Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions
A blockbuster Conference League matchup is on the cards this Thursday, with Monaco set to take on Freiburg at Stade Louis II. Five goals were scored between these sides on MD1, and our prediction is that we will see the net bulge at both ends in this one.
After bowing out of the Champions League in the Playoffs last season, Monaco made a solid start to life in the Conference League last week, beating CSKA Sofia 2-1 on the road.
Despite scoring both their goals in the first half and creating four big chances across the 90, the Red and Whites ended MD1 with just 1.20 xG, illustrating their ability to convert low-xG chances.
The Monégasques have won three and drawn one of their four home games in all competitions this season, while scoring two or more goals in each of those matches.
Meanwhile, Freiburg were runners-up in the Europa League last season, and they kicked off their UECL campaign this term with a thrilling 3-2 victory over Jablonec at home last week.
The Breisgau-Brasilianer overperformed their 1.78 xG and created four big chances in that match. The concern for the German side, though, is that they have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
The visitors’ away record this season reads as W3 D1 L1. They have only kept one clean sheet on the road since April 12 across all competitions.
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Monaco v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.17 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
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2.26 | 3.61 | 3.15 |
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2.23 | 3.54 | 3.10 |
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2.23 | 3.54 | 3.10 |
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2.23 | 3.54 | 3.10 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Freiburg match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Monaco and Freiburg in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.21% for a win of Monaco against Freiburg with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Freiburg is 18.84% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Monaco with odds of 3.15 at 1xbet.
Monaco vs Freiburg Form
Monaco and Freiburg's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
9
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Monaco and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
11 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Monaco vs Freiburg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Kohn
DefenderC. Mawissa
J. Teze
MidfielderE. Diop
P. Cabral
M. Coulibaly
ForwardM. Detourbet
M. Biereth
F. Balogun
F. Muller
DefenderC. Gunter
L. Kubler
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderV. Grifo
P. Osterhage
R. Yamamoto
ForwardC. Irie
L. Holer
Missing players
E. Dier
MidfielderS. Idumbo-Muzambo
ForwardF. Balogun
B. Yilmaz
B. Ogbus
MidfielderF. Muslija
Most goals and assists
Monaco and Freiburg Stats in Conference League
Monaco - Freiburg Key Points
- Five of Monaco’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Monaco have scored two or more goals in all five of their home matches this season.
- Monaco and Freiburg recorded 1.20 and 1.78 xG on MD1, respectively.
- Each of Freiburg’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Freiburg have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
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Our Monaco vs Freiburg Prediction
Monaco enter this match off the back of a disappointing loss to Lorient on the road, but they have been excellent at home this season, still unbeaten after five games, while having scored two or more goals in each match.
Freiburg also suffered defeat in their domestic league at the weekend. They have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away games but have only failed to score once in that period as well. Therefore, our Monaco vs Freiburg prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.