Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Estonia could stretch their unbeaten run to five in their third game of the new UEFA Nations League group season. Luxembourg, their next opponent, just ended their three-game winning run after losing to Iceland. There is plenty to play for come Saturday, but both teams are scoring few goals, so our Estonia vs Luxembourg match prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Luxembourg played 3-0 in their last group game in this tournament, bringing their three-game winning run to an end. In that four-game run, they scored seven goals. d'Rout Léiwen have also scored in four of their past five group games, taking their total tally to nine. Now they will test their attacking form against Estonia, who are yet to win a Nations League game in 2026.
Estonia’s recent 0-0 tie against Bulgaria was only the second game they failed to score out of their past seven. They scored eight goals in that seven-game run, a factor that will give them confidence to get a goal against Luxembourg. Sinisärgid will also be emboldened by their recent head-to-head meetings, as they have won both occasions.
Luxembourg’s four wins in their past six will bolster their confidence ahead of Saturday. Yet, both teams are scoring at a lower rate. So, we expect the game to end with fewer than three goals by full time.
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Estonia v Luxembourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.9 | 3.15 | 2.44 |
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3.1 | 3.12 | 2.58 |
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|
3.03 | 3.05 | 2.53 |
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|
2.95 | 3.15 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Estonia vs Luxembourg match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Estonia and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.56% for a win of Estonia against Luxembourg with odds of 3.1 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Luxembourg is 21.67% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Estonia with odds of 2.58 at 1xbet.
Estonia vs Luxembourg Form
Estonia and Luxembourg's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
|
3
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Estonia and Luxembourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Estonia vs Luxembourg last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Igonen
Andre Karl Vallner
DefenderR. Peetson
M. Kuusk
F. Liivak
J. Saliste
J. Tamm
MidfielderK. Palumets
M. Skvortsov
M. Ainsalu
M. Miller
ForwardM. Mannilaan
T. Kips
T. Pereira
DefenderM. Martins
V. Selimovic
E. Dzogovic
M. Goncalves
MidfielderE. dos Santos
S. Thill
O. Natami
T. Rupil
E. Veiga
ForwardJ. Videira Pereira
Most goals and assists
Estonia
Luxembourg
M. Paskotsi
(1 Goals)
V. Thill
(1 Goals)
,
L. Barreiro
(1 Goals)
R. Peetson
(1 Assists)
H. Kadamani
(1 Assists)
Estonia and Luxembourg Stats in UEFA Nations League
Estonia - Luxembourg Key Points
- Sinisärgid have scored in six of their past eight games.
- Luxembourg has scored in four of their past six UEFA Nations League group games.
- Their last meeting ended with less than 2.5 goals.
- d'Rout Léiwen have only scored more than 2.5 goals in one out of their past nine games.
- Estonia has scored more than one goal in their past five UEFA League Group games.
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Our Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction
Luxembourg will look to get back to winning ways against Estonia come Saturday. However, they have lost their past two H2H meetings. Their goal-scoring form ahead of Saturday’s game is 1.4 in their past five, and this could encourage them to play more attacking-minded football.
However, like their last game, we expect Saturday’s matchup to end with fewer than three goals, especially because Estonia's goalscoring is not very high. Hence, our Estonia vs Luxembourg match prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
