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22 June 2024 - 18:00 

- Day 1

South America - Copa America

Ecuador
VS
Venezuela

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Ecuador vs Venezuela Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions

Ecuador and Venezuela are currently above Brazil in the South American World Cup qualification, but can they translate that confidence when they start their Copa America 2024 campaign?

This Group B fixture at Levi's Stadium on Saturday could be crucial for both teams' hopes of making it to the knockouts. With Mexico and Jamaica being the other two teams, the winner here will get a good foothold in the group standings.

This is a tournament that Ecuador hasn't won ever and reached the quarterfinals in the last edition, despite not winning a game. Venezuela are slightly better, moving out of the group in four of their last six appearances.

Will it be Ecuador or Venezuela who are likely to start the tournament with a bang and get an early advantage? Let's check it out.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Venezuela Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
501 23 1.01
Ladbrokes
2.4 2.1 4.4
NetBet
1.75 3.2 4.3
1xbet
501 41 1
22bet
501 41 1
Betwinner
1.81 3.46 4.76
Stake
100 8.25 1.07
Melbet
1.81 3.46 4.7
Tonybet
2 3.2 4.4
Check all Ecuador vs Venezuela odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Venezuela?

Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Venezuela match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/22/24 between Ecuador and Venezuela in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47% for a win of Ecuador against Venezuela with odds of 501 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Venezuela is 36.33% with odds of 41 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Venezuela vs Ecuador with odds of 4.76 at Betwinner.

Ecuador - Venezuela Prediction and Best Odds:

Ecuador Venezuela Prediction Probability Odds
Ecuador wins 47% 501 at Bet365
Under 2.5 74.01% 2 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 40.83% 2.5 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador 22.61% 4.5 at Bet365

Ecuador vs Venezuela Form

Ecuador and Venezuela's standings in the Copa America

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Venezuela
Venezuela
9 3 3 0 0 5
2
Ecuador
Ecuador
4 3 1 1 1 1

Ecuador and Venezuela Last Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador Last matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  1
Honduras

12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
3 :  1
Bolivia

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  0
Guatemala

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Chile
Venezuela
Venezuela Last matches
W D D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
0 :  0
Venezuela

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Italy

10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  0
Venezuela

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Peru
1 :  1
Venezuela

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
0 :  0
Ecuador

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  0
Chile

Ecuador against Venezuela : Head to Head (H2H)

Ecuador

17 %

Draw

67 %

Venezuela

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
0 :  0
Ecuador

11 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Venezuela

10 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Venezuela
2 :  1
Ecuador

20 Jun 2021 - Copa America

Venezuela
2 :  2
Ecuador

1 Jun 2019 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  1
Ecuador

8 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  1
Ecuador
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Ecuador - Venezuela: Form Analysis

Ecuador has been regular in making it out of the group stage of the Copa America, reaching the quarterfinals in two of the last three tournaments. They come into the tournament in fairly good spirits, winning four of their last six matches and losing only two in the process.

Those two defeats have come against Italy (a 2-0 loss) and Argentina (a 1-0 loss), which isn't too bad considering the stature of those teams in world football. In fact, the Ecuadorians are punching above their weight in the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifiers. They are currently fifth in a batch of ten and above even Brazil.

Slightly above Ecuador on that table is Venezuela, and after six matchdays, both are doing well in their quest to qualify for the World Cup. Venezuela's preparation for this tournament, though, hasn't been exemplary, as they come here without a win in five matches.

Three of those have been draws, coming against Ecuador (0-0), Peru (1-1), and Guatemala (0-0). They were beaten 1-0 by Colombia and 2-1 by Italy. With only two goals to their name in the last five matches, Venezuela is sweating for goals, and that could peg them back in the Copa America competition.

Venezuela has struggled in this tournament in the past and has crashed out of the 2021 competition without a win. Interestingly, they haven't scored a goal against Ecuador in their last two matches, drawing 0-0 and losing 1-0. Four of the last six matches ended in draws, so the Venezuelans will bank on that factor to provide a gritty output.

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Ecuador against Venezuela Lineups: Starting 11

Ecuador

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
A. Dominguez
17
A. Preciado
2
F. Torres
6
W. Pacho
3
P. Hincapie
21
A. Franco
23
M. Caicedo
9
J. Yeboah
10
K. Paez
16
J. Sarmiento
13
E. Valencia
10
Y. Soteldo
23
S. Rondon
11
D. Machis
13
J. Martinez
6
Y. Herrera
18
C. Casseres Jr
15
M. Navarro
3
Y. Osorio
2
N. Ferraresi
21
A. Gonzalez
22
R. Romo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Venezuela

Missing players

Ecuador
Ecuador
Defender

A. Preciado

Venezuela
Venezuela
Midfielder

D. Machis

Ecuador & Venezuela Squad Analysis

Ecuador's most decorated player will be Enner Valencia, who has 41 goals in 86 national appearances. The forward will once again lead Ecuador here, with all eyes on Bayer Leverkusen's Piero Hincapie. There's Moises Caicedo too in the line-up, with the Chelsea midfielder set to earn his 43rd national cap.

Venezuela will have a familiar name leading the line, as Salomon Rondon will look to add to his 41 national goals. There's a lot of excitement around Jefferson Savarino back home, and he could partner Rondon in the final third.

Ecuador - Venezuela Key Points

  1. In six of Ecuador’s last eight matches, there have been fewer than three goals scored
  2. Venezuela have also seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches
  3. Venezuela have failed to score in three of their last five matches
  4. The recent World Cup qualifier between these sides in November 2023 ended in a 0-0 draw
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Our Ecuador vs Venezuela Prediction

These two teams are one of the low-scoring sides in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers. Even in recent games, Ecuador and Venezuela have limited themselves to fewer than three goals. In Venezuela's case, they struggled to even score, which was the case in three of their last five matches. They could set themselves up deep here to frustrate their South American neighbors. That pave the way for a low scorer, and our prediction for Ecuador vs Venezuela is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Ecuador vs Venezuela - Other Interesting Predictions

Ecuador to win to nil

Ecuador have been in relatively better form, winning four of their last six matches coming into this tournament. Both those defeats have come against tough teams Italy and Argentina. They have kept clean sheets in their last two matches against Venezuela and will look to win here with another clean sheet.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ecuador Venezuela

Ecuador vs Venezuela Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Ecuador wins 1.8 501 +27,733.3%
Draw 3.6 23 +538.9%
Venezuela wins 4.5 1.01 -77.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Ecuador is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 27,733.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 0.2% (-55.4%)

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Ecuador vs Venezuela match : Frequently asked questions

The Ecuador vs Venezuela Copa America match is scheduled for a 11pm UK time kick-off on Saturday, June 22, 2024, which will be 6pm ET.
The two South American teams are set to clash at the Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

The Ecuador vs Venezuela Copa America Group B match will be available live on Fox Sports 1 TV Channel in the USA. It can also be streamed live on the Fox Sports app.

Check out our Copa America Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ecuador vs Venezuela Prediction
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