Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Paderborn’s search for their first Bundesliga win of the 2026-27 season takes them to Dortmund on matchday three, with the hosts carrying a 100% winning record. This match on Saturday at Signal Iduna Park between the 3rd-placed ‘Black and Yellow’ and the 12th-placed ‘Blue-Blacks’ could remain a low-scoring encounter with BTTS: No, our match prediction.
Dortmund are one of the four teams to have started this season with back-to-back wins. Paderborn are yet to win (D1, L1) and are only marginally better than the bottom three.
Dortmund won 3-2 at home against Villarreal in their opening league phase game of the UEFA Champions League (UCL). It was a fourth win in a row in all competitions this season, as the ‘Black and Yellow’ look to stay in touch with the leaders.
Playing at home brings their best, as Dortmund have won their last four home games in all competitions, excluding the Super Cup.
Paderborn’s return to Bundesliga after a six-year absence hasn’t gone as per plan. A 1-0 home defeat to Freiburg last weekend was preceded by a combative 0-0 away draw at Mainz on matchday one. That leaves them without a goal in this campaign, while conceding only one.
The lack of goals has played its part in Paderborn’s club-record 17-match winless run in the Bundesliga (D6, L11).
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Borussia Dortmund v Paderborn Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.25 | 6.8 | 9.8 |
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1.27 | 7.01 | 11.6 |
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1.23 | 6.85 | 11 |
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1.24 | 6.55 | 11 |
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1.23 | 6.75 | 11 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn match is: BTTS: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.83% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Paderborn with odds of 1.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn is 20.95% with odds of 7.01 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Paderborn vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 11.6 at 1xbet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Form
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
12
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 May 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2026 - Bundesliga
8 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Bundesliga
17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2021 - DFB Pokal
31 May 2020 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2019 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
P. Drewes
A. Meyer
DefenderK. Prates
L. Reggiani
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
C. Chukwuemeka
ForwardE. Nwaneri
F. Silva
M. Albert
S. Inacio
M. Schubert
DefenderJ. Sticker
C. Lippmann
MidfielderL. Djuric
N. Mohr
T. Baack
O. Batista Meier
ForwardS. Marino
S. Tigges
Missing players
R. Bensebaini
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
G. Konstantelias
K. Karetsas
J. Lerma
M. Kaba
ForwardS. Inacio
N. Awortwie-Grant
MidfielderF. Gotze
ForwardS. Michel
T. Gayret
L. Eickel
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn Stats in Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Paderborn Key Points
- Only three of Dortmund’s last nine league matches saw both teams score.
- Only two of Dortmund’s last six home league games saw both teams score.
- Four of Paderborn’s last five league games saw at least one side fail to score.
- Paderborn’s last three away league trips saw at least one side fail to score.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction
Dortmund had a few nervy moments on Tuesday in the UCL league phase, but nevertheless, they had four consecutive wins coming into this fixture. Paderborn travel to Signal Iduna Park searching for their first goal of the Bundesliga campaign. That said, they have been frugal with their defense, conceding only one goal overall, although Dortmund will fancy their chances of continuing their momentum.
Going by how Paderborn have been struggling to score and the recent history of these teams, respectively, our Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn prediction is BTTS: No.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
