Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Parma

27/12/2025 06:30

Fiorentina

Prediction :

BTTS

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Prediction published on 26/12/2025, 21:47 by Sridhar Bhamidi | Modified on 27/12/2025 at 08:30 in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina will look to move off the basement of the Serie A table when they host a relegation-threatened Parma on matchday 17. This match on Saturday in Parma between the 17th-placed Crusaders and the 20th-placed Viola comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

Parma’s 14 points in the league campaign (W3, D5, L7) put them two points above the relegation zone. Fiorentina have nine points (W1, D6, L9) and are five points deep in the relegation zone.

Parma lost to nine-man Lazio 1-0 at home in their last matchday fixture for a second defeat in three games (W1). With four losses from their seven recent league games (W2, D1), they are struggling to find the right answers.

The hosts have struggled at this venue in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last six home Serie A fixtures (D2, L4). That included three defeats out of their last four (D1) as the Crusaders continue to flounder at this venue.

Fiorentina thrashed Udinese 5-1 at home for their first league win of the season. They are still deep in the relegation zone, with that victory coming after three consecutive league losses.

The struggle for Fiorentina grows manifold on the road, where Fiorentina have lost four of their five recent league trips (D1), including two in a row.

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Parma v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
3.75	3.25	2.15
3.64	3.22	2.13
3.6	3.3	2.11
3.75	3.4	2.05
3.65	3.2	2.12

Check all Parma vs Fiorentina odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Parma vs Fiorentina match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Parma and Fiorentina in Serie A :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.56% for a win of Parma against Fiorentina with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Fiorentina is 31.13% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Our prediction model gives a 33.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Parma with odds of 2.15 at Stake.

Parma - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Parma Fiorentina Prediction	Probability	Odds
Parma wins	35.56%	3.85 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals	52.24%	2.08 at Betsson
Both Team To Score: No	50.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma	15.9%	8.25 at LSbet

Parma vs Fiorentina Form

Parma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	-18
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	-9

Parma and Fiorentina Last Matches

Parma Last matches

All Home Away

D W L L W L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 1

Lazio

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC

0 : 1

Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna

2 : 1

Parma

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 2

Udinese

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

1 : 2

Parma

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

2 : 2

AC Milan

L D L D L L

Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.5 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 1

Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 2

Udinese

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

2 : 2

AC Milan

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

1 : 3

Bologna

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 0

Como 1907

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 1

Lecce

D D L W L W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC

0 : 1

Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna

2 : 1

Parma

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

1 : 2

Parma

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma

2 : 1

Parma

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 0

Parma

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese

0 : 0

Parma

Fiorentina Last matches

All Home Away

L L W L L W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

5 : 1

Udinese

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport

1 : 0

Fiorentina

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

1 : 2

Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina

2 : 1

Dynamo Kyiv

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo

3 : 1

Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 0

Fiorentina

L D L W L W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

5 : 1

Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

1 : 2

Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina

2 : 1

Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina

0 : 1

AEK Athens

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

1 : 1

Juventus

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

0 : 1

Lecce

L L D L L L

Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

2.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport

1 : 0

Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo

3 : 1

Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 0

Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 2

Fiorentina

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

1 Fsv Mainz 05

2 : 1

Fiorentina

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan

3 : 0

Fiorentina

Parma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

0 %

Draw

83 %

Fiorentina

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

66.67%

BTTS

1.17

Goals scored

1.33

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina

0 : 0

Parma

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma

1 : 1

Fiorentina

6 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina

2 : 2

Parma

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Fiorentina

3 : 3

Parma

7 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Parma

0 : 0

Fiorentina

5 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Parma

1 : 2

Fiorentina

Parma against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Parma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

E. Corvi

S. Britschgi

A. Circati

L. Valenti

E. Valeri

A. Bernabe

M. Keita

O. Sorensen

J. Ondrejka

M. Pellegrino

A. Benedyczak

M. Kean

A. Gudmundsson

F. Parisi

C. Ndour

N. Fagioli

R. Mandragora

Dodo

M. Viti

P. Comuzzo

M. Pongracic

D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Fiorentina

Substitutes

Parma

Goalkeeper

V. Guaita

F. Rinaldi

Defender

M. Lovik

E. Del Prato

N. Trabucchi

Troilo

Midfielder

N. Estevez

J. Ondrejka 68'

B. Cremaschi

M. Keita 90'

C. Ordonez

A. Bernabe 81'

G. Oristanio

A. Benedyczak 68'

Hernani

Forward

T. Begic

P. Almqvist

M. Djuric

M. Pellegrino 90'

P. Cutrone

Fiorentina

Goalkeeper

T. Martinelli

L. Lezzerini

Defender

E. Kospo

N. Fortini

M. Viti 46'

R. Gosens

F. Parisi 76'

E. Kouadio

Midfielder

S. Sohm

C. Ndour 76'

Forward

E. Dzeko

R. Piccoli

R. Mandragora 63'

H. Caviglia

C. Kouame

P. Comuzzo 86'

Missing players

Parma

Defender

N. Ndiaye

Forward

M. Frigan

Fiorentina

Defender

L. Ranieri

Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Most goals and assists

Parma

Fiorentina

Top Goalscorer

M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

M. Kean (8 Goals)

Best assists

H. Caviglia (4 Assists)

Best assists

A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)

Parma - Fiorentina Key Points

In five of Parma’s last eight matches in all competitions, both teams scored goals.
Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of their last eight home league games.
Seven of Fiorentina’s last ten competitive matches saw both teams score goals.
Fiorentina saw both teams score goals in 11 of their 16 games this season, a league-high.
Five of the last seven competitive matches between these sides produced goals from both teams.

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Our Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina broke their league duck of this campaign last matchday emphatically, when they thrashed Udinese 5-1. They are still rooted to the bottom of the standings but can improve their chances of avoiding the drop with a win here. Parma are one of Fiorentina’s direct challengers, and that makes this a relegation six-pointer. Both teams have had concerns at the back, and that could continue to haunt them here.

Goals could be the flavour of the day between two struggling defensive units, and our Parma vs Fiorentina prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

BTTS

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Fiorentina

Parma vs Fiorentina	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Parma wins	3.15	3.85	+22.2%
Draw	3.1	3.4	+9.7%
Fiorentina wins	2.33	2.15	-7.7%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Parma is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 22.2% since opening
The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 26.0% (-5.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Parma v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Fiorentina?

Parma - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Parma vs Fiorentina Form

Parma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Parma and Fiorentina Last Matches

Parma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Parma - Fiorentina Key Points

Our Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Fiorentina