Derby County vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
18/04/2025 07:30
Luton Town

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals to be scored

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions

Derby County host Luton Town in a crucial relegation battle in the Championship. The home side are 21st in the table with the visitors two places and three points below them. WIll it be a Good Friday for the Rams or the Hatters? Read our match prediction.

County are just a place and a point above the relegation zone with four matches remaining. Their most recent match saw them draw 2-2 at Portsmouth. They led twice in that match and conceded a 91st minute equalizer.

That  was their second successive league draw but three have been played without a win. Home form has produced nine league wins this season and three of the last four have been won. The last three played have all seen clean sheets kept.

Luton Town are in danger of a second successive relegation. The Hatters will draw level on points with Derby if they win this match but have an inferior goal difference. They only have two points from their last three league fixtures 

Last time out saw them lose 1-0 at home to Blackburn. Away form has been a big problem this season for Luton with 15 defeats. There has been recent improvement with seven points earned from the last three fixtures.

We go for under 2.5 goals in this match.

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Derby County vs Luton Town Form

Derby County and Luton Town's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8
22 Luton Town
49 46 13 10 23 -24

Derby County and Luton Town Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Derby County

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Burnley

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Derby County

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Burnley

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Derby County

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Derby County

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County
Luton Town
Luton Town Last matches
W D W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  1
Blackburn

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Luton Town

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Luton Town

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  2
Luton Town
L D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  1
Blackburn

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  0
Portsmouth

19 Feb 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Plymouth

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  1
Sheffield United
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Luton Town

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Luton Town

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  2
Luton Town

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Burnley
4 :  0
Luton Town

23 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Luton Town

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  0
Luton Town

Derby County vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

0 %

Luton Town

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2024 - Championship

Luton Town
2 :  1
Derby County

Derby County against Luton Town Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

31
J. Vickers
6
S. Langas
12
N. Phillips
25
M. Clarke
2
K. Wilson
32
E. Adams
28
H. Armstrong
3
C. Forsyth
11
N. Mendez
10
J. Yates
18
M. Harness
22
M. Fanne Dabo
9
C. Morris
21
M. Alli
18
J. Clark
8
T. Aasgaard
12
K. Naismith
25
I. Jones
3
A. Bell
6
M. McGuinness
28
C. Makosso
24
T. Kaminski

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Luton Town

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. Luthra

Defender

E. Pieters

J. Rooney

Midfielder

K. Goudmijn

S. Langas 76'

L. Thompson

B. Osborn

Forward

L. Wheeldon

T. Barkhuizen

H. Armstrong 90'

K. Jackson

N. Mendez 15'

Luton Town
Luton Town
Goalkeeper

T. Krul

Defender

T. Mengi

M. Fanne Dabo 72'

R. Burke

I. Jones 73'

Midfielder

M. Nakamba

J. Clark 81'

L. Walsh

T. Chong

M. Alli 90'

Z. Nelson

Forward

L. Nordas

C. Morris 81'

T. Harris

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Luton Town
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (8 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Clark (5 Assists)

Derby County - Luton Town Key Points

  1. The last five Luton Town games have all had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last six Luton Town away league matches.
  3. Three of the last four Derby County league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  4. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of Derby County's last ten home league fixtures.
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Our Derby County vs Luton Town Prediction

A loss for Luton Town in this match would be a disaster for them. This time last year they were in the Premier League but a second relegation in a row is a real possibility. They have improved their away form of late though so will present Derby with plenty of problems.

County really should have won at Portsmouth on Saturday. They have gone three league games without a win and can't afford to lose this. Our Derby County v Luton Town prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals to be scored

 
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Derby County vs Luton Town Prediction