Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
05/09/2026 04:30
Bournemouth

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Newcastle United have made a promising start to the new Premier League season. After two games, they are sixth in the table and on Saturday are home to Bournemouth who are down in 14th. The Magpies have earned four points from their two games, while their opponents are yet to win. Our prediction here is a home win.

United could have been coming into this game with maximum points from their two opening fixtures. Only a late goal denied them a home win over Liverpool on the opening weekend of the season. They followed that with an impressive 2-0 win at Spurs. A win here will take them to the top of the Premier League, a great start for new coach Matthias Jaissle.

Bournemouth also have a new coach this season, but life under Marco Rose hasn't gone quite so well for the Cherries. Only a single point has been earned in their opening two matches. With a European campaign to deal with this season Bournemouth could have a difficult season if their slow start continues.

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Newcastle v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.18 3.6 3.2
1xbet
2.22 3.82 3.31
Melbet
2.13 3.76 3.15
Betwinner
2.14 3.68 3.19
22bet
2.14 3.68 3.19
Check all Newcastle vs Bournemouth odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Bournemouth?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth match is: Newcastle wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Newcastle and Bournemouth in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.28% for a win of Newcastle against Bournemouth with odds of 2.22 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 32.85% with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Newcastle with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form

Newcastle and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Newcastle
4 2 1 1 0 +2
14 Bournemouth
1 2 0 1 1 -1

Newcastle and Bournemouth Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
L L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  1
Strasbourg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
3 :  1
Newcastle
W W L D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  1
Strasbourg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
3 :  0
Darlington

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
West Ham
L D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
3 :  1
Newcastle

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
Newcastle

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bristol City
4 :  1
Newcastle

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gateshead
1 :  1
Newcastle

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  0
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
100% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
2 :  2
Bournemouth

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
10 :  1
Genoa

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
5 :  2
Augsburg
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
4 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
10 :  1
Genoa

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
5 :  2
Augsburg

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
4 :  1
St. Pauli

19 May 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester City

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  0
Crystal Palace
W W D D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
2 :  2
Bournemouth

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Bournemouth

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

0 %

Draw

67 %

Bournemouth

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bournemouth

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

21 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  4
Bournemouth

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Newcastle

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Newcastle - Bournemouth: Form Analysis

Newcastle United will have been pleased with a return of four points from their first two league games. After losing some key players during the summer, the departure of Eddie Howe and no European football this season, there have been some worrying times for the club.

They so nearly got off to a perfect start with a home win over Liverpool. The Magpies led that opening fixture twice, but a 99th minute penalty meant they only earned a point. After a midweek win over West Brom in the Carabao Cup, United won 2-0 at Tottenham with both goals coming in the second half.

Last season saw Newcastle win ten home league games. They have scored eight goals in their last three home league fixtures.

Bournemouth finished sixth in the Premier League last season, six places and eight points above Newcastle. Like their opponents, the Cherries have a new coach, but it's been a bit of a struggle for them so far this term with only one point earned.

The Cherries can't keep a lead.

They led at Manchester City in their opening game, but conceded goals in the 84th and 91st minutes and returned home with a 2-1 loss. That ended a run of ten away league games without defeat.  They also led last weekend, taking the lead at home to Everton. Again, they couldn't keep the lead and drew 1-1.

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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction

Newcastle vs Bournemouth last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
L. Hornicek
37
A. Dedic
4
S. Botman
12
M. Thiaw
3
L. Hall
6
N. Gonzalez
67
L. Miley
19
A. Elanga
28
J. Willock
11
H. Barnes
9
Y. Wissa
9
Evanilson
16
M. Tavernier
19
J. Kluivert
37
Rayan
4
L. Cook
8
A. Scott
3
A. Truffert
5
J. Hill
14
A. Silva
15
A. Smith
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bournemouth

Substitutes

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

E. Jaouen

Defender

F. Schar

L. Shahar

Midfielder

A. Bamba

J. Murphy

J. Ramsey

S. Steur

Forward

N. Woltemade

B. Toure

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

M. Di Gregorio

Defender

J. Soler

B. Diakite

Midfielder

R. Christie

T. Adams

D. Brooks

Forward

A. Rodriguez

B. Gannon-Doak

D. Jebbison

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

D. Burn

T. Livramento

Forward

Joelinton

W. Osula

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

J. Araujo

Midfielder

V. Milosavljevic

Forward

A. Adli

E. Kroupi

Newcastle & Bournemouth Squad Analysis

The transfer window was not an easy one for Newcastle United. The losses of Gordon and Guimaraes followed the departure of Isak a year ago. Not quite what United fans were hoping for when the club was taken over. The final days of the window did produce some better news with the signings of Fernandez-Pardo and Gonzalez.

The latter looks to be a good signing for the Magpies and those two signings could well make their debuts this weekend. Of their eight summer signings, Gonzalez is the only one who has joined them from an English club. The newcomers will need to settle into playing in the Premier League.

Bournemouth did amazingly well to finish a best ever sixth in the Premier League last season. This time last year there were concerns after the Cherries had sold some of their best players. Even the departure of Semenyo didn't stop them qualifying for Europe and they only missed out on Champions League qualification by three points

Good start to the season for Evanilson.

They will look for more assists from Evanilson. He assisted his teammates in both of the goals Bournemouth have scored this season..

The summer has seen them make just four new signings. A bit puzzling considering they have a Europa League campaign to deal with alongside their domestic matches. All of their new signings came from overseas with the most expensive being Antonio Silva from Benfica for £25.7 million.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Bournemouth
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Elanga (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Tavernier (1 Goals) England A. Scott (1 Goals)
Best assists
Congo Y. Wissa (1 Assists)
Denmark W. Osula (1 Assists)
Bosnia and Herzegovina A. Dedic (1 Assists)
Germany N. Woltemade (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Evanilson (2 Assists)

Newcastle and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
50%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
50%
3
Average goals per match
2.5
2
Goals scored per match
1
1
Goals conceded per match
1.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
50%
BTTS
100%

Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points

  1. Newcastle have earned four points from their first two league games of the season.
  2. Newcastle have scored eight goals in their last three home league fixtures.
  3. Bournemouth have only earned one point from their first two league games of the new season.
  4. Newcastle have lost only one of their last seven league and cup games.
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Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction

It's early days but Newcastle would love to go top of the Premier League on Saturday, even if it is only for a few hours. The summer saw some big departures and the early absence of Dan Burn through injury. Four points from two difficult games is a good start.

Bournemouth have just one point so far despite leading in both league games. With Brentford, Liverpool and Chelsea in their next three games, a poor start to the season is a possibility. Confidence will play a big role here and our main Newcastle v Bournemouth prediction is Newcastle wins.

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins

 
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions

Evanilson scores or makes an assist

Odds 2.25
Evanilson has made a good start to the season and he already has two assists so far.
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth - FAQs

This is the first of the Premier League games to be played on Saturday September 5. It has a 12:30 kick-off - UK time.
This is the second home league game of the season for Newcastle. It'll be played at St James Park in Newcastle.
The subscription channel TNT Sports are the broadcaster of this match in the UK. If you want to follow all that's happening in this match, pay a visit to our Premier League livescore. You'll get help with any in-play bets by reading our live text commentary and continually updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.