Finland vs Albania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Finland
03/10/2026 09:00
Albania

Prediction :

 

Finland wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Two teams with strong starts to the UEFA Nations League, Finland and Albania, are set to face off in Group C1 on matchday three. Hosts Finland are currently second on four points, with Albania top  of the pool after two straight wins. It has been a while since Albania visited, but they lost on all three, and our prediction is for the Finns to prevail again.

Finland are not just unbeaten in their last four meetings with Albania, but they also have a good run at home. In their opening game, they thrashed San Marino 7-0, but ahead of this encounter, they played to a 0-0 draw with Belarus.

Finland have also posted three wins in their last five home matches, their only loss being a shock one, against Malta.

Albania are looking to keep their perfect start to the season intact, having claimed victory against Belarus and San Marino. On matchday one, at home, they saw off Belarus 2-0 before beating San Marino 3-0 on the road.

Before the two wins, Albania had suffered five straight defeats, with clear struggles in attack. They had only scored once in the five matches, yet they come here with five goals in the last two.

Here they have a second straight away match, and there will be concerns, having lost two of their last three matches on the road. Their form away to Finland is also a concern.

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Finland v Albania Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.35 3.15 3
1xbet
2.47 3.3 3.1
Melbet
2.42 3.22 3.03
Betwinner
2.42 3.22 3.03
Bet365
2.45 3.2 2.9
Check all Finland vs Albania odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and Albania?

Our prediction for the Finland vs Albania match is: Finland wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Finland and Albania in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.21% for a win of Finland against Albania with odds of 2.47 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs Albania is 12.28% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Albania vs Finland with odds of 3.1 at 1xbet.

Finland vs Albania Form

Finland and Albania's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Albania
6 2 2 0 0 +5
2 Finland
4 2 1 1 0 +7

Finland and Albania Last Matches

Finland
Finland Last matches
W D L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  0
Belarus

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland
L W W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  0
Belarus

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Finland
4 :  0
Andorra

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Lithuania

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands
L W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  7
Finland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
4 :  0
Finland
Albania
Albania Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  3
Albania

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Luxembourg

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Israel

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Albania
2 :  0
Belarus

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Luxembourg

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Israel

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Albania
0 :  2
England

14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Albania
4 :  2
Jordan

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Albania
1 :  0
Latvia
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  3
Albania

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Andorra
0 :  1
Albania

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
0 :  1
Albania

4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Albania
Finland vs Albania Prediction

Finland vs Albania last Lineups

Finland

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
L. Hradecky
3
A. Stahl
21
V. Koski
4
T. Miettinen
13
J. Lahteenmaki
18
T. Keskinen
6
G. Kamara
14
K. Kairinen
11
A. Markhiyev
10
L. Walta
20
J. Pohjanpalo
10
E. Muci
7
R. Manaj
11
M. Uzuni
8
K. Asllani
16
J. Shehu
9
A. Mehmeti
3
M. Mitaj
6
B. Djimsiti
18
A. Ismajli
2
S. Sina
12
A. Sherri

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Albania

Substitutes

Finland
Finland
Goalkeeper

L. Bergstrom

V. Sinisalo

Defender

R. Mahuta

S. Miettinen

M. Peltola

L. Vaisanen

Midfielder

S. Vaananen

D. Hakans

A. Svanback

R. Lod

A. Suhonen

Forward

B. Kallman

Albania
Albania
Goalkeeper

M. Dajsinani

E. Berisha

Defender

M. Kumbulla

S. Pilios

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

Y. Ramadani

L. Hasa

K. Qefalija

Forward

T. Seferi

A. Hoxha

C. Shpendi

M. Daku

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Finland
CD Huachipato Albania
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Pohjanpalo (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Albania E. Muci (1 Goals) ,  Albania K. Asllani (1 Goals) ,  Albania M. Uzuni (1 Goals) ,  Albania R. Manaj (1 Goals) ,  Albania A. Mehmeti (1 Goals)
Best assists
Finland A. Svanback (2 Assists)
Best assists
Albania E. Hysaj (1 Assists) , 
Albania R. Manaj (1 Assists)

Finland and Albania Stats in UEFA Nations League

Finland
Finland
Albania
Albania
50%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
50%
Draws
0%
3.5
Average goals per match
2.5
3.5
Goals scored per match
2.5
0
Goals conceded per match
0
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
100%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

Finland - Albania Key Points

  1. Albania have lost five times in their last seven matches.
  2. Albania lost all three of their away matches against Finland.
  3. Finland are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Albania.
  4. Finland won three times in their last five outings at home.
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Our Finland vs Albania Prediction

Before their win over San Marino, Albania had suffered back-to-back away defeats. The visitors have a history of struggling in recent matches and also being let down by a poor attack. With five losses in their last seven outings and a poor away record in this fixture, we expect them to struggle here.

Finland have this chance to go top of the group, and they should be able to seize it, having won three of their last five home matches. They are also unbeaten in four meetings with Albania. Our prediction for Finland v Albania is that Finland wins.

Prediction :

 

Finland wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.