Derby County vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Derby County slipped into the Championship relegation zone after a home loss on Wednesday. The Rams are 22nd in the table and Sunday sees them at home to 15th placed Birmingham City. The stats for recent games have led us to a prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
County have only four points from their six league games this season. Wednesday's 1-0 home loss to new leaders West Brom was their second straight league defeat. The Rams have only had one league win this term, a 2-0 away win at Portsmouth.
Home form has produced just one point. In their three home league games, there's been more than 2.5 goals in two of them.
Birmingham City have drawn four of their six league games this season. The other two have seen them win 2-1 at Wrexham, but lose by the same scoreline at Norwich on Wednesday evening. The Blues have scored eight league games, but conceded the same number.
Of their six league fixtures this season, four of them have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. This is a fixture that often sees a few goals scored. Seven of the last ten matches between Derby County and Birmingham City have seen more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Derby County v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.35 | 2.11 |
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3.41 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
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|
3.41 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.41 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.41 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Birmingham match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Derby County and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.92% for a win of Derby County against Birmingham with odds of 3.41 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Birmingham is 23.01% with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Derby County with odds of 2.18 at Roobet.
Derby County vs Birmingham Form
Derby County and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
|
22
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
Derby County and Birmingham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
6 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
28 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
28 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Derby County vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
30 Jan 2022 - Championship
10 Sept 2021 - Championship
24 Apr 2021 - Championship
19 Apr 2019 - Championship
Derby County vs Birmingham last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderR. Offor
M. Johnston
R. Nyambe
MidfielderO. Fraulo
J. Ward
ForwardH. Meister
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
B. Mayo
R. Allsop
DefenderD. Fry
E. Laird
L. Buchanan
A. Cochrane
MidfielderK. Fujimoto
ForwardM. Ducksch
L. Vasquez
Missing players
C. Forsyth
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
ForwardR. Brewster
P. Agyemang
M. Leonard
J. Solis
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Birmingham
S. Szmodics
(2 Goals)
P. Neumann
(2 Goals)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
P. Roberts
(2 Assists)
Derby County and Birmingham Stats in Championship
Derby County - Birmingham Key Points
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in two of the last three Derby home games.
- Seven of the last ten matches played between these two clubs has seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the six league games Birmingham has played this season.
- Two of Birmingham's three away league games saw more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Derby County vs Birmingham Prediction
Derby have struggled this season and will aim to avoid a third straight league defeat this Sunday. They slumped into the Championship relegation zone on goal difference after losing at home to West Brom on Wednesday evening. The Rams have gone five home league and cup games without a win.
Birmingham City lost their unbeaten league record in midweek with a loss to Norwich City. Four of their six league games this season have been drawn. Looking at the stats for recent games and previous meetings, our Derby v Birmingham prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
