Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lorient
12/09/2026 14:45
Toulouse

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lorient will look to make it two wins in two in Ligue 1 when they host Toulouse next. While three points have shot Lorient to eighth, Toulouse remain in the bottom three after three outings. With both sides struggling in these initial stages of the season, our prediction will be for a low-scoring fixture.

Lorient’s first win of the season was a surprise one, as they felled last term’s runners-up Lens 1-0. Such an outcome should be enough to pump up their confidence going into a fixture that hasn’t favored them in recent years.

Lorient have a history of struggling against Toulouse, failing to win in six. Should they overcome this hurdle and post a win, it would be the first time they post consecutive victories since January.

Toulouse will be determined to extend their hold of this fixture, even amidst their own struggles. Across their opening three matches, Les Violets have only managed one point.

They are coming off a 1-0 loss to high-flying Lille. Their history in this fixture offers some consolation in the risk of going winless in the first four league matches for the first time in over a decade.

However, their form away from home points more strongly to that possibility. Toulouse have only managed one win in their last six away matches in all competitions, losing three.

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Lorient v Toulouse Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.6 3.3 2.75
1xbet
2.68 3.39 2.88
Melbet
2.59 3.28 2.77
Betwinner
2.59 3.28 2.77
22bet
2.59 3.26 2.78
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Toulouse?

Our prediction for the Lorient vs Toulouse match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Lorient and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.91% for a win of Lorient against Toulouse with odds of 2.68 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Toulouse is 16.48% with odds of 3.41 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lorient with odds of 2.88 at 1xbet.

Lorient vs Toulouse Form

Lorient and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Lorient
4 3 1 1 1 0
17 Toulouse
1 3 0 1 2 -3

Lorient and Toulouse Last Matches

Lorient
Lorient Last matches
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  1
Lorient

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Troyes

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Lorient

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
Lorient

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
2 :  1
Lorient

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
5 :  1
UNFP Selection
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Troyes

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
5 :  1
UNFP Selection

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
1 :  0
Nantes

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  2
Le Havre

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Strasbourg

18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Marseille
W W L L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  1
Lorient

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Lorient

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
Lorient

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
2 :  1
Lorient

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Guingamp
0 :  2
Lorient

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

US Concarneau
1 :  2
Lorient
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad
W D W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Rodez Aveyron Football

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  1
Lyon
L L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Toulouse

21 Apr 2026 - French Cup

Lens
4 :  1
Toulouse

17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  2
Toulouse

3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorient

0 %

Draw

50 %

Toulouse

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Lorient

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Toulouse

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Lorient

23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  1
Toulouse

21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Lorient
Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction

Lorient vs Toulouse last Lineups

Lorient

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

38
Y. Mvogo
20
D. Sylla
3
M. Talbi
32
N. Adjei
42
M. Kone
72
N. Mbamba
8
N. Cadiou
43
A. Kouassi
33
G. Bernardeau
17
J. Makengo
77
P. Katseris
13
J. Russell-Rowe
37
I. Azizi
8
T. Jorgensen
9
S. Hidalgo
23
C. Casseres Jr
6
A. Vossah
12
C. Tape
2
R. Nicolaisen
3
M. McKenzie
22
R. Messali
16
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Toulouse

Substitutes

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

N. Obaretin

A. Georgen

Midfielder

A. Ebong

T. Le Bris

I. Jensen

Forward

I. Balde

T. Aiyegun

S. Faye

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

M. Niflore

Defender

N. Sigur

I. Diallo

S. Koumbassa

Midfielder

N. Schmidt

M. Amougou

Forward

C. Tengstedt

J. Vignolo

S. Oppong

Missing players

Lorient
Lorient
Midfielder

B. Fadiga

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

G. Restes

Forward

A. Donnum

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lorient
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
France J. Makengo (1 Goals)
Ivory Coast M. Kone (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. Russell-Rowe (1 Goals) Ivory Coast C. Tape (1 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Venezuela C. Casseres Jr (1 Assists)
France Y. Gboho (1 Assists)

Lorient and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1

Lorient
Lorient
Toulouse
Toulouse
33%
Wins
0%
33%
Losses
67%
33%
Draws
33%
1.33
Average goals per match
2.33
0.67
Goals scored per match
0.67
0.67
Goals conceded per match
1.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
67%
No goals conceded
0%
33%
BTTS
33%

Lorient - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Toulouse have scored two goals in three matches this season.
  2. Lorient have scored two goals in their first three matches this season.
  3. Only three of the last 10 meetings between these sides had 3+ goals.
  4. The last five meetings between these sides at Lorient produced 10 goals.
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Our Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction

Toulouse are still in search of their opening win of the season three matches in, and their six-game unbeaten run in this fixture is at risk. While Lorient are well placed to halt Toulouse’s dominance, they may be curtailed by a poor run themselves.

Both sides are actually struggling and a bet on the goals market looks better here. For starters, this fixture hasn’t been known for high scores over the years. Only three of their last 10 meetings had three or more goals. As they haven’t been in great scoring form this season, our prediction for Lorient v Toulouse is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.