Pafos FC vs Riga FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Pafos FC
22/10/2026 12:45
Riga FC

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions

Pafos and Riga will face off on Matchday 2 in the Conference League at Alphamega Stadium on Thursday afternoon. Six combined goals were scored in these sides’ MD1 fixtures, and our prediction is that both teams will get on the scoresheet in this match. 

Pafos’ Conference League campaign kicked off on a disappointing note, losing 3-1 to Atalanta. They only managed 35% possession and ended with 0.94 xG despite creating three big chances. 

The Light Brigade then played to a goalless draw at home to APOEL at the weekend, which saw them slip to fifth in the Cypriot First Division. They have now won just one of their last four matches across all competitions. 

Notably, owing to Stelios Kyriakides Stadium not meeting UEFA standards, Pafos will play their home games in this competition in Kolossi. 

Meanwhile, Riga played out a 1-1 draw in their opening match of the UECL against Kairat Almaty, but they could have come away with all three points but for a Mohamed Badamosi missed penalty. 

However, Badamosi made up for his miss at the weekend by scoring the winner against Super Nova in the Virsliga, a result that extended Zilibaltie’s unbeaten run to eight games in all competitions. 

The visitors have won their last four competitive away games, while keeping clean sheets in three. 

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Pafos FC v Riga FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.63 4.00 5.00
1xbet
1.66 4.09 5.29
Melbet
1.63 4.02 5.20
Betwinner
1.63 4.02 5.20
22bet
1.63 4.02 5.20
Check all Pafos FC vs Riga FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Pafos FC and Riga FC?

Our prediction for the Pafos FC vs Riga FC match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Pafos FC and Riga FC in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.15% for a win of Pafos FC against Riga FC with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pafos FC vs Riga FC is 25.73% with odds of 4.09 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Riga FC vs Pafos FC with odds of 5.29 at 1xbet.

Pafos FC vs Riga FC Form

Pafos FC and Riga FC's standings in the Conference League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
19 Riga FC
1 1 0 1 0 0
32 Pafos FC
0 1 0 0 1 -2

Pafos FC and Riga FC Last Matches

Pafos FC
Pafos FC Last matches
D W L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Apoel Nicosia

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

11 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Anorthosis Famagusta
1 :  3
Pafos FC

18 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  2
AEL Limassol

13 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
0 :  1
Pafos FC

7 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Olympiakos Nicosia
W D W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Apoel Nicosia

18 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  2
AEL Limassol

7 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Olympiakos Nicosia

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Pafos FC
4 :  2
FC Dinamo City

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Pafos FC
3 :  3
Salzburg

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Pafos FC
4 :  0
Hajduk Split
D W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

11 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Anorthosis Famagusta
1 :  3
Pafos FC

13 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
0 :  1
Pafos FC

3 Sept 2026 - Super Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
0 :  1
Pafos FC

30 Aug 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Karmiotissa FC
0 :  3
Pafos FC

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Dinamo City
1 :  1
Pafos FC
Riga FC
Riga FC Last matches
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Virsliga

Riga FC
2 :  1
SK Super Nova

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Riga FC
1 :  1
Kairat Almaty

10 Oct 2026 - Virsliga

FK Tukums 2000/Tss
0 :  2
Riga FC

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aris Limassol
1 :  2
Riga FC

19 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

FK Jelgava
0 :  1
Riga FC

15 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

SK Super Nova
0 :  1
Riga FC
W W D D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Virsliga

Riga FC
2 :  1
SK Super Nova

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Riga FC
1 :  1
Kairat Almaty

11 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

Riga FC
2 :  2
FK Auda Riga

7 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

Riga FC
1 :  1
BFC Daugavpils

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Riga FC
2 :  1
KI Klaksvik

16 Aug 2026 - Cup

Riga FC
4 :  1
FK Metta Lu
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Virsliga

FK Tukums 2000/Tss
0 :  2
Riga FC

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aris Limassol
1 :  2
Riga FC

19 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

FK Jelgava
0 :  1
Riga FC

15 Sept 2026 - Virsliga

SK Super Nova
0 :  1
Riga FC

3 Sept 2026 - Cup

FK RFS
2 :  3
Riga FC

31 Aug 2026 - Virsliga

Liepajas Metalurgs
3 :  2
Riga FC
Pafos FC vs Riga FC Prediction

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Pafos FC
CD Huachipato Riga FC
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Biel (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands S. Oulad M Hand (1 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Anderson (1 Assists)
Best assists
Latvia M. Tonisevs (1 Assists)

Pafos FC and Riga FC Stats in Conference League

Pafos FC
Pafos FC
Riga FC
Riga FC
33%
Wins
57%
33%
Losses
0%
33%
Draws
43%
4
Average goals per match
2.86
2
Goals scored per match
1.86
2
Goals conceded per match
1
33%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
0%
No goals conceded
29%
100%
BTTS
71%

Pafos FC - Riga FC Key Points

  1. Pafos UECL opener ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Three of Riga’s last four matches ended with both teams scoring.
  3. Riga have scored two or more goals in four of their last six away games.
  4. The last two matches between these sides (both friendlies) produced 14 goals.
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Our Pafos FC vs Riga FC Prediction

While Pafos were unable to match the class of Atalanta in their Conference League opener last week, they were decent in attack as they managed to create three big chances and recorded five shots on target. 

Although Riga are on the road here, they have been in excellent form this season, entering this match unbeaten in their last eight in all competitions. This should be a close contest, and we fancy both sides to get on the scoresheet. Our Pafos vs Riga prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.