Tip Paderborn - Hoffenheim
Match Day 27 in the German Bundesliga is on this weekend. Paderborn hosts Hoffenheim as the league enters the second week since resumption of matches. Ahead of the game, Paderborn are bottom of the standings with 17 points and Hoffenheim are ninth on 35 points. Paderborn missed a great chance to rise off the bottom in their 0-0 draw with Fortuna Dusseldorf in the last match and now the relegation threat hangs on. They have a seven-match winless run though will take credit for a better defensive display in the last game. The 0-0 draw with Fortuna is their only clean sheet in the last seven matches while they have conceded at least two in four of their last five matches. However, they have failed to score in just two of their last 10 league matches. Paderborn is among the sides with the poorest defences in the league but it seems they will be more worried by the home form going to this game. They have lost each of the last four home matches in the league, and conceded two or more. However, they have scored in each of their last seven home league matches. Each of their last five league matches played at home have yielded over 2.5 goals.
Hoffenheim do not carry to this match a better form either; in their last seven matches, they have no win. They have lost five of the last seven, the most recent being the 3-0 defeat at the hands of Hertha Berlin. With no clean sheet in their last eight matches, and just one in 10, Hoffenheim will have a lot to tighten up as they hope to bag three points here. To do this they will hope their away form checks in. They have had kinder days away than at home and head here with five wins in nine away matches. They have lost just two of the nine away matches and failed to score in one. While the loss to Hertha was their eighth at home this season, they have avoided defeat in nine of their 12 away matches, which should give them hope for this match. they however go to this game without a win in the last three away Bundesliga matches. Hoffenheim have an average record of conceding a goal per game away in the league, thus making them one of the sides with the best away defensive records in Bundesliga. They just haven’t matched this in their attacking form.
Key points Paderborn - Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim have five wins in nine away matches.
Paderborn have conceded twice in four of their last five matches.
Paderborn are winless in their last seven matches.
Paderborn have scored in each of their last seven home league matches.
Hoffenheim have failed to score in just one of their last nine away matches.
Conclusion Paderborn - Hoffenheim
Paderborn have not had the best of runs lately, with no win in their last seven matches but their home form should worry them more. They have lost each of the last four home matches in the league, and conceded two or more goals in the process. While Hoffenheim have also been poor in their recent matches, they can look at their away form with hope. They have five wins in nine away games and have failed to score in just one of the nine. Seeing that Paderborn have scored in their last seven home league games, we are backing them to hit the net here again. Each of their last five league games staged at home have yielded over 2.5 goals and we feel this will follow suit. We thus back Hoffenheim for a 2-1 win here.
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Paderborn Hoffenheim Prediction published on May 22, 2020