Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
28/09/2026 12:00
Cyprus

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

The losers of matchday one in Group C2 of League C in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) will play on Monday as Latvia host Cyprus on matchday two. This match at Skonto stadions in Riga between the fourth-placed ’11 Wolves’ and the third-placed Cypriots could end up being a low-scoring encounter with under 2.5 goals, our match prediction.

After losses in their respective opening games, Latvia and Cyprus are in the bottom two places of the group, with only goal difference keeping Cyprus above their hosts.

Latvia lost 2-0 away at Armenia on matchday one with a goal conceded in each half. That makes it just two wins in their last 14 matches (D4, L8), with one of those losses coming via penalties.

Both those wins have come in this competition, while two wins from their last four home games in the UNL don't improve their chances here.

Cyprus lost 2-1 away at Montenegro on matchday one, failing to hold on to the advantage of scoring first. All three match goals have come in the second half, so another slow start could be on the cards unless the visitors improve significantly.

That defeat was Cyprus’ fourth in their last seven games (W2, D1), with both victories coming in friendlies. Five defeats in their last six UNL games (W1) are a cause of concern, though.

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Latvia v Cyprus Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.55 3.3 2.65
1xbet
2.7 3.34 2.76
Melbet
2.65 3.28 2.7
Betwinner
2.6 3.28 2.74
22bet
2.6 3.28 2.74
Check all Latvia vs Cyprus odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Latvia and Cyprus?

Our prediction for the Latvia vs Cyprus match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2026 between Latvia and Cyprus in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.37% for a win of Latvia against Cyprus with odds of 2.7 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Latvia vs Cyprus is 32.41% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Cyprus vs Latvia with odds of 2.76 at 1xbet.

Latvia vs Cyprus Form

Latvia and Cyprus's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Cyprus
0 1 0 0 1 -1
4 Latvia
0 1 0 0 1 -2

Latvia and Cyprus Last Matches

Latvia
Latvia Last matches
L W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Latvia

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  0
Gibraltar

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Latvia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
2 :  1
Latvia
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  0
Gibraltar

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  5
England

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
2 :  2
Andorra

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
1 :  1
Albania
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Latvia

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Latvia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
2 :  1
Latvia

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Albania
1 :  0
Latvia
Cyprus
Cyprus Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
2 :  1
Cyprus

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Liechtenstein
0 :  2
Cyprus

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia
D D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
0 :  2
Austria

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
2 :  2
Bosnia Herzegovina

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
2 :  2
Romania
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
2 :  1
Cyprus

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Liechtenstein
0 :  2
Cyprus

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

San Marino
0 :  4
Cyprus

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Austria
1 :  0
Cyprus

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Romania
2 :  0
Cyprus

Latvia vs Cyprus Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Latvia

0 %

Draw

100 %

Cyprus

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
1 :  1
Latvia
Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction

Latvia vs Cyprus last Lineups

Latvia

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

23
R. Matrevics
21
D. Melniks
5
A. Cernomordijs
3
D. Cirkin
13
R. Jurkovskis
15
D. Zelenkovs
10
L. Vapne
14
A. Ciganiks
17
M. Strods
9
V. Gutkovskis
7
E. Daskevics
21
M. Tzionis
9
I. Pittas
23
M. Edwards
20
G. Kastanos
16
P. Andreou
4
H. Kyprianou
14
G. Malekkidis
3
N. Panagiotou
5
C. Sotiriou
6
A. Shikkis
1
Fabiano

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

Cyprus

Substitutes

Latvia
Latvia
Goalkeeper

N. Purins

F. Orols

Defender

D. Balodis

M. Tonisevs

Midfielder

D. Patijcuks

G. Zaleiko

E. Emsis

A. Saveljevs

R. Savalnieks

O. Vientiess

Forward

A. Aleksanjan

R. Uldrikis

Cyprus
Cyprus
Goalkeeper

J. Mall

A. Paraskevas

Defender

K. Pileas

N. Tsaroulla

Midfielder

K. Artymatas

C. Kyriakou

L. Konomis

Forward

A. Neofytou

L. Loizou

I. Costi

A. Kakoullis

S. Georgiou

Latvia and Cyprus Stats in UEFA Nations League

Latvia
Latvia
Cyprus
Cyprus
0%
Wins
0%
100%
Losses
100%
0%
Draws
0%
2
Average goals per match
3
0
Goals scored per match
1
2
Goals conceded per match
2
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
100%

Latvia - Cyprus Key Points

  1. Six of Latvia’s last seven matches produced under 2.5 goals within 90 minutes.
  2. Five of Latvia’s last six UNL matches saw fewer than three goals.
  3. Cyprus scored under 1.5 goals in six of their last seven UNL matches.
  4. Four of Cyprus’ last six designated away matches saw at most two goals.
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Our Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction

After losing their first match of this edition, Latvia and Cyprus will hope to get their first points here, as the loser of this fixture could be bigger losers in the race for promotion. Latvia’s recent form has been poor, so there’s enough pressure on them to improve here. Cyprus are no better, and their recent poor away record doesn’t help allay fears of another defeat here.

All three matches between these sides produced at most two goals, although only one game was played this century. Our Armenia vs Montenegro prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.