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New Zealand vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - The Rugby Championship

International - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
27/09/2025 01:05
Australia

Prediction :

 

New Zealand -14.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in The Rugby Championship Predictions

Third-placed New Zealand face leaders Australia in this Rugby Championship matchday five fixture on Saturday. The All Blacks will aim to strengthen their bid for their 21st Rugby Championship title with a win against the Wallabies. Here is our prediction for the match. 

New Zealand’s Rugby Championship campaign this season has been a tale of mixed fortunes. They started brilliantly, defeating Argentina 41-24, but lost the second Test against the Pumas. 

Scott Robertson’s side also failed short of completing a clean sweep of their home Test series against South Africa in the competition. They suffered a shock 43-10 defeat to the Springboks – their heaviest defeat in history. Nonetheless, they are still strong favourites to win this match having won six of their last eight matches, mostly by wide margins. They have also won six of their last seven home fixtures. 

Australia are also inconsistent in their 2025 Rugby Championship campaign. They have lost two of their four games, including a narrow 28-26 home defeat to Argentina in their recent outing.

Joe Schmidt’s side haven't been fortunate on the road lately. They have lost three of their last four matches, including in their last nine encounters with New Zealand. 

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The Best Betting Odds for New Zealand v Australia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.12 34 6
Betway
1.12 21 6.5
Ladbrokes
1.11 34 6.5
Unibet
1.15 36 5.8
NetBet
1.03 27 5.5
Check all New Zealand vs Australia odds
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New Zealand vs Australia Form

New Zealand and Australia's standings in the The Rugby Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Australia
Australia
11 4 2 0 2 10
2
New Zealand
New Zealand
10 4 2 0 2 -15

New Zealand and Australia Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
24 :  41
New Zealand

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
29 :  19
France

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
43 :  17
France
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
29 :  19
France

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
43 :  17
France

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
24 :  41
New Zealand

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
22 :  24
New Zealand
Australia
Australia Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
30 :  22
Australia

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Australia
21 :  18
Fiji
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
30 :  22
Australia

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia

17 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Wales
20 :  52
Australia

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
37 :  42
Australia

New Zealand vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

100 %

Draw

0 %

Australia

0 %

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia

4 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
23 :  20
Australia

29 Jul 2023 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
7 :  38
New Zealand

New Zealand - Australia Key Points

  1. New Zealand have won six of their last eight matches, mostly by wide margins.
  2. New Zealand have won six of their last seven home matches.
  3. Australia have lost three of their last four away matches.
  4. Australia have lost their last nine encounters with New Zealand.
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Our New Zealand vs Australia Prediction

New Zealand will look to bounce back after their shock defeat to South Africa in their last outing. Despite their inconsistent run of results lately, the All Blacks are strong favourites not only to win, but do so by a good margin.

They have won six of their last seven matches and six of their last eight overall, mostly by dominant margins. Meanwhile, Australia have lost three of their last four away matches and have endured a nine-match losing streak against the All Blacks. Our New Zealand vs Australia prediction is New Zealand -14.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

New Zealand -14.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Zealand vs Australia Prediction
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