Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International

ATP - Brisbane International

ATP 61 France
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
05/01/2026 22:00
ATP 20 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

3.5
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fourth seed Tommy Paul begins his 2026 ATP season in Brisbane, where he will face unseeded Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round. This is their first career meeting. Below, we have a prediction for this match.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ended 2025 with four straight losses. He lost in the opening rounds at Basel, Paris, and Metz. The losses led to him finishing the season with a losing record, having lost 26 of 49 contests.

His final stretch, however, did not do justice to a campaign that saw him earn three semi-final finishes at the tour level. One of those last four appearances was achieved in his debut campaign in Brisbane. Mpetshi Perricard starts the season ranked 58th in the ATP.

Tommy Paul, who is making his Brisbane debut, is set for his first competitive fixture in four months. The American saw his 2025 season end early due to a recurring foot injury.

Paul ended his season after a third-round exit at the US Open. He, however, seems to have fully recovered after winning a recent exhibition match against Nick Kyrgios, his first appearance since August.

Paul had an exciting run in 2025. He made it to a career-high world ranking of number eight after producing quarter-final finishes at the Australian and French Opens. He also had four semi-final finishes in Rome, Dallas, Houston, and Adelaide.

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The Best Betting Odds for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Tommy Paul Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.75 1.44
Melbet
2.71 1.46
BC Game
2.58 1.45
Tonybet
2.6 1.46
888Starz
2.68 1.48
Check all Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul odds

Who will win the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul match is: Exact score 1-2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul game on 05/01/2026 of the current Brisbane International season:

  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 41.57% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.75.
  • Tommy Paul has a 58.43% probability of winning facing Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ⭐ with odds of 1.48 at 888Starz.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 41.57 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard41.57 %
Tommy Paul58.43 %

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Form

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Tommy Paul Last Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Last matches
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

3 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Vitaliy Sachko

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

18 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Jiri Lehecka

17 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

14 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Emil Ruusuvuori
1 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Tommy Paul Last matches
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  2
Tommy Paul

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Nuno Borges
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Elmer Moller
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Sebastian Ofner
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Paul has won 205 matches on hard courts.
  2. Mpetshi Perricard has lost his last four fixtures.
  3. Mpetshi Perricard had more losses than wins last season.
  4. Paul has lost just four first-round ties in the last two seasons.
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Our Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Our prediction for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Tommy Paul is - Exact score 1-2. Paul is an exceptional hard-court player and has won over 200 matches on such surfaces. Last year, he won close to 70% of the matches he contested on hard courts.

Mpetshi Perricard is also a strong hard-court performer and will make it tough for his American opponent. The Frenchman, however, had a poor end to last season and hasn’t competed in two months. Match fitness concerns are likely to hinder him here against one of the top players on the tour.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

3.5
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul Prediction