Colombia vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Colombia
27/06/2026 16:30
Portugal

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in World Cup Predictions

Colombia will take on Portugal in their final Group K game in the 2026 World Cup in the early hours of Sunday morning for European viewers. We saw something much more akin to the real Portugal in their second group game, and a win for them will see them top the group. Portugal have only kept six clean sheets in their last 22 games, while Colombia's losses to European teams in friendlies this year have our prediction heading for goals.

Colombia are currently on top of Group K and have already booked their spot in the knockout stages of this tournament by winning both games.They will need at least a point here if they are to retain that position and give themselves what would theoretically be an easier matchup in the final 32. 

It was a disappointing opening contest from Portugal in this competition and they looked to take out that frustration on Uzbekistan on Tuesday night as they thrashed them 5-0. Nothing less than a win here for the Seleção das Quinas against Los Cafeteros will see them top the group, so both teams are fully aware of the task at hand. 

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Colombia v Portugal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.2 3.55 1.81
1xbet
4.31 3.94 1.89
Melbet
3.58 3.42 2.08
Betwinner
3.58 3.42 2.08
22bet
4.31 3.94 1.89
Check all Colombia vs Portugal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Colombia and Portugal?

Our prediction for the Colombia vs Portugal match is: More than 2.5 goals

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/06/2026 between Colombia and Portugal in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.49% for a win of Colombia against Portugal with odds of 4.45 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Colombia vs Portugal is 15.32% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Colombia with odds of 2.15 at 888Starz.

Colombia vs Portugal Form

Colombia and Portugal's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Colombia
6 2 2 0 0 +3
2 Portugal
4 2 1 1 0 +5

Colombia and Portugal Last Matches

Colombia
Colombia Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Colombia
1 :  0
DR Congo

17 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Uzbekistan
1 :  3
Colombia

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
2 :  0
Jordan

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
3 :  1
Costa Rica

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Colombia
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Colombia
1 :  0
DR Congo

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
2 :  0
Jordan

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
3 :  1
Costa Rica

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Colombia
3 :  0
Australia

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Colombia
2 :  1
New Zealand
D W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Uzbekistan
1 :  3
Colombia

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Colombia

14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Colombia

11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Colombia

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  6
Colombia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  1
Colombia
Portugal
Portugal Last matches
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
5 :  0
Uzbekistan

17 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  1
DR Congo

10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Nigeria

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Chile

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
5 :  0
Uzbekistan

17 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  1
DR Congo

10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Nigeria

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Chile

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
2 :  2
Hungary
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
2 :  0
Portugal

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Hungary
2 :  3
Portugal

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
0 :  5
Portugal

4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  2
Portugal

Colombia - Portugal: Form Analysis

Colombia vs Portugal Predictions - World Cup 2026

It has been a perfect start for Colombia to their World Cup campaign. They saw off Uzbekistan in their opening contest 3-1 before a narrow 1-0 success of DR Congo in their second game. Six points from a possible six looks good on paper, but this is a much bigger test.

A goal deep into second half injury time added a bit more to the margin against Uzbekistan, but they are a team who have tasted just two defeats in their last 11 matches, 1-3 against France and 1-2 against Croatia, both in friendly matches back in March. 

Portugal score plenty but they have also shipped 21 in thier last 22 games.

A 1-1 draw with DR Congo was not the way that Portugal will have expected their tournament to start but they quickly showed what they can do going forward with an expert demolition job of Uzbekistan, that one finishing 5-0. 

The current Nations League champions are generally high goal scorers but they spent more than enough time picking the ball out of their own net as well. Since their last major tournament, Portugal has played 22 games including friendlies, conceding in 16 of those games, allowing 21 goals in total.

