Celtic vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Celtic
22/10/2026 15:00
Celta Vigo

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions

Celtic and Celta Vigo started the league phase of the UEFA Europa League (UEL) campaign with back-to-back defeats, making their matchday three fixture a critical game for both teams. This match at the Celtic Park in Glasgow on Thursday between the 33rd-placed ‘Hoops’ and the 28th-placed ‘Sky Blues’ could see a tight battle for points, but who has the edge?

A 3-1 home defeat against Ferencvaros and a 4-1 away loss at Benfica have underlined Celtic’s problems in Europe. That made it three defeats in a row in UEFA competitions, but can they use the weekend win to lift their game?

Celta have also lost both their matches in the UEL campaign this term, but things are unlikely to change on the road. The visitors have failed to win any of their five competitive trips this season, but will the script change in Glasgow? How are the teams stacked up in this crucial game? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

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Celtic v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.70 3.50 2.50
1xbet
2.75 3.55 2.60
Melbet
2.69 3.46 2.54
Betwinner
2.69 3.46 2.54
22bet
2.69 3.46 2.54
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What is the prediction for the football match between Celtic and Celta Vigo?

Our prediction for the Celtic vs Celta Vigo match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Celtic and Celta Vigo in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.39% for a win of Celtic against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.75 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celtic vs Celta Vigo is 33.89% with odds of 3.7 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Celtic with odds of 2.6 at 1xbet.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo Form

Celtic and Celta Vigo's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
28 Celta Vigo
0 2 0 0 2 -2
33 Celtic
0 2 0 0 2 -5

Celtic and Celta Vigo Last Matches

Celtic
Celtic Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
7 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Celtic

11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  2
Celtic

20 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
0 :  1
Rangers

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  3
Ferencvarosi Budapest

13 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Rangers
3 :  0
Celtic
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
7 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

20 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
0 :  1
Rangers

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  3
Ferencvarosi Budapest

2 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
Aberdeen

29 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  1
Falkirk

19 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Celtic
3 :  0
LASK Linz
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Celtic

11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  2
Celtic

13 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Rangers
3 :  0
Celtic

9 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone
0 :  1
Celtic

5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  2
Celtic

25 Aug 2026 - Champions League

LASK Linz
5 :  1
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo Last matches
D L W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Alavés

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Juventus

11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
5 :  0
Racing Santander

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  0
Celta Vigo

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Málaga
L L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Alavés

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Juventus

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
5 :  0
Racing Santander

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Málaga

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Osasuna
D D D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

0.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Omonia Nicosia
1 :  0
Celta Vigo

7 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

3 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Celtic - Celta Vigo: Form Analysis

Celtic won 7-1 at home against Hearts in the Scottish Premiership last weekend, bouncing back from the 4-1 defeat at Benfica last matchday in this competition. However, they still have four losses from their last six games (W2) and are yet to strike a tune.

One of those defeats came on UEL matchday one, when they were beaten 3-1 at home by Ferencvaros. That defeat was part of two losses in Celtic’s last three home games as they look to turn things around.

Celtic lost four of their last seven home UEFA matches.

Celta won 2-1 at home against Alaves last weekend, which helped them bounce from a 2-1 loss at the same home venue against Juventus on UEL matchday two. The victory shouldn’t mask the fact that their recent form has been all over the place, with only two wins from their 11 competitive games this season (D5, L4).

It is the away form that is of concern, as Celta have failed to win any of their five competitive trips this season (D4, L1), although three 0-0 draws in that sequence suggest they won’t be a pushover.

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Celtic vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Players list

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

V. Sinisalo

Defender

C. Donovan

K. Tierney

L. Scales

D. Murray

Midfielder

C. McGregor

M. Baur

B. Nygren

Forward

C. Duran

C. Osmand

H. Hassan

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Goalkeeper

I. Radu

Defender

J. Rodriguez

Y. Lago

S. Caceres

S. Carreira

Midfielder

H. Alvarez

H. Burcio

I. Moriba

W. Swedberg

Forward

C. Driouech

F. Jutgla

Substitutes

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

S. Johnstone

Defender

A. Trusty

Midfielder

L. Emenalo

J. Forrest

A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

O. Sorensen

Forward

S. Mheuka

Jota

K. Hogh

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Goalkeeper

I. Villar

A. Bayindir

Defender

M. Alonso

J. Rueda

A. Nunez

A. Faye

Midfielder

A. Antanon

A. Febas

J. Galan

Forward

I. Aspas

H. Gonzalez

A. Arcos

Missing players

Celtic
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Defender

C. Starfelt

Midfielder

J. El-Abdellaoui

M. Roman Gonzalez

Forward

B. Iglesias

P. Duran

Celtic & Celta Vigo Squad Analysis

Celtic will be without Cameron Carter-Vickers, Yang Hyun-Jun, and Alistair Johnston. That leaves the hosts short of defensive options, as they look to plug the gaps that saw them concede at least three goals in each of their last three UEFA games.

The hosts are set to use their regular 4-2-3-1 formation, with Kasper Hogh likely to lead the line. He has three goals and assists to his name this season, but Camilo Duran could be Celtic’s biggest threat from the right flank.

Celtic’s Duran has scored in each of his last three competitive games.

Celta have a longer list of absences, with Carl Starfelt, Pablo Duran, Borja Iglesias, and Jones El-Abdellaoui out of contention for the visitors. That could force their hand on the wide options – especially Iglesias’ absence – as the visitors are set to play in their usual 5-4-1 formation.

Ferran Jutgla is likely to start upfront and comes here on the back of scoring their opening goal at the weekend. Hugo Alvarez scored Celta’s only goal in UEL this season and is set to star on the right flank.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Celtic
CD Huachipato Celta Vigo
Top Goalscorer
Germany M. Baur (1 Goals) , 
Colombia C. Duran (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain H. Alvarez (1 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland K. Tierney (1 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden W. Swedberg (1 Assists)

Celtic and Celta Vigo Stats in Europa League

Celtic
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
0%
Wins
0%
100%
Losses
100%
0%
Draws
0%
4.5
Average goals per match
2
1
Goals scored per match
0.5
3.5
Goals conceded per match
1.5
0%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
50%

Celtic - Celta Vigo Key Points

  1. Celtic scored under 1.5 goals in five of their last seven games.
  2. Eight of Celta’s last nine away competitive matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. Seven of Celta’s 11 competitive matches have seen fewer than three goals.
  4. Celta scored under 1.5 goals in six of their last eight matches in UEFA matches.
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Our Celtic vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Celtic and Celta are two of the nine sides to have lost both games of their UEL league phase this season. Another defeat would make it difficult to qualify in the top eight, if not in the top 24. Of bigger concern for both teams is their defensive problems, as neither team can lay claim to being better.

Despite Celtic scoring seven goals in their latest game at the weekend, they have been struggling for goals. Celta’s away games have also been low on entertainment, so our Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Celtic vs Celta Vigo Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.50

Celtic lost two of their last three home matches, while five defeats in their last nine home games in UEFA competitions underline their struggles in Europe. Celta may want to take advantage of this, but five draws in their last six away competitive games plus four consecutive defeats in Europe indicate this may be a tough outing for the visitors too. A draw could eventually be a result that both teams may not mind.

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Williot Swedberg To Be Shown A Card

Odds 5.00

Williot Swedberg has committed five fouls and earned two yellow cards in his two UEL games. There’s always a chance he could once again face the referee’s ire.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.