Lille vs Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Home form remains a problem for Lille as they go into their next Ligue 1 game, at home to Troyes. The two are set to face off this Sunday, with Lille entering matchday four placed third and Troyes ninth. Newly promoted Troyes scored in their last two matches, and our prediction backs them for the same against Lille.
Lille haven’t been entirely convincing at home. They are winless in the last five matches they hosted across all competitions. Les Dogues are coming from a home defeat in the Champions League, beaten 3-2 by Real Betis in a game they twice led.
They are, however, unbeaten in Ligue 1, winning two of the three matches, and are two points behind leaders Monaco.
Troyes have had a good start to the season. An opening day 0-0 draw with Paris FC was followed by a 2-1 win against Lorient on matchday two.
What they had seen as good progress was shattered in the third round, though, as Troyes suffered a 6-2 defeat at the hands of Strasbourg. Troyes will have no time but rise up and dust themselves, ready for another tough encounter.
The visitors can afford some positivity in the fact that they scored in each of their last two matches. That they will look to impose on a Lille side in shaky form at home.
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Lille v Troyes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.88 | 7.32 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.7 | 7 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.74 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.7 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Troyes?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Troyes match is: Lille to win & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2026 between Lille and Troyes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.47% for a win of Lille against Troyes with odds of 1.48 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Troyes is 31.02% with odds of 4.98 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Troyes vs Lille with odds of 7.6 at 888Starz.
Lille vs Troyes Form
Lille and Troyes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
|
9
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Lille and Troyes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Ligue 2
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
13 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
Lille vs Troyes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jun 2023 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
8 Jan 2023 - French Cup
1 May 2022 - Ligue 1
4 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2018 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Troyes last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
O. Gill
DefenderT. Nianzou
C. Verdonk
B. Onal
I. Cossier
L. Srdanovic
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
M. Kjaergaard
N. Mukau
ForwardD. Bakwa
S. Diaoune
O. Giroud
H. Konate
DefenderN. Donkor
E. Carneiro
MidfielderI. Gomis
A. Philiponeau
K. Diawara
ForwardY. Kone
T. Nkada
J. Le Douaron
Missing players
A. Bodart
ForwardH. Igamane
I. Boura
Y. Titi
Most goals and assists
Lille
Troyes
O. Giroud
(1 Goals)
, 
T. Santos
(1 Goals)
,
D. Bakwa
(1 Goals)
, 
H. Haraldsson
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Ueda
(1 Goals)
R. Ripart
(1 Goals)
,
L. Maronnier
(1 Goals)
,
J. Le Douaron
(1 Goals)
,
A. Mille
(1 Goals)
O. Giroud
(2 Assists)
A. Mille
(1 Assists)
,
K. Diawara
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ouzenadji
(1 Assists)
Lille and Troyes Stats in Ligue 1
Lille - Troyes Key Points
- Troyes are coming off their first defeat in Ligue 1.
- Lille haven’t kept a clean sheet in four home games.
- Lille are unbeaten in their three matches in Ligue 1 so far.
- Seven of these teams’ last 10 meetings had both sides score.
- Across all competitions, Lille are unbeaten at home in four when meeting Troyes.
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Our Lille vs Troyes Prediction
Lille are still trying to get their footing when playing at home. It has been really problematic for them as hosts, and they come here winless in the last five home matches. In that period they could only manage three draws.
However, as they are on a good start in Ligue 1 and have done well at home in this particular fixture, we will back them to prevail against the promoted side. Our prediction for Lille v Troyes is for Lille to win & BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
