Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
As expected, Lithuania started their League D campaign in the UEFA Nations League with a win. In their second outing they will be at home against Azerbaijan in what marks their first competitive meeting. The two nations aren’t on very good scoring forms, and our prediction here will back under 2.5 goals.
Lithuania opened their charge with a routine win over Liechtenstein. They won 2-0 away from home and will want to add to it a home win.
Indeed, Lithuania haven’t lost in their last two meetings with Azerbaijan, and the only time they hosted this encounter, they won 1-0. That was in 2008, and a lot has changed. What hasn’t is their struggle in attack.
Lithuania have scored more than once in only three of their last 10 outings.
Azerbaijan will be hoping to start their UNL campaign on a high. To start off this international break, they beat Tajikistan 1-0 in a warmup game and will be looking to record a third straight win on Sunday.
In their last two matches against Lithuania, Azerbaijan failed to score, with their latest meeting being in 2019. Their form in attack isn’t great heading here either.
They have scored more than a goal in just two of their last 10 matches. Azerbaijan failed to score completely in three of their last 10 outings, but away from home they managed just two goals in seven games.
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Lithuania v Azerbaijan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.42 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
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|
2.51 | 3.16 | 3.16 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.09 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.09 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lithuania and Azerbaijan?
Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2026 between Lithuania and Azerbaijan in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.14% for a win of Lithuania against Azerbaijan with odds of 2.65 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lithuania vs Azerbaijan is 31% with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs Lithuania with odds of 3.16 at 1xbet.
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Form
Lithuania and Azerbaijan's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
2
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lithuania and Azerbaijan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Lithuania - Azerbaijan Key Points
- Only four goals were scored in the three meetings between these nations.
- Azerbaijan failed to score in their last two meetings with Lithuania.
- Lithuania scored more than once in just three of their last 10 outings.
- Azerbaijan managed more than a goal in just two of their last 10 games.
- Azerbaijan failed to score in five of their last seven outings.
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Our Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction
There will be a genuine feeling among the home fans that Lithuania can hit six points from their first two matches in this pool. The hosts are unbeaten in two meetings with Azerbaijan and won the only time they hosted this encounter.
For betting purposes, though, a low-scoring outcome looks more assured here. In their three previous meetings, only four goals were netted, and these two sides have also had their struggles in attack. That is why our prediction for Lithuania v Azerbaijan is for under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
