North Macedonia vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
North Macedonia's and Scotland’s struggles with goal scoring could determine the outcome when the nations meet on matchday three of Group B1 of the UEFA Nations League (UNL). This match on Saturday at the National Arena in Toshe Proeski in Skopje between the fourth-placed ‘Lions’ and the third-placed Scots could throw a low-scoring outcome.
The hosts were beaten in both their games of this UNL cycle and are stuck at the bottom of the points tally with a negative goal difference of five. Scotland are only marginally above in terms of points (D1, L1) and goal difference (minus three). With the bottom-placed side set to be in danger of relegation, both teams need a win to steer clear of danger.
The challenge for new manager Sebastien Pocognoli is to get his men scoring before it’s too late. The ‘Tartan Army’ isn’t yet demanding his removal, but the demand for improvement in results is evident. With the pressure on both teams, will there be a change of fortunes? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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North Macedonia v Scotland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.6 | 3.55 | 1.74 |
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4.91 | 3.64 | 1.81 |
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4.8 | 3.56 | 1.78 |
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4.8 | 3.56 | 1.78 |
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4.8 | 3.56 | 1.78 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between North Macedonia and Scotland?
Our prediction for the North Macedonia vs Scotland match is: BTTS: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between North Macedonia and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.86% for a win of North Macedonia against Scotland with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between North Macedonia vs Scotland is 41.16% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs North Macedonia with odds of 1.81 at 1xbet.
North Macedonia vs Scotland Form
North Macedonia and Scotland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 |
North Macedonia and Scotland Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
North Macedonia - Scotland: Form Analysis
North Macedonia lost 2-0 away at Slovenia on matchday two. Combined with their 3-0 defeat at home against Switzerland, they have lost both their UNL matches this cycle and start at the bottom of the standings.
Three defeats in a row and a winless run of ten games (D5, L5) suggest their troubles aren’t limited to this cycle. Playing at home could unlock value for the hosts, who have lost only one of their last 12 matches (W5, D6).
North Macedonia haven’t scored in their last six matches.
Those scoring woes engulf Scotland too, with the visitors failing to score in their last four matches. They come here on the back of a 3-0 home loss against Switzerland, making it three defeats in a row.
The Scots are now without a goal for games in a row (D1, L3), underlining the urgency of getting back to scoring ways. Scotland will feel they can improve things here, as their last two trips in the Nations League ended in victories.
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North Macedonia vs Scotland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
D. Siskovski
D. Taleski
DefenderV. Musliu
G. Zajkov
B. Ilievski
MidfielderG. Djekov
E. Bardhi
L. Doriev
L. Stankovski
ForwardB. Miovski
E. Rastoder
H. Maleski
S. Bain
L. Kelly
DefenderL. Graham
J. Doig
S. Welsh
A. Hickey
MidfielderL. Miller
K. Montgomery
R. Christie
J. McPake
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
R. Ure
North Macedonia & Scotland Squad Analysis
North Macedonia have no new injury concerns after their latest game. That leaves Captain Enis Bardhi in line to win his 84th international cap, as he is likely to line up just behind the striker. The hosts have usually lined up in a 4-2-3-1 system, with Bojan Miovski likely to be the lone man upfront.
The lack of goals from the forwards throws the burden back onto Bardhi and Eljif Elmas to contribute. The pair have 33 goals between them and are among the top six all-time scorers for their nation, increasing the pressure.
Scotland’s John McGinn has one goal and two assists from his last six games.
He will be vital to their chances, but the visitors are guilty of showing no enterprise. McGinn could play a key role in the central midfield of their 3-5-2 formation, although the onus of breaking their scoring duck could fall on Oliver McBurnie.
The Hull City forward missed a few glorious chances against Switzerland but will hope to break his duck here. Regardless, Captain Andrew Robertson will be looking to reach his 100th national cap here and celebrate it with a win.
North Macedonia and Scotland Stats in UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia - Scotland Key Points
- North Macedonia have failed to score in their last six matches.
- Only two of North Macedonia’s last 11 matches saw both teams score.
- Eight of Scotland’s last nine matches saw at least one side fail to score.
- Only one of Scotland’s last seven UNL matches have seen BTTS.
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Our North Macedonia vs Scotland Prediction
Both teams are yet to score a goal, and their scoring problems stretch beyond this tournament. North Macedonia have failed to score in eight of their last ten games, including six in a row. Scotland have also failed to score in six of their last nine games, including four in a row, which suggests that the scoring struggles could continue here.
Two of the four previous head-to-head matches saw one team fail to score, although those games were played before 2010. That trend may continue, though, and our North Macedonia vs Scotland prediction is BTTS: No.
North Macedonia vs Scotland Alternative Predictions
Scotland wins
Both teams are under pressure to deliver, especially with goals also drying up. Scotland may have the right team and it’s just time for them to click. Back them to win.
Andrew Robertson to Get Carded
Andrew Robertson is set to receive his 100th international cap, but can he cap it with a win? He may have to keep his aggressive instincts under check, having picked up three yellow cards in his last four away UNL League B group stage games. Back him to pick up a yellow card.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.