Watford vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

Predictions Odds Live

England - Championship

Watford
12/09/2026 10:00
Stoke

Prediction :

 

Stoke wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

Two depleted sides, Watford and Stoke City, will lock horns at Vicarage Road on matchday seven of the Championship. The latter are the better side entering this clash with two wins in their last three league games; hence, our prediction is for a hard-fought Stoke City win.

Watford have a 2-2-2 record in the Championship this season. As a result, they find themselves sitting in 12th place with eight points and are three points behind second-placed West Ham.

The mood at Vicarage Road is positive as the Hornets picked up their second league win of the season. Their opponents were Preston North End, and second-half goals saw the team secure a 2-1 home win.

That result couldn't have come at a better time as it halted a five-match winless run. Additionally, they were on a two-match losing streak without scoring.

Stoke City, meanwhile, are in 16th place in the league table with seven points amassed. A three-point deficit separates them from sixth-placed Middlesbrough.

The Potters enter this clash after salvaging a point in a 1-1 away draw against Cardiff City. Despite that result, they remain in a buoyant mood given they've gone three games without defeat (W2, D1).

Their away performance has left much to be desired as they are winless in three games, recording two losses and a solitary draw.

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Watford v Stoke Best Betting Odds

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2.35 3.35 2.85
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2.36 3.34 2.91
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2.36 3.34 2.91
Betwinner
2.36 3.34 2.91
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2.35 3.34 2.92
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Stoke?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Stoke match is: Stoke wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Watford and Stoke in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.97% for a win of Watford against Stoke with odds of 2.4 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Stoke is 28% with odds of 3.4 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Watford with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.

Watford vs Stoke Form

Watford and Stoke's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Watford
8 6 2 2 2 -1
16 Stoke
7 6 2 1 3 -1

Watford and Stoke Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Preston North End

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  5
Peterborough

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford
L W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Preston North End

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  5
Peterborough

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  0
Crawley Town

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  1
Fiorentina
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnet
2 :  2
Watford

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
2 :  1
Watford

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Watford
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L D L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Stoke

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Stoke
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Norwich

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wolves
4 :  1
Stoke

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Hull

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Stoke
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Stoke
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Norwich

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Hull

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Swansea

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
2 :  0
Oldham Athletic

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia
L L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Stoke

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wolves
4 :  1
Stoke

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Stoke

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
Stoke

2 May 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Stoke

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Stoke

Watford vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

33 %

Draw

33 %

Stoke

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Watford

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Stoke

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Stoke

19 Aug 2023 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Watford
Watford vs Stoke Prediction

Watford vs Stoke last Lineups

Watford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
F. Ravaglia
23
O. Traore
6
M. Pollock
3
S. Coulibaly
4
K. Keben
39
E. Kayembe
5
H. Kyprianou
21
A. Nabizada
22
M. Payero
11
R. Vata
20
M. Doumbia
15
G. Hirst
9
R. Bozenik
21
L. Bombino
8
E. Galbraith
27
E. Djibril Soumare
13
J. Devenny
2
B. Johnson
5
L. Graham
40
M. Talovierov
16
B. Wilmot
1
V. Johansson

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Stoke

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

S. Walker

D. Bachmann

Defender

J. Zemura

A. Eames

Forward

S. Mavididi

I. Bravo

L. Kjerrumgaard

O. Maamma

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

J. Griffiths

Defender

F. Anderson

E. Bocat

Midfielder

B. Pearson

B. Jun-ho

T. Rigo

Forward

M. Cisse

J. McGlynn

M. Manhoef

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Defender

M. Bola

J. Ngakia

B. Mlacic

Midfielder

E. Bove

Forward

M. Boadu

K. Baah

Stoke
Stoke
Defender

A. Cresswell

B. Gibson

J. Tchamadeu

Midfielder

S. Ingelsson

B. Lawal

A. Ampah

Forward

S. Gallagher

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Stoke
Top Goalscorer
Afghanistan A. Nabizada (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland E. Galbraith (3 Goals)
Best assists
Germany O. Traore (1 Assists) , 
Spain I. Bravo (1 Assists)
Best assists
France E. Bocat (3 Assists)

Watford and Stoke Stats in Championship

Watford
Watford
Stoke
Stoke
33%
Wins
33%
33%
Losses
50%
33%
Draws
17%
2.17
Average goals per match
3.17
1
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.17
Goals conceded per match
1.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
0%
No goals conceded
33%
67%
BTTS
67%

Watford - Stoke Key Points

  1. Watford have lost two of their last three league games.
  2. Stoke City are unbeaten in their last three league games.
  3. Watford have won just one of their last three league meetings against Stoke City.
  4. Stoke City won 3-1 at home in their final Championship match last season.
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Our Watford vs Stoke Prediction

Watford have been performing much better at home this season, taking seven points from their last three games. However, they take on a side high on momentum and given that they were on a four-match winless run in the Championship, including two consecutive losses, it suggests confidence may be fragile despite their recent win.

Stoke shouldn't be written off from taking all three points on the road. The visitors are unbeaten in their last three games and have won two of those encounters. It's clear that they enter this clash carrying plenty of momentum. Our Watford vs Stoke City prediction: Stoke wins.

Prediction :

 

Stoke wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.