Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Relegation-threatened Mainz need to halt their winless sequence as they come up against the mid-table side Freiburg in a matchday 12 fixture of the Bundesliga campaign. This match on Sunday at Europa-Park-Stadion between the 11th-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 17th-placed Die Nullfunfer comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
After 11 rounds, Freiburg’s 13 points (W3, D4, L4) put them six points above the relegation zone and seven points behind the European qualification spots. Mainz’s six points (W1, D3, L7) see them start this round two points adrift of the safety zone.
Freiburg drew 0-0 away at Viktoria Plzen, making it two games without a win, following a 6-2 thrashing at Bayern Munich last week. This sequence was followed by three wins and a draw in all competitions.
Their league form is indifferent, with only one win from their last seven games (D4, L2). Playing at home is slightly better, as they won and drew two games each at this venue.
Mainz lost 1-0 away at Craiova in the Conference League this week, making it their fourth defeat in their last seven competitive games. Their form in the league has been dire, as Mainz lost five of their seven recent league trips, drawing two.
That run saw them lose their three recent league trips, casting doubts over their fortunes here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.78 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.55 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Freiburg wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Freiburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.32% for a win of Freiburg against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.8 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 28.82% with odds of 3.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.86% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg with odds of 4.91 at 888Starz.
Freiburg - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 53.32% | 1.8 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.06% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 23.79% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Freiburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -2 |
|
17
|
12 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -13 |
Freiburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderM. Rosenfelder
C. Gunter
A. Jung
MidfielderN. Hofler
P. Osterhage
J. Adamu
I. Matanovic
D. Scherhant
D. Batz
DefenderS. Widmer
A. Hanche-Olsen
L. Maloney
W. Boving
N. Veratschnig
ForwardA. Sieb
F. Moreno Fell
B. Bobzien
Missing players
D. Kyereh
A. Caci
M. Dal
MidfielderD. Kohr
D. Gleiber
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
1 Fsv Mainz 05
V. Grifo
(6 Goals)
N. Amiri
(5 Goals)
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(2 Assists)
,
J. Beste
(2 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Jae-sung
(2 Assists)
Freiburg - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Freiburg saw BTTS in each of their five home league matches this season.
- Freiburg won two of their last four home league games.
- Four of Mainz’s last five Bundesliga matches saw both teams score goals.
- Mainz lost five of their last seven league games, drawing the other two.
- Mainz were beaten in their last three league trips.
- Five of the last seven league games between Freiburg and Mainz saw both teams score goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz are in the relegation zone and are struggling to get wins in their corner. They collected just two points from their last seven league fixtures, underlining their biggest concern. In line with that sequence, Mainz have lost their last three away league games, although the last two have come by a single-goal margin. Freiburg are in the mid-table but are struggling for consistency. Four of their last seven league games ended in draws, while they won just once.
This match could see goals, and our Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is Freiburg wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.15 | 1.8 | -16.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.9 | +11.4% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 3.35 | 4.91 | +46.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 55.6% (9.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Freiburg vs. 1 Fsv Mainz 05 game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Freiburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
