06 August 2022 - 12:30

England - Premier League

Day 1

Everton

Chelsea

Tip :

Over 2.5

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Tip Everton - Chelsea

Prediction published on 03/08/2022 by Daniel Ngulu | Modified on 03/08/2022 at 14:26

Everton finished just four points above the relegation region last season and they will be targeting a better campaign this time. They start off their Premier League campaign with a home game against Chelsea, both teams having had some turbulence in preseason. The two sides have strengthened ahead of this game, with defender James Tarkowski coming from Burnley the highlight signing for Everton while Raheem Sterling from Manchester City has been the top mover for Chelsea. Everton won their final two preseason games, and Chelsea beat Udinese to wrap up their preseason activity. With four straight home wins in the league against Chelsea, the hosts will be fired up for this but then they will be without Richarlison, the man who has scored three times in those four matches. The Brazilian has moved to Tottenham Hotspur.

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The best odds for betting

1	X	2
6.5	4.2	1.55
7	4.25	1.53
6.6	4	1.57
6.6	3.9	1.55

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By virtue of their strength, Chelsea will go into this game as the favorites and the best bets for a Blues win stands at 1.67 while a draw in this game comes with odds of 4.14 at best. Despite dominating their recent home matches against Chelsea, the hosts are rated underdogs here, with best odds of 5.7 for a win.

Teams form

Ranking

15e

Everton

Premier League

Chelsea

Last matches

Everton Last matches

V D D D V V

29 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton

4 : 0

Dynamo Kyiv

24 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Blackpool

2 : 4

Everton

20 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Minnesota United

4 : 0

Everton

16 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

2 : 0

Everton

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 1

Everton

19 May 2022 - Premier League

Everton

3 : 2

Crystal Palace

Chelsea Last matches

N V V N D V

29 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Udinese

1 : 3

Chelsea

23 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup

Arsenal

4 : 0

Chelsea

20 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup

Charlotte FC

1 : 1

Chelsea

16 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup

CF America

1 : 2

Chelsea

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea

2 : 1

Watford

19 May 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Leicester

Head to head

Everton

40 %

Draw

30 %

Chelsea

30 %

1 May 2022 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 0

Chelsea

16 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Everton

8 Mar 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea

2 : 0

Everton

12 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 0

Chelsea

8 Mar 2020 - Premier League

Chelsea

4 : 0

Everton

7 Dec 2019 - Premier League

Everton

3 : 1

Chelsea

17 Mar 2019 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 0

Chelsea

11 Nov 2018 - Premier League

Chelsea

0 : 0

Everton

23 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Everton

0 : 0

Chelsea

25 Oct 2017 - EFL Cup

Chelsea

2 : 1

Everton

Form Analysis

Everton had a poor run last season but even at their worst, they didn’t lose to Chelsea in the two league games they faced off. The Toffees won their last two matches in preseason and will be banking on this run to extend here, but defensively they’ve been poor. A shaky backline has been the concern for Chelsea too, and especially after failing to keep a clean sheet in the four preseason games. With the defensive numbers the two sides take into this game, over 2.5 goals is a possibility.

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Starting 11

Everton

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

J Pickford

N Patterson

J Tarkowski

R Vinagre

M Holgate

V Mykolenko

D Gray

A Doucoure

A Iwobi

D Alli

A Gordon

R Sterling

A Broja

C Pulisic

R Loftus-Cheek

C Gallagher

N Kante

R James

M Cucurella

T Silva

C Azpilicueta

E Mendy

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Chelsea

Missing players

Everton

Goalkeeper A Begovic Midfielder A Townsend Forward D Calvert-Lewin S Rondon

Chelsea

Forward A Broja

Squad analysis

Chelsea have Raheem Sterling as a key focal point going into this game, and having scored in the team’s final preseason outing, he will definitely command a starting role. Carney Chukwuemeka is also expected in from Aston Villa but this match may come too soon for the teenager. There’s talk of Timo Werner leaving in the current window and after struggling at Chelsea so far, we may not see him feature here. As for Everton, new man James Tarkowski is expected to start, but the bigger news will be on whether Dominic Calvert Lewin starts. The man who has scored in Everton’s season opening matches in the last two seasons is reported to have sustained an injury in training this week and will leave the hosts seriously short in attack if he is ruled out.

Key points Everton - Chelsea

Everton have four straight wins at home against Chelsea in the Premier League.
Four of Everton’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
Everton have conceded twice or more in four of the last five matches.
Four of Chelsea’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
Chelsea have no clean sheet in their last five matches.

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Our prediction

Chelsea haven’t been the free spenders of the previous campaigns but acquiring Raheem Sterling will assure of some quality in attack. It is however the departures of Andreas Christensen and Antonio Rudiger that will dominate the pre-match talk especially with the poor runs in defence in preseason. Everton haven’t also done well defensively, with just a clean sheet in their last five games. For both teams, over 2.5 goals has been recurrent in their games and with their shortcomings in defence, we see the same outcome here.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.