Vuelta Cycling - Spanish tour 2025 Predictions & Betting tips

Discover our analysis of the Vuelta a España 2025, as well as the keys to successfully betting on the Spanish tour, and follow the advice of our cycling experts!

Presentation and predictions for the 2025 Spanish Tour - Cycling

Are you a cycling fan and do you follow the main stages of this race? Then you probably know that the Vuelta is one of the three big events on the stage calendar and that the Spanish round holds a highly-regarded place alongside the Tour de France and the Giro d'Italia.

Primoz Roglic, four-time winner of the Vuelta, including the last edition, will not be defending his red jersey for the 2025 Tour of Spain, having chosen to focus on the Giro d'Italia and the Tour de France. The race, which starts in Turin and finishes in Madrid, begins on 23 August and finishes on 14 September. In all, the riders will cover 3,151 kilometres in 21 stages.

So who are the favourites? What are the key factors in predicting the stage winners? We tell you everything on our page 100% dedicated to Tour of Spain predictions.

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Winner prediction: who will win La Vuelta 2025?

In the absence of defending champion Roglic and 2025 Tour de France winner Pogacar, Vingegaard is a logical favourite to win this year's Vuelta. Behind Pogacar, the Visma rider was a cut above all the other contenders during the Tour de France which has just finished. Not present at the Vuelta last year but second in 2023 with 2 stage wins under his belt, Jonas Vingegaard has a great opportunity to go for first place this year.

The UAE team will be his main threat, with the talented Juan Ayuso and João Almeida in ambush. But as we know, the Dane has the pedal to the metal and should not be underestimated in this 2025 Tour of Spain. The two-time champion can also count on solid support in the mountains (Matteo Jorgenson, Sepp Kuss...). Our LaVuelta a España 2025 prediction: Vingegaard wins!

La Vuelta a España odds: Who are the top favourites to win?

• Jonas Vingegaard - 1.33
• João Almeida - 6.00
• Juan Ayuso - 7.00
• Giulio Ciccone - 23.00
• Antonio Tiberi - 23.00
• Derek Gee - 29.00
• Egan Bernal - 41.00
• Giulio Pellizari - 41.00
• Ben O'Connor - 41.00
• Matteo Jorgenson - 51.00
• Jai Hindley - 51.00
• Felix Gall - 51.00

Odds found on Bet365.

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Route of the Spanish Tour 2025: the detailed route

The 80th edition of the Spanish race begins with a flat stage in Turin and finishes with a flat stage in Madrid. In between, the riders face four medium mountain stages, eight mountain stages and seven stages designed to give the sprinters a chance.

As is often the case in the Vuelta, the high mountain stages will make the difference in the race for the red jersey. This year, with so many mountain stages on offer, the climbers will be in for a treat, and the gaps in the overall classification are likely to be quite substantial. The race gets off to a gentle start with a mix of flat stages and the first few kilometres in the mountains.

The serious stuff starts in the second week with a series of high mountain stages. These are likely to be testing for the peloton, which will not be sparing its efforts. The most difficult and decisive stages are concentrated in the final week, with several summit finishes. The individual time trial could also play a role in the fight for overall victory and/or the podium. The Vuelta 2025 will give the sprinters a chance for the final stage in Madrid, on the Plaza de Cibeles. It's a great programme, and one that you're likely to enjoy right through to early September!

Here are the route details for La Vuelta 2025:

• Stage 1 (Saturday 23 August 2025) : Flat. Turin - Novara (183 km)
• Stage 2 (Sunday 24 August 2025): Mid mountain. Alba - Limone Piemonte (157 km)
• Stage 3 (Monday 25 August 2025): Accidental. San Maurizio Canavese - Ceres (139 km)
• Stage 4 (Tuesday 26 August 2025) : Accident. Susa - Voiron (192 km)
• Stage 5 (Wednesday 27 August 2025): Team time trial. Figueres - Figueres (20 km)
• Stage 6 (Thursday 28 August 2025): Mountain. Olot - Pal. Andorra (171 km)
• Stage 7 (Friday 29 August 2025): Mountain. Andorra la Vella - Cerler. Huesca la Magia (187 km)
• Stage 8 (Saturday 30 August 2025) : Flat. Monzon Templario - Zaragoza (158 km)
• Stage 9 (Sunday 31 August 2025): Mountain. Alfaro - Valdezcaray (195 km)
• Rest day (Monday 1 September 2025)
• Stage 10 (Tuesday 2 September 2025): Mountain. Sendaviva - El Ferial Larra Belagua (168 km)
• Stage 11 (Wednesday, 3 September 2025): Mid mountain. Bilbao - Bilbao (167 km)
• Stage 12 (Thursday 4 September 2025): Medium mountain. Laredo - Los Corrales de Buelna (143 km)
• Stage 13 (Friday 5 September 2025): Mountain. Cabezon de la Sal - L'Angliru (202 km)
• Stage 14 (Saturday 6 September 2025): Mountain. Aviles - Alto de la Farrapona (135 km)
• Stage 15 (Sunday 7 September 2025) : Accidental. A Veiga - Monforte de Lemos (167 km)
• Rest day (Monday 8 September 2025)
• Stage 16 (Tuesday 9 September 2025): Mid mountain. Poio - Mos. Castro de Herville (172 km)
• Stage 17 (Wednesday 10 September 2025): Mountain. O Barco de Valdeorras - Ponferrada (143 km)
• Stage 18 (Thursday, 11 September 2025): Individual time trial. Valladolid - Valladolid (26 km)
• Stage 19 (Friday, 12 September 2025) : Flat. Rueda - Guijuelo (159 km)
• Stage 20 (Saturday 13 September 2025): Mountain. Robledo de Chavela - Puerto de Navacerrada (159 km)
• Stage 21 (Sunday, 14 September 2025) : Flat. Alalpardo - Madrid (101 km)

