Norway vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in World Cup Predictions
The Gillette Stadium comes to life on Friday as Norway and France collide in the 2026 World Cup Group I final round of matches. The two teams are through to the next round of the competition on six points each, but will be out to claim the top spot. With a significant 28-place advantage over Norway in world rankings and an impressive nine-match unbeaten run across competitive fixtures, our prediction here supports a French victory.
Norway announced their return to football's biggest stage in style, winning all eight of their 2026 UEFA qualifiers to end their almost three decades wait for an appearance at the World Cup. They could hardly have hoped for a better start to the tournament after a 28-year-absence, sweeping their opening two matches to secure their place in the next round.
However, France will offer a true test of the Vikings' recent resurgence. Les Bleus, who finished as runners-up at the last World Cup, have also swept their opening two fixtures and are top of the group with a +1 goal difference. This will be their first competitive meeting with Norway since their 1–1 draw in the 1989 qualifiers. Stay tuned as we analyze further.
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Norway v France Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.02 | 4.44 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.44 | 3.84 | 1.76 |
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4.44 | 3.84 | 1.76 |
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|
5.02 | 4.44 | 1.69 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and France?
Our prediction for the Norway vs France match is: France wins
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/06/2026 between Norway and France in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.66% for a win of Norway against France with odds of 5.02 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs France is 23.5% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.84% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Norway with odds of 1.82 at 888Starz.
Norway vs France Form
Norway and France's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
2
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
Norway and France Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
Norway - France: Form Analysis
Norway eased past 57th-ranked Iraq 4–1 in their 2026 World Cup opener, thanks to Erling Haaland's brace. The Manchester City forward also nailed home another brace as the Red, White and Blue edged past AFCON title holders and World No. 15 Senegal 3–2 in their second match.
However, Ståle Solbakken's side found results difficult to come by against higher-ranked teams prior to the World Cup. They fell 2–1 to eighth-ranked Netherlands and settled for stalemates against 19th-ranked Switzerland and World No.5 Morocco.
France are ranked second by bookmakers to win the 2026 World Cup in the outright winner market, trailing only Spain
Kylian Mbappe scored twice as France kicked off their 2026 World Cup campaign with a 3–1 victory over Senegal. The prolific forward also bagged a brace as team roast Iraq 3–0 in their second fixture on Monday.
The Blues have now gone nine competitive matches without tasting defeat (W8, D1) since June 2025. Historically, they have been tough opponents for Norway, avoiding defeat in six of the last seven meetings between the two sides. The two-time World Cup champions, who have impressed at the last two World Cups, have a significant advantage here over a Norway side that is just making a return to the tournament since 1998.
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Norway vs France last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
E. Selvik
S. Tangvik
DefenderF. Bjorkan
H. Falchener
M. Holmgren Pedersen
L. Ostigard
S. Langas
MidfielderP. Berg
O. Bobb
M. Thorsby
T. Aasgaard
J. Hauge
A. Schjelderup
K. Thorstvedt
ForwardJ. Strand Larsen
R. Risser
B. Samba
DefenderM. Gusto
M. Lacroix
L. Hernandez
T. Hernandez
I. Konate
MidfielderR. Cherki
M. Akliouche
W. Zaire-Emery
A. Tchouameni
N. Kante
ForwardD. Doue
M. Thuram
J. Mateta
Missing players
J. Ryerson
Norway & France Squad Analysis
Norway stuck to their winning starting XI against Senegal, although with a minor tweak that saw Antonio Nusa joined Erling Haaland and Alexander Sorloth in a three-man attack. Ståle Solbakken is likely to field the same lineup on Friday, except with a tweak to the right-back that could see Torino's Marcus Pedersen replace Julian Ryerson, who limped off the Senegal match with a thigh injury.
France will have to contain Haaland who remains the most potent threat in the Norwegians' attack with four goals so far in the tournament. Premier League winner Martin Odegaard has also been instrumental to the team's successes with two assists in the tournament and will return to lead the midfield battle.
Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise have produced a terrific attacking partnership at the 2026 World Cup, combining for a tournament-best seven goal contributions
Didier Deschamps made three changes to France's starting eleven against Iraq, with Lucas Digne replacing Hernandez at left back, Manu Kone stepping in for Aurelien Tchouameni in defensive midfield, and Bradley Barcola for Desire Doue on left wing. He is expected to parade his strongest lineup with the group's top spot at stake on Friday.
William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano are likely to return at center-back with Adrien Rabiot in defensive midfield. Ballon d'Or holder Ousmane Dembele, alongside playmaker Michael Olise, will line up behind four-goal Kylian Mbappe in the attack.
Most goals and assists
Norway
France
E. Haaland
(4 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(4 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(2 Assists)
M. Olise
(3 Assists)
Norway - France Key Points
- France have won both of their opening two 2026 World Cup matches.
- France are unbeaten across their nine competitive matches dating back to June 2025.
- France have avoided defeat in six of their last seven matches against Norway.
- Norway have failed to win three of their last four matches against higher-ranked teams.
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Our Norway vs France Prediction
While we expect a thrilling contest as the two sides wage battle for Group I's top spot, France are well-positioned to ace the clash. Apart from their impressive unbeaten run in the past 12 months, the Didier Deschamps-led team boasts greater World Cup experience and is leagues above a Norwegian side returning to the tournament after a lengthy absence.
Additionally, Norway have struggled against higher-ranked teams recently and have largely been unsuccessful in previous meetings against France. Our Norway vs France prediction: France wins.
Norway vs France Alternative Predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score
Kylian Mbappe has carried his prolific goalscoring form into this World Cup. His brace in the opening match against Senegal saw him overtake Olivier Giroud as France's all-time top scorer with another brace against Iraq taking his 2026 World Cup tally to four. The 27-year-old forward will be looking to continue his scoring spree on Friday.
Erling Haaland to score
Erling Haaland is another top forward to watch out here, having scored four goals – two goals each – in the opening two matches.
BTTS
This match pits two teams with fervor for attacking football. Both have averaged 3+ goals in their opening two matches and house two of the tournament's most lethal forwards in Haaland and Mbappe.
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Norway vs France - FAQs
For UK fans, the match will be streamed live on ITV and TNT, while beIN SPORTS will provide coverage for fans from Asia. African viewers can watch and follow it live on SuperSport.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
