Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals
ATP - ATP Finals
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Which of these two players will win their first ever match in the ATP Finals? Alex de Minaur takes on Lorenzo Musetti in the Jimmy Connors group of this indoor hard court tournament in Turin, Italy. Read our match prediction below.
Alex de Minaur made his debut in this tournament last year but lost all three of his round-robin group matches. The Australian lost again in his opening match of this year's ATP Finals, losing to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.
De Minaur has won 40 hard court matches this year, 15 more than his opponent. One title has been landed by him in 2025 but he has regularly gone deep in tournaments, getting to at least the last eight 12 times.
Lorenzo Musetti leads his opponent 3-1 in previous meetings but two of his wins came on clay this year. There's only been one previous hard court match between de Minaur and Musetti. De Minaur won that three years ago in four sets at the Australian Open.
Musetti qualified for this tournament when Novak Djokovic withdrew. That news came soon after the Serb had beaten Musetti in Saturday's Athens final. Musetti is making his debut in this tournament but looked a bit tired when losing in straight sets to Taylor Fritz.
We tip de Minaur to win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.2 | 1.36 |
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2.97 | 1.4 |
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3.25 | 1.33 |
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3.2 | 1.35 |
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3.18 | 1.35 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur game on 11/11/2025 of the current ATP Finals season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 49.74% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 3.25.
- Alex De Minaur has a 50.26% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.4 at Melbet.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 49.74 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 49.74 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 50.26 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
18 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur won the only previous hard court match played between these two players.
- Musetti has lost his last two matches.
- Musetti has won 15 fewer hard court matches this year than de Minaur.
- De Minaur has reached at least the quarter-finals in 12 tournaments this year, 11 on hard courts.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
After both players lost their opening group match a win really is needed here. Alex de Minaur lost his opening match in straight sets to Carlos Alcaraz. He did take the Spaniard to a tie-break in the first set though.
It's been a busy schedule for Lorenzo Musetti who reached the Athens final last weekend. He lost that match to Novak Djokovic and looked a bit tired in his opening ATP Finals match against Taylor Fritz. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
