Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United have made a promising start to the new Premier League season. After two games, they are sixth in the table and on Saturday are home to Bournemouth who are down in 14th. The Magpies have earned four points from their two games, while their opponents are yet to win. Our prediction here is a home win.
United could have been coming into this game with maximum points from their two opening fixtures. Only a late goal denied them a home win over Liverpool on the opening weekend of the season. They followed that with an impressive 2-0 win at Spurs. A win here will take them to the top of the Premier League, a great start for new coach Matthias Jaissle.
Bournemouth also have a new coach this season, but life under Marco Rose hasn't gone quite so well for the Cherries. Only a single point has been earned in their opening two matches. With a European campaign to deal with this season Bournemouth could have a difficult season if their slow start continues.
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Newcastle v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.16 | 3.75 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.59 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.60 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.60 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.50 | 3.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth match is: Newcastle wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Newcastle and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.39% for a win of Newcastle against Bournemouth with odds of 2.25 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 32.84% with odds of 3.76 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Newcastle with odds of 3.55 at 1xbet.
Newcastle - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 37.39% | 2.25 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.47% | 1.80 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 82.92% | |
| Half-time: Bournemouth / Full-time: Newcastle | 12.88% | 26.00 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form
Newcastle and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
|
15
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
Newcastle and Bournemouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Newcastle United will have been pleased with a return of four points from their first two league games. After losing some key players during the summer, the departure of Eddie Howe and no European football this season, there have been some worrying times for the club.
They so nearly got off to a perfect start with a home win over Liverpool. The Magpies led that opening fixture twice, but a 99th minute penalty meant they only earned a point. After a midweek win over West Brom in the Carabao Cup, United won 2-0 at Tottenham with both goals coming in the second half.
Last season saw Newcastle win ten home league games. They have scored eight goals in their last three home league fixtures.
Bournemouth finished sixth in the Premier League last season, six places and eight points above Newcastle. Like their opponents, the Cherries have a new coach, but it's been a bit of a struggle for them so far this term with only one point earned.
The Cherries can't keep a lead.
They led at Manchester City in their opening game, but conceded goals in the 84th and 91st minutes and returned home with a 2-1 loss. That ended a run of ten away league games without defeat. They also led last weekend, taking the lead at home to Everton. Again, they couldn't keep the lead and drew 1-1.
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Newcastle against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Pope
DefenderT. Livramento
F. Schar
MidfielderA. Bamba
J. Ramsey
J. Murphy
S. Steur
M. Fernandez-Pardo
B. Toure
M. Di Gregorio
DefenderJuanlu
J. Soler
B. Diakite
MidfielderR. Christie
L. Cook
D. Brooks
D. Jebbison
B. Gannon-Doak
Missing players
D. Burn
ForwardJoelinton
W. Osula
J. Araujo
MidfielderV. Milosavljevic
ForwardA. Adli
E. Kroupi
Newcastle & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
The transfer window was not an easy one for Newcastle United. The losses of Gordon and Guimaraes followed the departure of Isak a year ago. Not quite what United fans were hoping for when the club was taken over. The final days of the window did produce some better news with the signings of Fernandez-Pardo and Gonzalez.
The latter looks to be a good signing for the Magpies and made his debut last weekend against Spurs. Of their eight summer signings, Gonzalez is the only one who has joined them from an English club. The newcomers will need to settle into playing in the Premier League.
Bournemouth did amazingly well to finish a best ever sixth in the Premier League last season. This time last year there were concerns after the Cherries had sold some of their best players. Even the departure of Semenyo didn't stop them qualifying for Europe and they only missed out on Champions League qualification by three points
Good start to the season for Evanilson.
They will look for more assists from Evanilson. He assisted his teammates in both of the goals Bournemouth have scored this season..
The summer has seen them make just four new signings. A bit puzzling considering they have a Europa League campaign to deal with alongside their domestic matches. All of their new signings came from overseas with the most expensive being Antonio Silva from Benfica for £25.7 million.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Bournemouth
J. Willock
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Elanga
(2 Goals)
M. Tavernier
(4 Goals)
H. Barnes
(2 Assists)
Evanilson
(4 Assists)
Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points
- Newcastle have earned four points from their first two league games of the season.
- Newcastle have scored eight goals in their last three home league fixtures.
- Bournemouth have only earned one point from their first two league games of the new season.
- Newcastle have lost only one of their last seven league and cup games.
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Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
It's early days but Newcastle would love to go top of the Premier League on Saturday, even if it is only for a few hours. The summer saw some big departures and the early absence of Dan Burn through injury. Four points from two difficult games is a good start.
Bournemouth have just one point so far despite leading in both league games. With Brentford, Liverpool and Chelsea in their next three games, a poor start to the season is a possibility. Confidence will play a big role here and our main Newcastle v Bournemouth prediction is Newcastle wins.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
Evanilson scores or makes an assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Bournemouth
| Newcastle vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2.44 | 2.25 | -7.8% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.3% |
| Bournemouth wins | 2.88 | 3.55 | +23.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.0% and is now 44.4% (3.5%)
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
