New Zealand vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
All four teams in Group G are in contention for knockout stages, as matchday three features New Zealand and Belgium in Vancouver. This match between the fourth-placed 'All Whites' and the third-placed 'Red Devils' promises to be a close affair with both teams searching for a win to guarantee progression. Will the two nations rise up to the occasion and excite the neutrals and fans alike?
New Zealand are bottom with one point (D1, L1), while Belgium are marginally above them with two points (D2). The Kiwis need a win to stay in contention and will be eliminated with any other result here. The group also features Egypt and Iran.
Belgium also need a win to clinch an automatic qualification berth, while a draw will force them to depend on other results. Neither team can progress if they lose here, but is that enough to get them going? Our match predictions and team analyzes will aim to provide in-depth insights.
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New Zealand v Belgium Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21 | 7.5 | 1.14 |
|
|
13.6 | 8.89 | 1.18 |
|
|
13 | 8.7 | 1.16 |
|
|
12.5 | 7.4 | 1.19 |
|
|
13.6 | 8.89 | 1.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between New Zealand and Belgium?
Our prediction for the New Zealand vs Belgium match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/06/2026 between New Zealand and Belgium in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.96% for a win of New Zealand against Belgium with odds of 201 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New Zealand vs Belgium is 23.37% with odds of 176 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 62.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs New Zealand with odds of 1.23 at 888Starz.
New Zealand - Belgium Prediction and Best Odds:
| New Zealand Belgium Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 62.67% | 1.23 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.9% | 1.5 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | 2.6 at Stake |
| Half-time / Full-time: Belgium/Belgium | 29.56% | 1.66 at Betsson |
New Zealand vs Belgium Form
New Zealand and Belgium's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
New Zealand and Belgium Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
New Zealand - Belgium: Form Analysis
New Zealand's early lead proved inconsistent as they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Egypt on matchday two. They are still in contention for the knockout stage after a 2-2 draw against Iran in their tournament opener.
The challenge is to find a win that will keep them in the knockout race, as the 'All Whites' have lost ten of their last 13 matches (W1, D2), with their only win coming against Chile.
New Zealand are winless in their eight World Cup matches (D4, L4).
Belgium had 23 shots against Iran but were held to a 0-0 draw on matchday two. The 'Red Devils' have drawn both their games now, with two of their last three matches in the World Cups ending 0-0.
The two draws have extended Belgium's unbeaten run to 15 matches (W9, D6), and only once in their history have they enjoyed a longer unbeaten run. The problem is to find goals, as Belgium have scored just two goals in their last five games in the World Cups.
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New Zealand against Belgium Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Woud
A. Paulsen
DefenderF. De Vries
C. Elliot
N. Pijnaker
M. Boxall
T. Smith
MidfielderC. McCowatt
B. Old
L. Bayliss
A. Rufer
ForwardB. Waine
J. Randall
L. Rogerson
K. Barbarouses
S. Lammens
M. Penders
DefenderK. De Winter
J. Seys
T. Meunier
MidfielderA. Saelemaekers
N. Raskin
A. Onana
D. Moreira
A. Witsel
ForwardM. Fernandez-Pardo
D. Lukebakio
R. Lukaku
Missing players
Z. Debast
New Zealand & Belgium Squad Analysis
Matthew Garbett has been ruled out of the World Cup for New Zealand, with the midfielder replaced by Logan Rogerson. The 'All Whites' have no major injury concerns otherwise after matchday two.
New Zealand are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, although they may switch to a 4-4-1-1 system to blunt Belgium. Nottingham Forest's Chris Wood is expected to continue as a striker, although it's Elijah Just that has lit the tournament for New Zealand.
Just has scored two of New Zealand's three goals in this tournament.
Belgium forward Jeremy Doku is set to join the squad after briefly leaving the camp for the birth of his first child. Defender Nathan Ngoy was given a red card in the last match and will miss this fixture.
The Belgians are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation with the fit-again Romelu Lukaku starting as the lone forward. He's expected to improve his scoring, as Belgium had 23 shots against Iran!
Most goals and assists
New Zealand
Belgium
E. Just
(3 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(3 Goals)
,
C. De Ketelaere
(3 Goals)
C. Wood
(2 Assists)
L. Trossard
(3 Assists)
New Zealand - Belgium Key Points
- Four of New Zealand’s last five World Cup matches have seen BTTS, including both in this edition.
- New Zealand failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 matches.
- Belgium scored in eight of their last nine matches.
- Belgium have conceded in five of their last nine matches across all competitions.
- Jeremy Doku is back to the starting lineup
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Our New Zealand vs Belgium Prediction
The math is simple for New Zealand – anything less than a win will see them eliminated, while a win could see them even finish as high as second. For Belgium, a win would see them qualify, while a draw would make them wait for other results to see if they qualify as a third-place team. While neither team has shown form to back them for a positive result, the stakes are high in this crucial game.
That should be enough for both nations to beat the odds, so our New Zealand vs Belgium prediction is BTTS.
New Zealand vs Belgium Alternative Predictions
Draw
Have Belgium forgotten how to win? Two draws in a row put them in danger of drawing all three group stage games like they did in 1998. Even their current 15-game unbeaten run has six draws, so another stalemate here can't be ruled out.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis New Zealand Belgium
| New Zealand vs Belgium | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand wins | 12 | 201 | +1,575.0% |
| Draw | 5.05 | 176 | +3,385.1% |
| Belgium wins | 1.33 | 1.23 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Belgium is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 81.3% (6.1%)
New Zealand vs Belgium - FAQs
The New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup match will be shown live on TVNZ in the New Zealand, while in Belgium the official broadcasters are VRT and RTBF. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
