Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Monaco
22/10/2026 14:00
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions

A blockbuster Conference League matchup is on the cards this Thursday, with Monaco set to take on Freiburg at Stade Louis II. Five goals were scored between these sides on MD1, and our prediction is that we will see the net bulge at both ends in this one. 

After bowing out of the Champions League in the Playoffs last season, Monaco made a solid start to life in the Conference League last week, beating CSKA Sofia 2-1 on the road. 

Despite scoring both their goals in the first half and creating four big chances across the 90, the Red and Whites ended MD1 with just 1.20 xG, illustrating their ability to convert low-xG chances. 

The Monégasques have won three and drawn one of their four home games in all competitions this season, while scoring two or more goals in each of those matches. 

Meanwhile, Freiburg were runners-up in the Europa League last season, and they kicked off their UECL campaign this term with a thrilling 3-2 victory over Jablonec at home last week. 

The Breisgau-Brasilianer overperformed their 1.78 xG and created four big chances in that match. The concern for the German side, though, is that they have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches. 

The visitors’ away record this season reads as W3 D1 L1. They have only kept one clean sheet on the road since April 12 across all competitions. 

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Monaco v Freiburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.17 3.65 3.05
1xbet
2.26 3.61 3.15
Melbet
2.23 3.54 3.10
Betwinner
2.23 3.54 3.10
22bet
2.23 3.54 3.10
Check all Monaco vs Freiburg odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Freiburg?

Our prediction for the Monaco vs Freiburg match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Monaco and Freiburg in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.21% for a win of Monaco against Freiburg with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Freiburg is 18.84% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Monaco with odds of 3.15 at 1xbet.

Monaco vs Freiburg Form

Monaco and Freiburg's standings in the Conference League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Freiburg
3 1 1 0 0 +1
9 Monaco
3 1 1 0 0 +1

Monaco and Freiburg Last Matches

Monaco
Monaco Last matches
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Monaco

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

PFC CSKA Sofia
1 :  2
Monaco

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monaco
2 :  0
Pisa SC

18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  1
Lens

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Monaco
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monaco
2 :  0
Pisa SC

18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  1
Lens

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Marseille

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Monaco
4 :  1
Gornik Zabrze

6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monaco
1 :  0
Getafe
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Monaco

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

PFC CSKA Sofia
1 :  2
Monaco

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Monaco

4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  2
Monaco

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Monaco

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Gornik Zabrze
2 :  3
Monaco
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Freiburg

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
3 :  2
FK Jablonec

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  2
Freiburg

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Mönchengladbach

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
3 :  2
FK Jablonec

11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Schalke 04

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Mönchengladbach

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Werder Bremen

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Freiburg
4 :  1
Motherwell

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Freiburg
3 :  0
Crystal Palace
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Freiburg

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  2
Freiburg

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Paderborn
0 :  1
Freiburg

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  5
Freiburg

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Motherwell
1 :  3
Freiburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Greuther Furth
3 :  0
Freiburg
Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction

Monaco vs Freiburg last Lineups

Monaco

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
L. Hradecky
2
Vanderson
72
S. Sane
22
M. Salisu
20
Nazinho
8
L. Camara
6
D. Zakaria
18
T. Minamino
10
A. Golovin
31
A. Fati
11
M. Abline
31
I. Matanovic
7
D. Scherhant
42
K. Goto
19
J. Beste
16
Y. Engelhardt
8
M. Eggestein
33
J. Makengo
3
P. Lienhart
28
M. Ginter
29
P. Treu
1
M. Backhaus

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Freiburg

Substitutes

Monaco
Monaco
Goalkeeper

P. Kohn

Defender

C. Mawissa

J. Teze

Midfielder

E. Diop

P. Cabral

M. Coulibaly

Forward

M. Detourbet

M. Biereth

F. Balogun

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

C. Gunter

L. Kubler

M. Rosenfelder

Midfielder

V. Grifo

P. Osterhage

R. Yamamoto

Forward

C. Irie

L. Holer

Missing players

Monaco
Monaco
Defender

E. Dier

Midfielder

S. Idumbo-Muzambo

Forward

F. Balogun

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

B. Yilmaz

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

F. Muslija

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Monaco
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Fati (1 Goals) , 
Germany P. Brunner (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (1 Goals) ,  Germany M. Eggestein (1 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Brunner (1 Assists)
Best assists
Germany L. Kubler (1 Assists)

Monaco and Freiburg Stats in Conference League

Monaco
Monaco
Freiburg
Freiburg
100%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4.33
Average goals per match
4.67
3
Goals scored per match
3.33
1.33
Goals conceded per match
1.33
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
100%

Monaco - Freiburg Key Points

  1. Five of Monaco’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Monaco have scored two or more goals in all five of their home matches this season.
  3. Monaco and Freiburg recorded 1.20 and 1.78 xG on MD1, respectively.
  4. Each of Freiburg’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
  5. Freiburg have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
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Our Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction

Monaco enter this match off the back of a disappointing loss to Lorient on the road, but they have been excellent at home this season, still unbeaten after five games, while having scored two or more goals in each match. 

Freiburg also suffered defeat in their domestic league at the weekend. They have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away games but have only failed to score once in that period as well. Therefore, our Monaco vs Freiburg prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.