Tip Hamburg - Hertha Berlin
Prediction published on May 21, 2022 at 11:43 AM
Hamburger SV welcomes Hertha Berlin to the Volksparkstadion for this second leg promotion/relegation match. The hosts have a major advantage after winning the away leg 1-0 and all they need is a draw to gain promotion back into the Bundesliga for the first time since the 2017/18 season. Hamburger SV have been in great recent form as they have won their last five matches. They scraped into the promotion playoffs by winning their last six Bundesliga 2 matches and ended on the same number of points as fourth placed Darmstadt but progressed due to a better goal difference. Hamburger SV have been excellent at home and have only lost twice in the league season. In their last three home matches in Bundesliga 2 they have scored nine times while only conceding one goal.
Hertha Berlin have only themselves to blame if they get relegated as they missed the opportunity to win the first leg. In their last three matches of the Bundesliga they only managed to pick up one point as they finished the season on the same number of points as 15th placed Stuttgart but had they had the inferior goal difference. Hertha Berlin have failed to win any of their last four matches while they have only won three of their last 19 matches across all competitions. Their away record is just as poor, winning one of their last 12 matches on the road. Hertha Berlin will take some hope into this match as they won 2-1 on their last visit to the Volksparkstadion back in 2018.
Key points Hamburg - Hertha Berlin
In six of Hamburger SV last seven matches there have been over 2.5 goals scored.
Only four of their last six matches both teams have scored.
Hamburger SV have kept clean sheets in two of their last four home matches.
In four of Hertha Berlin’s last six matches there have been under 2.5 goals.
They have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven away matches.
Conclusion Hamburg - Hertha Berlin
Hamburger SV have only lost four times at home all season across the different competitions. This makes Hertha Berlin’s task all the more difficult as they have only won three of their 17 away matches in the Bundesliga. Hertha Berlin have an excellent defensive record at home and they will be banking on this as a clean sheet will see them in the Bundesliga next season. We are backing the under 2.5 goals option in this match.