Denmark vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Parken Stadium in Copenhagen sets the stage for the UEFA Nations League Group A4 clash between Denmark and Portugal on Thursday evening. Five goals were scored in regulation time when these sides last met, and our prediction is that both teams will get on the scoresheet in this one.
The Red and Whites moved to third place in this group after picking up their first points of this Nations League campaign on Sunday by beating Wales at this venue. While Brian Riemer’s side are the underdogs in this encounter, they did beat Portugal here in Copenhagen when they met in the first leg of the 2024-25 UNL quarter-finals in March last year.
Seleção das Quinas, on the other hand, extended their lead at the top of the standings with a victory over Norway in Oslo on Sunday. However, the headlines from that match surrounded Jorge Jesus’ decision to leave Cristiano Ronaldo on the bench, and given the result, it will be interesting to see if the new boss recalls the global superstar to the starting lineup in this match. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Denmark v Portugal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.48 | 3.72 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.48 | 3.68 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.64 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.64 | 2.06 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Denmark and Portugal?
Our prediction for the Denmark vs Portugal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2026 between Denmark and Portugal in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.27% for a win of Denmark against Portugal with odds of 3.55 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Denmark vs Portugal is 31.85% with odds of 3.72 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Denmark with odds of 2.11 at 1xbet.
Denmark vs Portugal Form
Denmark and Portugal's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
Denmark and Portugal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Denmark vs Portugal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
Denmark - Portugal: Form Analysis
After a narrow 3-2 loss to Norway in their opening match of this competition, Denmark bounced back to winning ways with a commanding 2-0 victory over Wales at this venue on Sunday evening.
The Red and Whites dominated possession against the Dragons (62%) and recorded 47 touches in the opposition box but created only one big chance and finished with 1.39 xG at the final whistle.
This week’s hosts are now unbeaten in their last nine home matches across all competitions since November 2024 (W7 D2) and scored two or more goals in seven games during this period.
However, Denmark have only won one of their last five matches against Portugal (L4)!
Meanwhile, Portugal kicked off their Nations League title defence with a 1-0 victory over Wales and followed up with a hard-fought 2-1 win against Norway on Sunday to keep their perfect record intact.
Notably, Seleção das Quinas secured that victory over the Vikings despite being outdone in most statistical categories, including xG (2.52 to 1.04), possession (32%), and big chances created (6 to 3).
The visitors are now unbeaten in their last three away games, have lost just one of their last seven on the road (W5 D1), and scored two or more goals in each victory during this period.
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Denmark vs Portugal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Hermansen
A. Jungdal
DefenderL. Hogsberg
A. Gaaei
V. Bak
V. Nelsson
MidfielderA. Daghim
T. Jorgensen
V. Froholdt
M. Bidstrup
ForwardK. Hogh
M. Daramy
R. Silva
S. Soares
DefenderG. Inacio
D. Dalot
N. Tavares
T. Araujo
MidfielderR. Neves
B. Silva
Vitinha
ForwardCristiano Ronaldo
R. Leao
F. Trincao
Denmark & Portugal Squad Analysis
Reims’ Mohamed Daramy made a solid case for a starting berth in this match. He came off the bench against Wales and recorded 0.5 xG from a team-high five shots at goal and 13 touches in the opposition box.
Mikkel Damsgaard was once again the creative spark for the Danes last time out. The Brentford midfielder made two key passes and maintained a 100% conversion rate with his passes into the final third (26/26).
Winger Patrick Dorgu was forced off after suffering a muscle injury in the opening half hour of the match on Sunday evening, and he has now returned to Manchester United to begin rehabilitation.
Will CR7 return to the starting lineup for this match?
Jesus opted for a strike duo of Joao Felix and Goncalo Ramos ahead of Ronaldo against Norway on Sunday, and both players got on the scoresheet, which could prompt the new boss to maintain faith in them on Thursday.
Felix, in particular, has been in good form this season. He netted the winner in Portugal’s victory over Wales last week and now has nine goal contributions in his last 10 matches for club and country.
Bruno Fernandes was an unused substitute in the last match due to an ongoing injury. The Man United skipper is still listed as a doubt, but he was seen in full team training on Tuesday afternoon.
Most goals and assists
Denmark
Portugal
M. Damsgaard
(1 Goals)
,
R. Hojlund
(1 Goals)
,
G. Isaksen
(1 Goals)
Joao Felix
(2 Goals)
N. Mendes
(1 Assists)
,
P. Neto
(1 Assists)
Denmark and Portugal Stats in UEFA Nations League
Denmark - Portugal Key Points
- Six of Denmark’s last nine matches ended with both teams scoring.
- Denmark have scored two or more goals in seven of their last nine home matches.
- Denmark and Portugal recorded 1.39 and 1.04 xG in their last match, respectively.
- Five of Portugal’s last nine matches ended with both teams scoring.
- The last match between these sides ended 3-2 in regulation time.
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Our Denmark vs Portugal Prediction
While Denmark are the outsiders in this contest and have only won one of their last five matches against Portugal, they have been tough to overcome on their home patch of late, now unbeaten in their last nine home matches.
Despite being outdone in almost every statistical category, Portugal managed to grind out a victory against Norway and did so without Cristiano Ronaldo. This should be a close contest, and we fancy both sides to get on the scoresheet by the final whistle. Our Denmark vs Portugal prediction is BTTS.
Denmark vs Portugal Alternative Predictions
Portugal wins
Joao Felix 1+ shot on target
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Denmark vs Portugal - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Denmark and Portugal will be broadcast live on TV2 Play (Denmark) and Sport TV Portugal (Portugal). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
