ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Qualifier Valentin Vacherot continues to make history in the Shanghai Masters. He takes on fourth seed Novak Djokovic for a place in the final of this outdoor hard court tournament. Can he reach the final? Read our match prediction below.
Vacherot is the first player from Monaco to make it to the last four of an ATP Tour event. He’s also the lowest-ranked semi-finalist in the 16-year-history of this tournament. The world number 204 has won seven matches to reach the last four and on five occasions fought back from a set down.
That includes Thursday’s quarter-final against tenth seed Holger Rune. Vacherot is up to a career high 92nd in the live rankings.
He’s beaten four seeds so far in Shanghai but now he faces his toughest opponent. Novak Djokovic is the highest remaining seed in this tournament. He’s won this title four times and is attempting to reach his second successive final.
He’s had a struggle in this tournament with three sets needed to beat both Yannick Hanfmann and Jaume Munar. Smoother progress was made in his quarter-final as the world number five beat unseeded Zizou Bergs in straight sets. A win here will take Djokovic into only his second ATP Tour hard court final of 2025.
We tip over 21.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Novak Djokovic v Valentin Vacherot Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 6 |
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1.12 | 6 |
|
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.13 | 5.5 |
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1.15 | 5.6 |
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Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot match is: over 21.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot game on 11/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Novak Djokovic has a 69.16% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.16.
- Valentin Vacherot has a 30.84% probability of winning facing Novak Djokovic ⭐ with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 69.16 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 69.16 % |
| Valentin Vacherot | 30.84 % |
Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Novak Djokovic and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Novak Djokovic - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- Over 21.5 games have been played in seven of Vacherot's last eight completed matches.
- Five of Djokovic's last six best-of-three sets matches have had over 21.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Djokovic has played at least one in nine of his last ten matches.
- Vacherot has played four tie-breaks so far in this tournament.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
Between them these two players have spent nearly a day on court in this tournament with 289 games being played. 14 and a half hours have been played by Valentin Vacherot in what has been the best run of his tennis career.
Novak Djokovic has struggled at times in the humid conditions in Shanghai. Three times he's played over 21.5 games and all were against unseeded players. Our Novak Djokovic v Valentin Vacherot prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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