Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Luxembourg will fancy their chances of posting a second win in a row in Group 4 of League C in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) when they host a struggling Iceland on matchday two. This match on Tuesday at Stade de Luxembourg between the first-placed ‘Red Lions’ and the third-placed ‘Our Boys’ could be a tough outing for the visitors, with our match prediction backing a home win.
After the first matchday, Luxembourg are at the top of the standings with three points, while Iceland are third with one point.
Luxembourg conceded an 18th-minute goal away at Bulgaria but recovered to win 2-1, thanks to a strike in each half. That continued their recent form, as the hosts have four wins from their last five fixtures (L1).
This victory also ended a long wait, as Luxembourg failed to win any of their last six UNL games (D3, L3). They need to improve on their home record, though, as Luxembourg lost three of their last four competitive home games.
Iceland failed to keep their lead intact, drawing 1-1 at home against Estonia. That result made it seven winless games for the visitors (D3, L4), while it gave them a first point in this competition after losing three in a row. Worryingly enough, four defeats in the last six trips put them in a tight spot.
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Luxembourg v Iceland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.42 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.34 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.34 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.38 | 2.17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luxembourg and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Luxembourg vs Iceland match is: Luxembourg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Luxembourg and Iceland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.55% for a win of Luxembourg against Iceland with odds of 3.36 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luxembourg vs Iceland is 29.11% with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Luxembourg with odds of 2.4 at 1xbet.
Luxembourg vs Iceland Form
Luxembourg and Iceland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Luxembourg and Iceland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Luxembourg vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sept 2023 - Euro
Luxembourg vs Iceland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
T. Pereira
L. Fox
DefenderM. Goncalves
E. Dzogovic
M. Martins
V. Selimovic
MidfielderT. Rupil
E. Veiga
S. Thill
M. Olesen
O. Natami
ForwardJ. Videira Pereira
R. Runarsson
A. Einarsson
DefenderH. Magnusson
L. Tomasson
MidfielderI. Thorvaldsson
A. Gunnarsson
G. Sigurdsson
A. Sigurdsson
M. Anderson
B. Andersen Willumsson
A. Baldursson
ForwardK. Ingason
Most goals and assists
Luxembourg
Iceland
V. Thill
(1 Goals)
,
L. Barreiro
(1 Goals)
A. Gudjohnsen
(1 Goals)
H. Kadamani
(1 Assists)
H. Haraldsson
(1 Assists)
Luxembourg - Iceland Key Points
- Luxembourg have won four of their last five matches.
- Luxembourg have won their last three UNL fixtures.
- Iceland lost four of their last seven matches, drawing the other three.
- Iceland lost four of their last six UNL games.
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Our Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction
Luxembourg won 3-1 when these sides last met in a home game, but will that repeat here? Four wins from their last five matches give the hosts a great chance to repeat that result. Iceland may have drawn three of their last seven matches, but their struggles extend on the road too, compounding their woes and diminishing their chances of getting even a point.
Iceland lost four of their last six away matches, including at neutral venues, and this trip presents another difficult fixture for them. Our Luxembourg vs Iceland prediction is Luxembourg wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
