Croatia vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The standout fixture in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday comes from Stadion HNK Rijeka, where Croatia will be playing host to England in Group A4. The Three Lions have won their last three matches against this opponent, and our prediction is that they will extend that record with another victory this weekend.
Slaven Bilić’s first home match in his second stint as head coach of Vatreni will come under unusual circumstances, with Croatian fans banned from attending this weekend’s fixture. The Checkered Ones were no match for Spain last time out and have not beaten England in regulation time since 2007 in the Euro qualifiers.
Thomas Tuchel notched up his first UNL victory as England boss in Prague on Tuesday night, and he will know that his side need another three points here to keep the pressure on La Roja at the top of the group standings. UEFA have allowed 100 travelling fans to attend this fixture, which could be a key factor for the visitors in this blockbuster matchup. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Croatia v England Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.93 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.84 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.84 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Croatia and England?
Our prediction for the Croatia vs England match is: England wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Croatia and England in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.79% for a win of Croatia against England with odds of 4.1 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Croatia vs England is 7.06% with odds of 3.93 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.15% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Croatia with odds of 1.93 at Tonybet.
Croatia vs England Form
Croatia and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Croatia and England Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Croatia vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2021 - Euro
18 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2018 - World Cup
Croatia - England: Form Analysis
After a solid 2-1 victory over the Czech Republic in their opening match of the Nations League, Croatia were blown away in Seville on Tuesday night, losing 4-1 to the reigning European and world champions.
Vatreni only managed 36% possession and 0.47 xG in that defeat to Spain. They have now won five and lost five of their last 10 matches, which included a 4-2 defeat to England at the 2026 World Cup.
However, the Checkered Ones have a good home record, with 10 wins posted in their last 14 matches on home soil across all competitions (D3 L1). Their sole loss in this time was against Belgium in a friendly back in June.
Croatia have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven home matches!
Meanwhile, after squandering a 2-1 lead to lose 3-2 to Spain in their opening match, England notched up their first win of the UNL on Tuesday night, beating the Czech Republic 2-0 on the road.
That result marked the first clean sheet the Three Lions kept since the group stage of the World Cup. They had 66% possession, 22 shots at goal, three big chances, and 1.48 xG by the final whistle in Prague.
Excluding the 2026 World Cup, this week’s visitors are riding an impressive eight-match win streak on the road since July 2024, and have kept clean sheets in six games during the winning run.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Croatia vs England last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Kotarski
I. Pandur
DefenderK. Jakic
L. Vuskovic
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
L. Modric
M. Pasalic
N. Vlasic
L. Sucic
M. Baturina
ForwardA. Budimir
A. Kramaric
J. Pickford
J. Steele
DefenderJ. Quansah
E. Konsa
MidfielderA. Scott
J. Bellingham
E. Eze
J. Garner
J. Branthwaite
M. Gibbs-White
ForwardR. Ngumoha
D. Calvert-Lewin
Croatia & England Squad Analysis
Dion Beljo has been in stunning form this season. The Dinamo Zagreb man netted Croatia’s only goal against Spain and now has an incredible 18 goal contributions in just 13 games for club and country this term.
Bilic has already said that the evergreen Luka Modric will not start all the games in this international window. The 41-year-old got just nine minutes off the bench in Seville, which possibly suggests that he was saved for this clash.
Josip Stanisic missed the last match due to an illness but could return to right-back here. Josip Juranovic and Martin Erlic withdrew in the lead-up to this competition with an Achilles and foot injury, respectively.
Harry Kane bagged a brace against Croatia at the World Cup in June this year!
Kane took his tally to 87 goals for England in Prague on Tuesday. The Three Lions skipper has now netted eight goals and provided two assists in his last seven matches for Bayern Munich and the national team.
After the victory over the Czechs, Tuchel mentioned that Jude Bellingham had “a little niggle” late on. Ezri Konsa and Nico O’Reilly both missed the game with muscle issues, and all three players are doubts for this weekend.
One player who is almost certain to start is Anthony Gordon. The Barcelona attacker has scored in both games for England in this competition and now has six goal contributions in his last eight starts for club and country.
Most goals and assists
Croatia
England
L. Modric
(1 Goals)
,
M. Pasalic
(1 Goals)
,
D. Beljo
(1 Goals)
H. Kane
(2 Goals)
,
A. Gordon
(2 Goals)
I. Perisic
(2 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(1 Assists)
,
N. O'Reilly
(1 Assists)
,
T. Alexander-Arnold
(1 Assists)
Croatia and England Stats in UEFA Nations League
Croatia - England Key Points
- Croatia have lost five of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Croatia have only kept one clean sheet in their last 12 matches.
- England have won nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
- England are on an eight-match win streak in away games.
- England have won their last three games against this opponent in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Croatia vs England Prediction
Croatia are a tough team to beat on their home patch, but they have failed to get the better of England in regulation time since 2007, and one major setback for them here is that they will not have their fans in the stands.
While this is listed as a behind-closed-doors fixture, England have been allowed 100 travelling fans in the stadium, and that will be a major boost for them. The Three Lions outclassed Vatreni at the 2026 World Cup back in June, and we fancy them to do so again in this match. Our Croatia vs England prediction is England wins.
Croatia vs England Alternative Predictions
Harry Kane to score or assist
Over 2.5 goals
Use £/€50 free bets for the Croatia vs. England game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Croatia and England? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Croatia vs England - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and England will be broadcast live on Gol (Croatia) and ITV1 (United Kingdom).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
