Urbanski
ForwardK. Swiderski
R. Lewandowski
M. Skoras
O. Hindrich
V. Cojocaru
DefenderS. Borza
T. Strata
V. Ghita
MidfielderD. Matei
T. Baluta
A. Cicaldau
C. Cirjan
O. Morutan
ForwardF. Tanase
L. Munteanu
Most goals and assists
Poland
Romania
S. Szymanski
(1 Goals)
D. Man
(1 Goals)
,
A. Cicaldau
(1 Goals)
,
D. Birligea
(1 Goals)
N. Zalewski
(1 Assists)
A. Ratiu
(1 Assists)
,
L. Eissat
(1 Assists)
Poland and Romania Stats in UEFA Nations League
Poland - Romania Key Points
- Nine goals have been scored in Romania’s two UNL matches.
- On average, 3.2 goals were netted in Romania’s last five outings.
- Poland scored seven times in their last two home games against Romania.
- An average of 2.6 goals were scored in Romania’s last five visits to Poland.
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Our Poland vs Romania Prediction
This match has a ‘must-win’ feel to it, which will give Poland the advantage as they play at home. The Poles have posted three straight wins over Romania, and it isn’t just that; they’ve also been high-scoring. In the aforementioned three meetings, Poland scored 10 times while conceding just twice.
Romania are coming here in worse shape, having conceded six goals in just the opening two games. With this match having a history of high scores, our prediction for Poland v Romania is for over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