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Beginner cycling bettors: how does La Vuelta work?

The Vuelta a España has definitely found its place in the cycling calendar between August and September. Along with the Tour de France and the Giro d'Italia, it is considered one of the most important stage races in the world.

The race is designed so that all cyclists have a chance, combining all types of stages: mountain, mid-mountain, flat and time trials. The Vuelta aims for a balanced and exciting calendar.

Despite this, its location in the year, very close to the end of the Tour, means that many of the participating teams do not confirm their riders until days before the race, depending on the state in which they have finished the Tour de France.

La Vuelta classification: how is it calculated?

The rider who takes the least time to complete La Vuelta a España is proclaimed the winner of the race. However, there is a caveat. In order to encourage the top finishers in the general ranking to also remain competitive in their pursuit of stage victories, the round awards 10 seconds, 6 seconds and 4 seconds to the first three finishers of each stage in line. Additionally, 3 seconds, 2 seconds and 1 second are awarded to the riders who arrive in the lead at each of the nine intermediate sprints and for each of the ten bonus sprints on ten mountain passes.

Since 2010, the leader's jersey, trousers and helmet of the cyclist at the top of the general ranking have been red. The blue dotted jersey belongs to the leader of the mountain classification, the green jersey belongs to the leader of the points classification and the white jersey belongs to the Best Young Rider.

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How to make good predictions on La Vuelta? 

Below we have laid out four keys that we will then go into detail about which can help you when it comes to making predictions about the Vuelta.

These four transcendental aspects should be factored into your analysis for each day of race:

• Taking into account the profile of the stage
• Keeping an eye on riders' current form
• Knowing the objectives of each rider and each team
• Knowing the weather conditions

Obviously, following these guidelines is not a guarantee of success, but it will significantly increase the chances of getting the winner of the stage right every day.

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Taking into account the profile of the stage

The type of stage (flat, time trial, mountain stage...) means that depending on the profile, the favourites will vary. If the stages are flat, that will favour the sprinters or the adventurers who try to ‘fish’ for a stage victory with an individual or collective breakaway. The time trials will be reserved for the specialists. And in the mountain stages, the strongest riders of La Vuelta will usually be present at the finish, because these are the days when the differences are the biggest and most important for the general ranking.

Keeping an eye on riders' current form

It is essential to be informed each day of what happened on the previous day. A cyclist who has suffered a breakdown one day and has lost a lot of time may be showing signs of weakness or a physical problem. However, another rider who has endured among the best in a difficult stage may have the strength to fight for the stage 24 hours later.

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Knowing the objectives of each rider and each team

Is the rider you are considering betting on aiming to finish atop the overall rankings or would they view a place on the podium to be just as good? Does that rider have a teammate who is better placed in the general rankings? There are many variables that change from day to day. A rider may be considered the leader of a team but a teammate may have a better shot in the overall rankings. Or if the stages go by and a team does not have a major contender in its ranks, it will predictably then focus on stage victories. In this way, that team will be less conservative than if they were thinking and planning for the long term.

Knowing the weather conditions

A rainy day can multiply the risk of crashes and will lead riders to be more conservative and  take fewer risks, which increases the chances of arriving in a pack. On the other hand, some riders are better able to withstand extremely hot conditions than others. With very high temperatures in mountain stages, the differences at the finish line are likely to be greater.

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What not to do when betting on La Vuelta

There are some general guidelines that should be followed in order to increase your chances of success when betting on La Vuelta a España 2025. Below are some habits you should avoid doing:

• Betting without studying the profile of the stage
• Betting only on famous riders
• Not comparing odds between sports betting sites
• Not paying attention to the general classification of the Vuelta
• Playing odds below 2.00 on risky stages
• Not taking into account the structure of the groups

By keeping these pitfalls in mind, as well as the advice given above, you're ready to maximise your results when betting on the Tour of Spain 2025. That's a real plus, and can make all the difference!

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In short: how to make the right La Vuelta 2025 predictions?

To recap, it's essential to understand the specifics of each stage in detail before validating a prediction on a stage of the Vuelta. Predicting the winner of a stage can be a challenge for many punters, which is why our cycling experts offer you their sports predictions on a daily basis throughout the competition.

With this in mind, don't hesitate to take advantage of the expertise of our cycling specialists on our site, free of charge. They'll help you make the right bets or give you ideas for your predictions. Happy betting on La Vuelta 2025!

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