Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Matchday 3 in the UEFA Champions League will see VfB Stuttgart taking on Atletico Madrid at MHPArena on Tuesday night. These sides have conceded just three goals combined over their first two matchdays, which sees us leaning toward a low-scoring outcome here as our main prediction.
Sebastian Hoeness’ side have made a perfect start on their return to Europe’s premier club competition. Die Schwaben made light work of Slovan Bratislava last Wednesday to move to fourth place in the UCL standings, and they have now won six of their last seven League Phase matches in European competitions.
Diego Simeone steered his team to a commanding victory against Man United to secure their first points of the UCL campaign last week. Los Colchoneros have been in stellar form across all competitions over the past month and pulled three points clear of third-placed Real Betis in La Liga with a solid win against Espanyol at the weekend. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.85 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.33 | 3.95 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.80 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.80 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.20 | 3.80 | 2.09 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/10/2026 between Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.98% for a win of Stuttgart against Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.35 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid is 5.83% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Stuttgart with odds of 2.24 at 888Starz.
Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Form
Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
15
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
Stuttgart - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
After an impressive 3-1 victory over Viking in their opening match of this season's Champions League, Stuttgart produced an even more dominant display to beat Slovan Bratislava 3-0 last week.
Die Roten recorded 64% possession and overperformed their 2.19 xG in Bratislava. However, they fell to a shocking 1-0 loss to Hamburger at the weekend, despite finishing the match with 2.28 xG.
This week’s hosts have won two and lost one of their three home games in all competitions this season. Notably, though, they have not kept a clean sheet at MHPArena since the middle of April.
This is the first competitive matchup between Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid!
Meanwhile, after squandering a 1-0 lead to lose 2-1 at Anfield on MD1, Atletico Madrid put in a commanding performance en route to a 2-0 victory over 10-man Man United last week.
Los Rojiblancos took just 53 seconds to take the lead against United. They ended that match with 58% possession, 1.47 xG, two big chances created, and 11 shots at goal (five on target).
Atleti followed up their victory over the Red Devils with a 1-0 win at Espanyol. They are now riding a stunning six-match win streak in all competitions, and have kept clean sheets in four games during this period.
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Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
F. Bredlow
DefenderL. Stergiou
L. Assignon
L. Jaquez
MidfielderG. Promel
C. Fuhrich
Y. Spalt
ForwardD. Pejcinovic
L. Sauer
J. Musso
DefenderJ. Dominguez
R. Le Normand
M. Llorente
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderR. Martinez Moya
J. Castillo
O. Vargas
A. Baena
ForwardA. Ortiz
J. Alvarez
A. Sorloth
Missing players
M. Mittelstadt
D. Zagadou
A. Al-Dakhil
MidfielderN. Nartey
ForwardT. Tomas
J. Diehl
Koke
J. Cardoso
Stuttgart & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
While there were plenty of positives to take from their victory on MD, arguably the biggest plus for Stuttgart was that Deniz Undaz broke his duck for the season. He finished with four shots on goal and 0.66 xG, and will be eager to build on that this week.
Emir Demirovic will be looking to return to the starting lineup here. He came off the bench to net his side’s third against Slovan, and now has four goals in the competition - joint-most alongside Erling Haaland and Nicolo Tresoldi.
The hosts are expected to be missing at least four players through injury for this match, including Ameen Al Dakhil, Maximilian Mittelstadt, Nikolas Nartey, and Tiago Tomas.
Alex Baena could be one to watch in this match!
Baena came on as a substitute and scored the winner against Espanyol at the weekend. He has now recorded six direct goal contributions in his last six matches for club and country and five shots at goal in his two UCL appearances.
Simeone opted to start Julian Alvarez and Alejandro Grimaldo on the bench in the last match, but both players are expected to feature from the off here, likely in place of Jonathan David and Dani Martinez, respectively.
The victory over Espanyol came at a cost for Atleti, with Cristian Romero sustaining a muscle injury. The Argentine centre-back will join Koke on the sidelines, while Johnny Cardoso is listed as a minor doubt.
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
Atletico Madrid
E. Demirovic
(4 Goals)
M. Llorente
(1 Goals)
,
P. Barrios
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Lookman
(1 Goals)
D. Undav
(2 Assists)
,
A. Stiller
(2 Assists)
J. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Baena
(1 Assists)
Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid Stats in Champions League
Stuttgart - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Four of Stuttgart’s last five matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Stuttgart conceded 0.78 and 0.63 xGA in their two UCL matches this season.
- Six of Atletico Madrid’s last seven matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Atletico Madrid have kept clean sheets in four of their last six games.
- Both Atletico’s UCL matches ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Stuttgart have made an excellent start to their Champions League campaign, but this is a much tougher assignment than in their last two matches against Viking and Slovan Bratislava by some distance.
Atletico Madrid arrive in Germany riding a six-match win streak, while keeping four clean sheets during this period. Given the visitors’ defensive record this season, we feel that there will be fewer than four goals scored in this one. Our Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction is under 3.5 goals.
Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Alternative Predictions
Alex Baena 2+ shots
Atletico Madrid wins
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Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid - FAQs
The Champions League match between Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid will be broadcast live on DAZN (Germany) and Telefónica (Spain). UK viewers can tune in to TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
