Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Thursday is going to be the biggest night in the history of AFC Bournemouth. The Cherries are fifth in the league phase and play their third game at home to 16th-placed Milan. Both teams have been scoring plenty of goals in various competitions and our prediction here is more than 2.5 goals.
Bournemouth are playing in European competition for the first time in their history. The English Premier League side has made an excellent start to their maiden campaign with a couple of wins. Both of their victories saw three goals scored in the game, five coming from Bournemouth.
Milan lost their opening fixture in the league phase, but then got back in winning ways with an impressive 4-0 win at Red Bull Salzburg. The Serie A club have seen nine goals scored in their last two matches and another high-scoring game looks likely as was the case in the one friendly played between these two clubs.
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Bournemouth v AC Milan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.07 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.67 | 3.40 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.58 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.54 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.58 | 3.32 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs AC Milan match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2026 between Bournemouth and AC Milan in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.93% for a win of Bournemouth against AC Milan with odds of 2.21 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs AC Milan is 35.53% with odds of 3.7 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.54% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Bournemouth with odds of 3.4 at 1xbet.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan Form
Bournemouth and AC Milan's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
|
16
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 |
Bournemouth and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Serie A
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
11 Oct 2026 - Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
28 Aug 2026 - Serie A
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
11 Oct 2026 - Serie A
12 Sept 2026 - Serie A
6 Sept 2026 - Serie A
23 Aug 2026 - Serie A
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Bournemouth - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Bournemouth have only previously played Milan in a home pre-season friendly ten years ago, losing 2-1. A lot has changed for the Cherries in the past decade and this season sees them playing in European competition for the first time in their history.
Great start in Europe for the Cherries.
They began their campaign with a 2-1 away win at Real Sociedad. That was followed by an impressive 3-0 home victory over Sturm Graz. While Bournemouth have been impressive in the Europa League, their domestic form has not been so good until the weekend.
The Cherries failed to win any of their first six league games before getting a 2-0 home win over Sunderland who are now bottom of the Premier League. They are 15th in the table, a point above the relegation zone. There have been more than 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight games and three of their last five at home.
Milan have three points from their first two games in the league phase. Their campaign got off to a poor start with a 2-0 home loss to Benfica. A far better result was produced in their second fixture as the Red and Black won 4-0 away at Red Bull Salzburg. They are fourth in Serie A, four points behind leaders Inter.
More than 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last six games and the same stat applies to competitive away fixtures.
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Bournemouth vs AC Milan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Di Gregorio
DefenderJ. Soler
Juanlu
B. Diakite
MidfielderJ. Kluivert
ForwardD. Brooks
B. Gannon-Doak
A. Rodriguez
A. Adli
L. Torriani
L. Bouyer
DefenderD. Bartesaghi
S. Diawara
V. Vladimirov
F. Tomori
P. Estupinan
MidfielderO. Hutchinson
F. Terracciano
A. Jashari
C. Comotto
R. Loftus-Cheek
ForwardA. Cisse
F. Camarda
Missing players
J. Araujo
MidfielderA. Scott
V. Milosavljevic
ForwardE. Kroupi
M. Gabbia
MidfielderA. Saelemaekers
Bournemouth & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Ruben Amorim returns to England after his disappointing time at Old Trafford. He is expected to rotate Milan's squad for this trip to Bournemouth. That could mean that payers such as Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Omari Hutchinson and Fikayo Tomori could start this game at the Vitality Stadium. Filippo Terracciano is unavailable after being sent off against Salzburg.
Cisse is in top form for Milan.
Milan will want to build on the 4-0 win they had at Red Bull Salzburg in their second league phase fixture. That was a great game for Alphadjo Cisse who scored a hat-trick for the Serie A club. He's scored five goals in seven games for Milan this season. He's not their top Serie A scorer though with Adrien Rabiot scoring four goals.
Amiron is expected to retain the 3-4-2-1 system that he has used in recent games against Atalanta and Salzburg.
Bournemouth have made an excellent start in this competition, but didn't get their first Premier League victory until last weekend.
Evanilson is going to be a key player for the Cherries. He's scored in each of their last two matches. Marcus Tavernier is also a dangerous player for the home side.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
AC Milan
Rayan
(2 Goals)
A. Cisse
(3 Goals)
A. Truffert
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Scott
(1 Assists)
,
A. Smith
(1 Assists)
A. Rabiot
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Jashari
(1 Assists)
,
O. Hutchinson
(1 Assists)
,
D. Bartesaghi
(1 Assists)
Bournemouth and AC Milan Stats in Europa League
Bournemouth - AC Milan Key Points
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in both of Bournemouth's first two Europa League games.
- Six of the last eight Bournemouth games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- At home, three of Bournemouth's last five games have seen at least three goals scored.
- Four of the last six Milan games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- All but one of Milan's last five away European fixtures have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction
Bournemouth finally got off the mark in the English Premier League at the weekend. They beat Sunderland (also playing in the Europa League this season), but now face a much tougher task with the visit of Milan to the Vitality Stadium. A high-scoring game looks likely here,
Milan recovered from a home loss to Benfica with an impressive 4-0 away win at Red Bull Salzburg. They are expected to rotate their squad, but their main midfield and attackers are likely to play and make life difficult for the home side. Our main Bournemouth v Milan prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan Alternative Predictions
AC Milan wins
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Bournemouth vs AC Milan - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
