Japan vs Venezuela Prediction & Betting Tips - World Baseball Classic

International - World Baseball Classic

Japan
14/03/2026 16:00
Venezuela

Prediction :

 

Over 7.5 runs

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in World Baseball Classic Predictions

The last quarter-final matchup in the World Baseball Classic will see Japan taking on Venezuela. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take on Ranger Suarez on the bump in this one, so let’s take a look over the path so far and make a prediction. 

Japan came through Pool C on their own patch without losing a game, beating Chinese Taipei, South Korea, Australia and the Czech Republic. They have the last game of the four having traveled over from Japan to Miami for this contest.

In five editions of the World Baseball Classic, Japan have won the tournament three times and been semi-finalists the other two times. That is a record that they are not going to want to lose without an almighty fight.

Venezuela were runner-up in Pool D behind the Dominican Republic. It was that team that inflicted their only defeat of the tournament to this point on them, losing 7-5 in the final game with both coming in at 3-0.

They picked up wins over the Netherlands, Israel and Nicaragua in the group, though they were not one of the higher scoring teams, averaging 6.5 runs per game but that was more than enough.

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Japan - Venezuela Key Points

  1. Japan went 4-0 in their Pool games, but conceded three runs to Australia and six to South Korea.
  2. Venezuela conceded 12 in their Pool games but seven of them were in their one loss and Japan have that level of quality.
  3. There was an average of 10.75 runs in Japan’s games and 9.5 in Venezuela’s games during their Pool play.
  4. November 2024 was the last time that these teams clashed, a 9-6 win for Japan.
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Our Japan vs Venezuela Prediction

Japan have not looked quite their usual excellent selves in the Pool games but this is a whole new ball game now that the knockout stages have been reached. There have been plenty of runs when these teams have met in the past, 15 when they played at the end of 2024. While both sides have solid pitching, the line looks a little on the low side given that these two teams are both strong on quality. Our Japan vs Venezuela prediction is over 7.5 runs.

Prediction :

 

Over 7.5 runs

 
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Japan vs Venezuela Prediction