Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Parma
27/12/2025 06:30
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina will look to move off the basement of the Serie A table when they host a relegation-threatened Parma on matchday 17. This match on Saturday in Parma between the 17th-placed Crusaders and the 20th-placed Viola comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

Parma’s 14 points in the league campaign (W3, D5, L7) put them two points above the relegation zone. Fiorentina have nine points (W1, D6, L9) and are five points deep in the relegation zone.

Parma lost to nine-man Lazio 1-0 at home in their last matchday fixture for a second defeat in three games (W1). With four losses from their seven recent league games (W2, D1), they are struggling to find the right answers.

The hosts have struggled at this venue in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last six home Serie A fixtures (D2, L4). That included three defeats out of their last four (D1) as the Crusaders continue to flounder at this venue.

Fiorentina thrashed Udinese 5-1 at home for their first league win of the season. They are still deep in the relegation zone, with that victory coming after three consecutive league losses.

The struggle for Fiorentina grows manifold on the road, where Fiorentina have lost four of their five recent league trips (D1), including two in a row.

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The Best Betting Odds for Parma v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.5 3 2.25
Betfred
3.3 3.2 2.25
William Hill
3.25 3 2.25
Unibet
3.45 3.1 2.2
Betway
3.25 3.2 2.25
Check all Parma vs Fiorentina odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Parma vs Fiorentina match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Parma and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.51% for a win of Parma against Fiorentina with odds of 3.6 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Fiorentina is 31.15% with odds of 3.21 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Parma with odds of 2.38 at 888Starz.

Parma vs Fiorentina Form

Parma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17
Parma
Parma
14 15 3 5 7 -8
20
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
9 16 1 6 9 -10

Parma and Fiorentina Last Matches

Parma
Parma Last matches
D W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Udinese

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Parma

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan
L D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Udinese

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce
D D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Parma

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Parma
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina
L D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Juventus

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Fiorentina

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Parma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

0 %

Draw

83 %

Fiorentina

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
1.33
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Parma

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  3
Parma

7 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Fiorentina

5 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Parma vs Fiorentina last Lineups

Parma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

40
E. Corvi
27
S. Britschgi
15
E. Del Prato
5
L. Valenti
14
E. Valeri
10
A. Bernabe
8
N. Estevez
16
M. Keita
21
G. Oristanio
9
M. Pellegrino
7
A. Benedyczak
20
M. Kean
10
A. Gudmundsson
65
F. Parisi
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
27
C. Ndour
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
15
P. Comuzzo
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Fiorentina

Missing players

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

Z. Suzuki

Defender

A. Circati

N. Ndiaye

Midfielder

A. Bernabe

Forward

M. Frigan

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

R. Gosens

L. Ranieri

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

A. Sabiri

R. Mandragora

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Parma
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Mandragora (5 Goals) ,  Iceland A. Gudmundsson (5 Goals) ,  Italy M. Kean (5 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland S. Britschgi (2 Assists) , 
Poland A. Benedyczak (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy N. Fagioli (2 Assists) , 
Brazil Dodo (2 Assists)

Parma and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A

Parma
Parma
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
20%
Wins
6%
33%
Draw
38%
47%
Losses
56%
1.87
Total goals per match
2.75
0.67
Goals scored per match
1.06
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.69
33%
Over 2.5
63%
67%
Under 2.5
38%
40%
BTTS
69%
27%
Clean Sheet
13%

Parma - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. In five of Parma’s last eight matches in all competitions, both teams scored goals.
  2. Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of their last eight home league games.
  3. Seven of Fiorentina’s last ten competitive matches saw both teams score goals.
  4. Fiorentina saw both teams score goals in 11 of their 16 games this season, a league-high.
  5. Five of the last seven competitive matches between these sides produced goals from both teams.
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Our Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina broke their league duck of this campaign last matchday emphatically, when they thrashed Udinese 5-1. They are still rooted to the bottom of the standings but can improve their chances of avoiding the drop with a win here. Parma are one of Fiorentina’s direct challengers, and that makes this a relegation six-pointer. Both teams have had concerns at the back, and that could continue to haunt them here.

Goals could be the flavour of the day between two struggling defensive units, and our Parma vs Fiorentina prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction