England vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
We head to the Home of Football for a blockbuster opening-round match between England and Spain in Group A3 of the UEFA Nations League on Saturday evening. A total of 15 goals were scored in the last five matches between these European giants, and our prediction is that both sides will get on the scoresheet in the clash as well.
Despite leading the Three Lions to a third-place finish - their best-ever finish at a World Cup on foreign soil - this international break feels pivotal for Thomas Tuchel’s future with England. Beyond the three points on offer, England are out for revenge here, as it was this very opponent that denied them the European Championship title in Berlin back in July 2024.
While English fans remain divided over Tuchel’s suitability for his role, there are no such issues for La Roja boss Luis de La Fuente, who was handed a new contract until 2032 after guiding his side to the World Cup title. The visitors have won three of their last five matches against this opponent (D1 L1), including a 2-1 victory on their last visit to this exact venue. Let’s get into the key stats!
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England v Spain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.9 | 3.35 | 2.3 |
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3 | 3.4 | 2.48 |
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2.91 | 3.34 | 2.44 |
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2.91 | 3.34 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.32 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Spain?
Our prediction for the England vs Spain match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between England and Spain in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.04% for a win of England against Spain with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Spain is 13.15% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Spain vs England with odds of 2.48 at 1xbet.
England vs Spain Form
England and Spain Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2026 - World Cup
14 Jul 2026 - World Cup
10 Jul 2026 - World Cup
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2026 - World Cup
10 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2026 - World Cup
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
England vs Spain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
15 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2016 - International Friendlies
England - Spain: Form Analysis
After suffering relegation from League A in the Nations League in 2022-23, England secured immediate promotion back to the top tier by winning Group B2 in the last edition of the competition.
While questionable tactics contributed to them bowing out of the 2026 World Cup to Argentina 2-1 in the semis, the Three Lions clinched bronze by beating France 6-4 in the third-place playoff.
The hosts have a solid home record in recent times, having won five of their last seven home matches across all competitions (D1 L1), while keeping clean sheets in each victory during this period.
England have averaged 2.5 goals per game across their last eight competitive matches!
Meanwhile, Spain went unbeaten in the 2024-25 Nations League. After topping their group with 16 points, they defeated the Netherlands and France before losing to Portugal 5-3 on penalties in the final.
However, that was the last time that La Roja tasted defeat. Since then, they have notched up 14 wins and four draws in 18 games, with the last being their 1-0 victory over Argentina in the World Cup final.
The visitors have also avoided defeat in their last 13 away matches across all competitions and have scored two or more goals in each of their last seven. Their last loss on the road was against Scotland in March 2023.
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England & Spain Squad Analysis
England were hit hard with injuries in the lead-up to their Nations League opener, with as many as five players withdrawing from the squad for the rest of the international break on Monday afternoon.
Among the now-confirmed absentees are Declan Rice, Kobbie Mainoo, Marcus Rashford, Cole Palmer, and Tino Livramento. Lewis Hall is a doubt after missing training on Wednesday afternoon.
Morgan Gibbs-White and James Garner were called up as replacements, while the absence of Rice, Jordan Henderson and Reece James could open the door for the likes of Myles Lewis-Skelly or Alex Scot in midfield.
Harry Kane became the fastest player to score 100 Bundesliga goals after his brace against Union Berlin last Friday!
Ferran Torres became a national hero after scoring the winning goal in the World Cup final in June. He enters this match having netted five goals in his last three matches for Paris Saint-Germain, including a hat-trick in his first UCL appearance for the Parisians.
De la Fuente has kept the core of the squad that featured at the World Cup, with Lamine Yamal, Rodri and Pau Cubarsí all expected to start this weekend. Joan Garcia and Gavi are the most notable injury absentees for the visitors.
England - Spain Key Points
- Each of England’s last five matches ended with both teams scoring.
- England have averaged 2.5 goals per game across their last eight competitive matches.
- England have only failed to score in one of their last 13 home games.
- Spain have only failed to score in one of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Both teams scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our England vs Spain Prediction
While England were immaculate in defence during their World Cup qualifiers, they struggled to keep out better attacking units in the latter stages of the global competition, conceding 10 in their last five matches.
Still, the Three Lions have plenty of firepower in their attack, which is spearheaded by Ballon d'Or favourite Harry Kane, and we fancy them to get on the scoresheet here. However, we doubt the hosts will be able to keep a clean sheet against Spain’s World Cup-winning forward line. Our England vs Spain prediction is BTTS.
England vs Spain Alternative Predictions
Spain wins
Harry Kane to score or assist
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England vs Spain - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between England and Spain will be broadcast live on ITV 1 (UK) and RTVE Play (Spain).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
