Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips - CONCACAF Nations League
International - CONCACAF Nations League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Jamaica has advanced to the quarter-finals of the CONCACAF Nations League after winning two of its last four matches in the competition. Their next opponent is Mexico, whose form has tapered off, following zero wins in four. Jamaica will aim for a shock win given Mexico's struggles. Hence, our Jamaica vs Mexico match prediction is over 2.5 goals.
El Tri fell to another 2-0 loss to Chile after losing 3-0 to the USA. El Tri had scored in 11 games prior, netting 21 goals. They only picked up one loss in that 11-game run, while picking up seven straight wins. Despite their recent dip, Mexico will aim for another victory against Jamaica, especially after winning their past two H2H clashes.
Still, Jamaica will be no easy pushover, especially following their recent form. The Reggae Boyz played a 1-1 draw against Honduras following their 2-0 victory over 10-man El Salvador. They also beat Guatemala 3-2 in their first game of the new CONCACAF season. Additionally, Jamaica have also scored in five of their past seven matches, netting nine goals.
Emboldened by their form in recent games, Jamaica will likely play to win. But they will need to score more goals than Mexico, a factor that will lead to end-to-end attacking play. As a result, the game should end with three goals or more.
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Jamaica v Mexico Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5.40 | 3.85 | 1.52 |
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5.89 | 3.84 | 1.54 |
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5.89 | 3.84 | 1.54 |
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4.50 | 3.85 | 1.59 |
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5.89 | 3.84 | 1.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Jamaica and Mexico?
Our prediction for the Jamaica vs Mexico match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2026 between Jamaica and Mexico in CONCACAF Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.58% for a win of Jamaica against Mexico with odds of 6.2 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Jamaica vs Mexico is 24.16% with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Mexico vs Jamaica with odds of 1.59 at Betwinner.
Jamaica vs Mexico Form
Jamaica and Mexico Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jamaica vs Mexico Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
40 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jul 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
26 Mar 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - CONCACAF Nations League
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
Jamaica - Mexico Key Points
- Jamaica have scored in five of their past seven games.
- Mexico has scored in eight of their past 10 matches.
- El Tri have scored 21 goals in their past 13 matches.
- Three of their past five H2H clashes have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Their last H2H clash in this competition ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction
Jamaica are the better team ahead of Sunday’s clash, and they will be eager to secure a first win over Mexico in six meetings. Mexico have won four and drawn two of those six H2H clashes, but their recent dip in form suggests an opportunity for the Reggae Boyz.
Overall, we expect El Tri side to score goals, meaning Jamaica will need to score more if they are to walk away victorious. This should lead to a high attacking tempo that will result in more than two goals by full time, an outcome that has been present in four of their past six meetings. Hence, our Jamaica vs Mexico prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
