Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Predictions Odds Live

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Greece
01/10/2026 12:45
Netherlands

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

It’s a clash of the top two in Group A2 of League A in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) as the unbeaten Greece and the Netherlands clash on Thursday in matchday two. This match at the Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki between the first-placed ‘Pirate Ship’ and the second-placed ‘Oranje’ could end up as an entertaining affair with over 2.5 goals, our match prediction.

Greece have six points (W2) to top the league ahead of this matchday, while the Netherlands are also unbeaten (W1, D1) and are two points behind Greece, while being three points above Germany.

The Greeks scored in the 74th minute to defeat Germany 1-0 away from home last weekend. Following their 2-1 away win at Serbia on matchday one, Greece have won back-to-back games, ending a five-game winless sequence (D3, L2).

The hosts are in striking form in this competition, winning nine of their last 11 matches (L2). However, three defeats from their last four home matches (W1) suggest a win here isn’t straightforward.

The Netherlands won 2-1 away at Serbia last weekend on matchday two, giving Xavi his first win, after a late goal on matchday one saw them draw 1-1 at home against Germany. They are likely to continue that trend, as the Dutch haven’t lost their last 12 internationals on foreign soil in regulation time.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Greece v Netherlands Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3 3.45 2.14
1xbet
3.36 3.59 2.2
Melbet
3.28 3.5 2.15
Betwinner
3.28 3.5 2.15
22bet
3.28 3.54 2.14
Check all Greece vs Netherlands odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Netherlands?

Our prediction for the Greece vs Netherlands match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2026 between Greece and Netherlands in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.49% for a win of Greece against Netherlands with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Netherlands is 15.41% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 57.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Netherlands vs Greece with odds of 2.22 at Shangrila.

Greece vs Netherlands Form

Greece and Netherlands's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Greece
6 2 2 0 0 +2
2 Netherlands
4 2 1 1 0 +1

Greece and Netherlands Last Matches

Greece
Greece Last matches
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
0 :  1
Greece

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
1 :  2
Greece

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Greece
3 :  2
Scotland

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
0 :  3
Denmark

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
5 :  1
Belarus

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  0
Bulgaria
L D D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
0 :  1
Greece

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
1 :  2
Greece

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
3 :  1
Greece
Netherlands
Netherlands Last matches
D W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
1 :  2
Netherlands

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
1 :  1
Germany

29 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Morocco

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Tunisia
1 :  3
Netherlands

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
2 :  2
Japan
L W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
1 :  1
Germany

29 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Morocco

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
2 :  2
Japan

8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
2 :  1
Uzbekistan

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
0 :  1
Algeria
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
1 :  2
Netherlands

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Tunisia
1 :  3
Netherlands

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  1
Netherlands

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  4
Netherlands

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  3
Netherlands

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

Greece vs Netherlands Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Greece

0 %

Draw

0 %

Netherlands

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

16 Oct 2023 - Euro

Greece
0 :  1
Netherlands

7 Sept 2023 - Euro

Netherlands
3 :  0
Greece
Greece vs Netherlands Prediction

Greece vs Netherlands last Lineups

Greece

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
K. Tzolakis
2
G. Vagiannidis
4
K. Mavropanos
5
P. Retsos
21
K. Tsimikas
19
K. Karetsas
15
T. Androutsos
20
C. Zafeiris
10
C. Tzolis
14
V. Pavlidis
16
A. Tetteh
11
C. Gakpo
17
M. Meerdink
7
C. Summerville
14
T. Reijnders
18
J. Veerman
8
R. Gravenberch
15
M. van de Ven
4
V. van Dijk
6
J. van Hecke
22
D. Dumfries
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Netherlands

Substitutes

Greece
Greece
Goalkeeper

O. Vlachodimos

C. Mandas

Defender

M. Saliakas

G. Kyriakopoulos

G. Michailidis

A. Ntoi

Midfielder

C. Mouzakitis

D. Kourbelis

Forward

C. Kostoulas

G. Masouras

A. Douvikas

F. Ioannidis

Netherlands
Netherlands
Goalkeeper

R. Roefs

M. Flekken

Defender

J. Hato

J. Timber

N. Ake

Midfielder

K. Taylor

T. Koopmeiners

Q. Timber

G. Til

Forward

R. van Bommel

N. Lang

J. Zirkzee

Missing players

Greece
Greece
Netherlands
Netherlands
Forward

C. Gakpo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Greece
CD Huachipato Netherlands
Top Goalscorer
Greece A. Douvikas (1 Goals) , 
Greece C. Tzolis (1 Goals) , 
Greece D. Kourbelis (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands M. Meerdink (2 Goals)
Best assists
Greece K. Tsimikas (1 Assists) , 
Greece V. Pavlidis (1 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands R. van Bommel (1 Assists) , 
Netherlands G. Til (1 Assists)

Greece and Netherlands Stats in UEFA Nations League

Greece
Greece
Netherlands
Netherlands
100%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
50%
2
Average goals per match
2.5
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.5
0.5
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
50%
BTTS
100%

Greece - Netherlands Key Points

  1. Five of the Netherlands’ last seven matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. There have been at least three goals in four of the Netherlands’ last six UNL matches.
  3. Ten of Greece’s last 15 matches saw more than two goals scored.
  4. Greece scored at least two goals in eight of their last 11 UNL matches.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Greece vs Netherlands Prediction

Greece are the unlikely pace setters in the group, as they lead the pack with two wins. The Netherlands are also unbeaten in this year’s competition, with new manager Xavi looking to strengthen their claims of reaching the quarter-finals with another victory. Adding to those hopes is Greece’s recent home form of three defeats in their last four home games.

Three of the last four matches between these sides were high-scoring affairs, and that pattern is likely to continue here. Our Greece vs Netherlands prediction is over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Greece vs. Netherlands game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Greece and Netherlands? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.