Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
In one of the biggest matches of matchday three of the league phase of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) on Wednesday, Bayern Munich will look to extend their unbeaten start against Arsenal, who are yet to drop a point this season. This match at the Allianz Arena between the 10th-placed ‘Bavarians’ and the 7th-placed ‘Gunners’ promises to be an exciting one for not just the fans of both clubs but also the neutral fans.
Bayern had to dig deep to come back from two goals down against Viking in their last round, only for a late red card to Michael Olise and a late equaliser to peg them back. They did come back at the weekend in the Bundesliga, but is that enough to challenge Arsenal?
Arsenal didn’t have a convincing game at the weekend, scraping past Nottingham Forest in a 1-0 result. While that has extended their winning sequence to three games, there are always concerns about their ability against high-pressure teams – notably against Brighton earlier this season. What do these sides have in store for us? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Bayern Munich v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.12 | 3.65 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.96 | 3.39 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.78 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.78 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.80 | 3.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2026 between Bayern Munich and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.92% for a win of Bayern Munich against Arsenal with odds of 2.15 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Arsenal is 10.35% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Bayern Munich with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Form
Bayern Munich and Arsenal's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
|
10
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 |
Bayern Munich and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup
23 May 2026 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
2 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
17 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup
19 Jul 2017 - International Champions Cup
7 Mar 2017 - Champions League
Bayern Munich - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Luis Diaz’s hat-trick helped Bayern cruise to a 6-1 home win over Leipzig at the weekend in the Bundesliga. That result helped them bounce back from the disappointing 3-3 away draw at Viking on matchday two. That shouldn’t take the sheen away from their impressive 5-0 home win over Bodoe/Glimt on matchday one.
Bayern are unbeaten in their ten seasonal games (W7, D3), which also has a run of four consecutive victories at this venue. That sequence saw them score 23 goals at nearly six goals per game.
Bayern’s last eight UCL matches averaged 5.5 goals per game.
Arsenal needed an 80th-minute goal from Noni Madueke to win 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. It was a third win in a row, nevertheless, a sequence that included a 3-0 home win over Lille in the last round of this competition.
The Gunners have also won 1-0 on matchday one, away against Napoli, and that forms part of a run of 14 consecutive wins in the UCL league phase. However, a run of five defeats from their last eight away games against German clubs (W1, D2) could be a concern on this trip.
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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ulreich
DefenderJ. Tah
A. Davies
H. Ito
J. Stanisic
S. Boey
MidfielderL. Karl
T. Bischof
ForwardS. Gnabry
I. Meslier
DefenderC. Mosquera
J. Timber
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Merino
ForwardM. Dowman
N. Madueke
V. Gyokeres
Missing players
J. Musiala
W. Saliba
P. Hincapie
MidfielderM. Zubimendi
ForwardC. Tzolis
Bayern Munich & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Olise is suspended for Bayern after his red card in the previous round, while Manuel Neuer missed last weekend’s match with a foot injury. Jonas Urbig could continue to be their goalkeeper, while Kim Min-Jae also remains doubtful.
The hosts are likely to continue in their 4-2-3-1 formation with Harry Kane likely to lead the line. He has nine goals and six assists to his name in competitive action this season, while Luiz Diaz has five goals.
Kane has scored in his last nine successive UCL games!
Arsenal have William Saliba out of contention, while Kepa Arrizabalaga was left out against Forest. Piero Hincapie and Christos Tzolis are also out of contention for the Gunners on this trip.
The visitors are also set to line up in their 4-2-3-1 formation, with Viktor Gyokeres pushing for a start as their lone striker. Bukayo Saka has four goals, while Declan Rice’s four assists make the duo a dangerous combination on the right flank.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Timber
(1 Goals)
,
B. Saka
(1 Goals)
,
E. Eze
(1 Goals)
M. Olise
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Karl
(1 Assists)
,
J. Kimmich
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Laimer
(1 Assists)
C. Tzolis
(1 Assists)
,
K. Havertz
(1 Assists)
,
N. Madueke
(1 Assists)
,
B. Saka
(1 Assists)
Bayern Munich and Arsenal Stats in Champions League
Bayern Munich - Arsenal Key Points
- Bayern’s last six matches have produced at least three goals.
- Twelve of Bayern’s last 13 matches at this venue have also seen three or more goals.
- Four of Arsenal’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Two of Arsenal’s last three away games have seen three or more goals.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Prediction
Bayern Munich had a shocking draw in the last round of the UCL, although they bounced back in style against Leipzig in the Bundesliga last weekend. Arsenal have extended their winning streak at the weekend with a narrow win, but they have shown ways to win despite not being at their best. Will that be enough, though?
Five of the last six UCL matches between these sides have produced at least three goals, and that’s likely to continue here, seeing the strength of both teams. Our Bayern Munich vs Arsenal prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Bayern Munich wins
Bayern have won five of their last seven home matches against Arsenal, and that includes a run of three successive victories. That aside, the Bavarians have also won five of their last six home games against English clubs, so backing Bayern Munich to win looks a sensible choice.
Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer
Harry Kane just can’t stop scoring! He has 13 goals and seven assists in his last ten matches for the club and country. He also loves facing Arsenal and has 15 career goals against the Gunners in addition to scoring in nine successive UCL games playing for the Bavarians. He’s more than likely to find the back of the net here.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
