Finland vs Belarus Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Finland
29/09/2026 12:00
Belarus

Prediction :

 

Finland wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Finland will look to make it two wins out of two and stay top of Group C1 in League C of the UEFA Nations League (UNL) when they host Belarus on matchday two. This match on Tuesday at the Helsinki Olympic Stadium between the first-placed ‘Eagle-owls’ and the third-placed ‘White Wings’ is likely to favour the hosts with our match prediction backing a home win.

After a 7-0 win on Saturday, Finland are top of the table with a comfortable goal difference margin over Albania. Belarus are third with zero points, only goal difference keeping them above San Marino.

Finland posted one of their most comprehensive wins in history, thrashing San Marino 7-0 on the road on Saturday. Joel Pohjanpalo picked up a hat-trick as the ‘Eagle-owls’ made light of their form – three consecutive defeats – heading into the weekend.

They can now consolidate their hold at the top with another win, and three wins from the last four home games (L1) give Finland a timely boost.

Belarus conceded twice before the break to lose 2-0 at Albania on Saturday. That ended a six-game unbeaten sequence (W3, D3), although a winless five-game run (D3, L2) in the UNL matches is of concern. Recent away form is of equal concern, as Belarus have lost three of their last four away competitive games (D1).

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Finland v Belarus Best Betting Odds

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1.71 3.5 4.8
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1.73 3.64 5.61
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1.7 3.56 5.45
Betwinner
1.7 3.56 5.45
22bet
1.96 3.3 4.14
Check all Finland vs Belarus odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and Belarus?

Our prediction for the Finland vs Belarus match is: Finland wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Finland and Belarus in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.99% for a win of Finland against Belarus with odds of 1.96 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs Belarus is 15.62% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Belarus vs Finland with odds of 5.61 at 1xbet.

Finland vs Belarus Form

Finland and Belarus's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Finland
3 1 1 0 0 +7
3 Belarus
0 1 0 0 1 -2

Finland and Belarus Last Matches

Finland
Finland Last matches
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Finland
4 :  0
Andorra
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Finland
4 :  0
Andorra

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Lithuania

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  2
Greece
L W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
4 :  0
Finland
Belarus
Belarus Last matches
D W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
2 :  2
Burkina Faso

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
4 :  1
Syria

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
2 :  2
Burkina Faso

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belarus
4 :  1
Syria

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  6
Denmark

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  2
Scotland

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Belarus
1 :  4
Russia
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
0 :  1
Belarus

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
2 :  2
Belarus

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Scotland
2 :  1
Belarus

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
5 :  1
Belarus
Finland vs Belarus Prediction

Finland vs Belarus last Lineups

Finland

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

12
V. Sinisalo
13
J. Lahteenmaki
15
S. Miettinen
21
V. Koski
19
B. Kallman
10
L. Walta
11
A. Markhiyev
14
K. Kairinen
18
T. Keskinen
22
A. Svanback
20
J. Pohjanpalo
18
Y. Malashevich
11
G. Barkovsky
22
A. Kontsevoy
10
V. Gromyko
8
A. Selyava
9
A. Ebong Ngome
2
K. Pechenin
3
I. Tikhomirov
20
Z. Volkov
5
V. Kalinin
21
F. Lapoukhov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Belarus

Substitutes

Finland
Finland
Goalkeeper

L. Bergstrom

L. Hradecky

Defender

R. Mahuta

L. Vaisanen

T. Miettinen

Midfielder

A. Suhonen

A. Stahl

G. Kamara

S. Vaananen

R. Lod

O. Valakari

Forward

O. Jukkola

Belarus
Belarus
Goalkeeper

P. Pavlyuchenko

A. Kudravets

Defender

K. Gomanov

R. Begunov

A. Svirepa

E. Parkhomenko

Midfielder

A. Kovalev

V. Bocherov

A. Lukashov

Forward

V. Lisakovich

A. Shumanskiy

T. Simanenka

Finland and Belarus Stats in UEFA Nations League

Finland
Finland
Belarus
Belarus
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
100%
0%
Draws
0%
7
Average goals per match
2
7
Goals scored per match
0
0
Goals conceded per match
2
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
0%

Finland - Belarus Key Points

  1. Finland won two of their last three matches against Belarus, although they came between 2013 and 2018.
  2. Finland have three wins from their last four home matches.
  3. Belarus lost six of their last 12 matches, winning just three.
  4. Belarus have failed to score in four of their last seven UNL matches.
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Our Finland vs Belarus Prediction

An emphatic victory over San Marino set the tone for Finland, who will eye another win here to strengthen their promotion claims. It won’t be straightforward against Belarus, who, despite losing on matchday one, can be a threat. The visitors have consistently kept teams at bay in the Nations League, although they have struggled on the road, which could come back to haunt them here.

Belarus lost two of their last three away matches in the Nations League, and that trend could likely continue here. Our Finland vs Belarus prediction is Finland wins.

Prediction :

 

Finland wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.