Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Ajax
22/10/2026 14:00
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Conference League Predictions

Arguably the standout fixture on Matchday 2 in the Conference League will see Ajax taking on Atalanta at the Johan Cruijff Arena on Thursday evening. Both sides got on the scoresheet in MD1, and our prediction is that we will see goals at either end in this match. 

Ajax will be hoping to open their account in this season’s Conference League this week after suffering an against-the-odds 2-1 defeat to Hajduk Split on the road on Thursday night. 

That result marked De Godenzonen’s third match in succession without a win, but they bounced back from it in style, beating Groningen 5-2 over the weekend in the Eredivisie. 

The hosts have drawn their last two home games, but have only suffered one home loss in their eight matches across all competitions at the Johan Cruijff Arena this term. 

Meanwhile, Atalanta enter MD2 of the UECL in fourth place after powering to a commanding 3-1 victory over Pafos at home last week. 

La Dea scored all three goals in that match in the first half. They finished with 65% possession, 3.02 xG, six big chances created, 35 touches in the opposition box, and 20 shots at goal. 

However, the visitors lost to AC Milan 3-2 at the weekend, which extended their losing run on the road to three matches, while having conceded two or more goals in each of those defeats. 

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Ajax v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.09 3.70 3.20
1xbet
2.20 3.78 3.16
Melbet
2.17 3.70 3.10
Betwinner
2.17 3.70 3.10
22bet
2.17 3.70 3.10
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs Atalanta match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Ajax and Atalanta in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.73% for a win of Ajax against Atalanta with odds of 2.2 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Atalanta is 25.11% with odds of 3.78 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Ajax with odds of 3.2 at Stake.

Ajax vs Atalanta Form

Ajax and Atalanta's standings in the Conference League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Atalanta
3 1 1 0 0 +2
25 Ajax
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Ajax and Atalanta Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
W W D D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  5
Ajax

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Hajduk Split
2 :  1
Ajax

10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Excelsior

15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
5 :  1
Willem II

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  5
Ajax
D W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Excelsior

15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
5 :  1
Willem II

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
5 :  3
FC Sion

16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Heerenveen
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  5
Ajax

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Hajduk Split
2 :  1
Ajax

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  5
Ajax

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  4
Ajax

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Sion
2 :  4
Ajax

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  2
Ajax
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

Ajax vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

0 %

Draw

50 %

Atalanta

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

9 Dec 2020 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  1
Atalanta

27 Oct 2020 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  2
Ajax
Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction

Ajax vs Atalanta last Lineups

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
M. Ter Stegen
2
L. Rosa
30
A. Bouwman
36
D. Janse
5
O. Wijndal
18
D. Klaassen
4
S. Amrabat
24
J. Mokio
8
J. Brandt
38
M. Leonardo
10
O. Gloukh
11
J. Rowe
90
N. Krstovic
17
C. De Ketelaere
8
M. Pasalic
13
E. Silva
10
L. Samardzic
47
L. Bernasconi
31
T. Kristensen
23
S. Kolasinac
16
R. Bellanova
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Atalanta

Substitutes

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

M. Paes

C. Setford

Defender

T. Kehrer

Y. Baas

J. Torrents

Midfielder

Y. Bissouma

A. Ouazane

M. Abdalla

R. Bounida

Forward

V. Tsygankov

T. Arokodare

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

M. Sonzogni

Defender

D. Zappacosta

R. Obric

M. Plaia

Midfielder

N. Zalewski

J. Idele

Ponga

G. Gaetano

Forward

G. Scamacca

Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Defender

D. Blind

C. Henrique

A. Gaaei

Forward

S. Berghuis

K. Dolberg

O. Edvardsen

S. Adingra

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

T. Pompei

Defender

S. Kolasinac

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini

Midfielder

F. Kessie

Forward

G. Raspadori

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Israel O. Gloukh (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (1 Goals) ,  Macedonia E. Elmas (1 Goals) ,  Italy G. Raspadori (1 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Berghuis (1 Assists) , 
Germany T. Kehrer (1 Assists)
Best assists
Italy G. Raspadori (1 Assists)

Ajax and Atalanta Stats in Conference League

Ajax
Ajax
Atalanta
Atalanta
71%
Wins
67%
14%
Losses
0%
14%
Draws
33%
5
Average goals per match
1.67
3.29
Goals scored per match
1.33
1.71
Goals conceded per match
0.33
0%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
0%
No goals conceded
67%
100%
BTTS
33%

Ajax - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Each of Ajax’s last seven matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Ajax have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight home games in all competitions this season.
  3. Ajax and Atalanta recorded 1.35 and 3.02 xG in their last UECL match, respectively.
  4. Five of Atalanta’s last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  5. Atalanta have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three away games.
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Our Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction

Ajax struggled to create many clear-cut chances in Split on MD1, but they will be expecting a better showing this week on their home patch, where they have been relatively free-scoring this season. 

Atalanta were far too good for Pafos in their UECL opener, but this is by far a tougher assignment. The visitors have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three away games, and we feel they will struggle to keep the home side out in this one. Our Ajax vs Atalanta prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.