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Colombia vs Portugal last Lineups

Colombia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

12
C. Vargas
2
D. Munoz
23
D. Sanchez
3
J. Lucumi
17
J. Mojica
16
J. Lerma
14
G. Puerta
11
J. Arias
10
J. Rodriguez
7
L. Diaz
25
L. Suarez
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
11
Joao Felix
8
B. Fernandes
18
P. Neto
15
J. Neves
23
Vitinha
25
N. Mendes
13
R. Veiga
3
R. Dias
20
J. Cancelo
1
D. Costa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Portugal

Substitutes

Colombia
Colombia
Goalkeeper

D. Ospina

A. Montero

Defender

W. Ditta

S. Arias

Y. Mina

D. Machado

Midfielder

J. Quintero

J. Portilla

J. Carrascal

K. Castano

R. Rios

Forward

J. Campaz

J. Cordoba

C. Hernandez

A. Gomez

Portugal
Portugal
Goalkeeper

J. Sa

R. Silva

Defender

T. Araujo

S. Costa

G. Inacio

N. Semedo

D. Dalot

Midfielder

M. Nunes

R. Neves

B. Silva

Forward

R. Leao

F. Conceicao

G. Ramos

G. Guedes

F. Trincao

Missing players

Colombia
Colombia
Portugal
Portugal
Defender

T. Araujo

Colombia & Portugal Squad Analysis

Colombia have come through their opening two games with no injury concerns heading into this deciding fixture, something that will be a big plus both to their fans and Nestor Lorenzo who has a full squad to pick from.

Crystal Palace defender Daniel Munoz has found the net in both of their games so far, the team captained by James Rodriguez who smashed his way onto the scene winning the Golden Boot in the 2014 World Cup.

Both managers have teams with almost clean bills of health coming into the game.

It is a similar story where Portugal are concerned with just a niggle for Tomas Arunjo at present ahead of their final game in the group. That gives Roberto Martinez almost all available options with which to juggle his best lineup to get the win that they need.

Ronaldo picked up a brace against Uzbekistan to silence a few of his critics after the DR Congo match. Strong through the midfield and going forward, they conceded against DR Congo and Uzbekistan had a goal disallowed, so defensively is where they need to tighten up. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Colombia
CD Huachipato Portugal
Top Goalscorer
Colombia D. Munoz (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo (2 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia L. Diaz (1 Assists)
Colombia C. Hernandez (1 Assists)
Colombia G. Puerta (1 Assists)
Colombia J. Quintero (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (1 Assists)
Portugal J. Cancelo (1 Assists)
Portugal B. Fernandes (1 Assists)

Colombia - Portugal Key Points

  1. Nine of Colombia’s last 12 games have seen more than 2.5 goals.
  2. In 22 games since Euro 2024, Portugal have conceded 21 goals.
  3. Those 22 games Portugal have played since Euro 2024 have seen 14 with more than 2.5 goals.
  4. Colombia have only lost twice in their last 11 games but both came against European opposition and both games saw more than 2.5 goals.
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Our Colombia vs Portugal Prediction

It would be easy to think that this is going to be a tight game with a win for either team (or a draw for Colombia) seeing them take the group ahead of the last 32. That said, both will be looking for that result to give them what should be an easier tie in the first knockout stage. Portugal need to win and they have the firepower to overcome most teams. Colombia have been strong at the back so far but this is their toughest task. Our Colombia vs Portugal prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Colombia vs Portugal Alternative Predictions

BTTS

Odds 1.91
Portugal have been conceding rather too many goals since the last major tournament and Colombia will be looking to catch them on the counter attack as Portugal will need to bring the pressure.
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Portugal wins

Odds 1.85
When it comes down to the quality of the two teams, there is only one winner in this matchup and that is Portugal. They hopefully have their blip for the tournament out of the way nice and early and can lay down a marker here.
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Colombia vs Portugal - FAQs

Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens is the venue for the Group K match between Colombia and Portugal.
Sport TV are showing all World Cup games in Portugal while Caracol TV and RCN Televisión will show the games in Colombia. You can also keep up to date on all matches on our World Cup Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Colombia vs Portugal Prediction