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England - Championship

Burnley
04/02/2025 14:45
Oxford United

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Burnley vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Sridhar in Championship Predictions

Burnley's push for a direct promotion spot pits against them mid-table Oxford in this matchday 31 meeting at Turf Moor. This EFL Championship match on Tuesday between the 3rd-placed Clarets and the 16th-placed U's comes with our prediction of being a low-scorer.

Burnley has 58 points and is three behind second-placed Sheffield United, while Oxford has 37 points and is seven behind playoff spots. The Clarets are coming off a 0-0 away draw at Portsmouth, which was their fifth draw in the last seven league matches.

The hosts haven't lost in 17 league matches and kept eight consecutive clean sheets in the competition. That remains their strong point as Burnley has nine clean sheets from their last 11 home Championship matches. That said, Burnley scored only 36 goals in this league campaign and will be keen to improve on that front.

Oxford drew 1-1 at home against Bristol City in their last match, extending their unbeaten run to nine league matches, winning five and drawing four. The challenge for the visitors is to improve on the defensive front, as they have already conceded 44 goals, and only five teams have conceded more this season.

That hasn't troubled Oxford on the road recently, as they have remained unbeaten across their last four away league matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Oxford United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 3.7 7.5
Betfred
1.53 3.75 7
Ladbrokes
1.83 2.5 6
1xbet
1.56 3.76 8.17
22bet
1.56 3.76 8.17
Betobet
1.55 3.9 6.5
Betwinner
1.49 4.04 7.4
LSbet
1.49 4.04 7.4
Stake
1.53 3.85 6.8
Melbet
1.5 3.98 7.3
Tonybet
1.49 4.2 7.8
Vbet
1.52 3.93 7.3
Betway
1.5 3.8 6.5
Unibet
1.5 3.75 7.5
Betfair
1.5 3.9 7.5
Betsson
1.46 4.13 7.81
William Hill
1.55 3.75 7
Check all Burnley vs Oxford United odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Oxford United?

Our prediction for the Burnley vs Oxford United match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/02/2025 between Burnley and Oxford United in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.02% for a win of Burnley against Oxford United with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Oxford United is 58.16% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Burnley with odds of 8.17 at 1xbet.

Burnley - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:

Burnley Oxford United Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 58.16% 4.2 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 70.38% 2.21 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 37.5% 2.38 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 35.17% 5 at Bet365

Burnley vs Oxford United Form

Burnley and Oxford United's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Burnley
Burnley
64 32 17 13 2 30
16
Oxford United
Oxford United
38 32 9 11 12 -11

Burnley and Oxford United Last Matches

Burnley
Burnley Last matches
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley

28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Barnsley FC
0 :  4
Burnley

27 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  5
Burnley

21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
5 :  0
Peterborough United

17 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland
W D L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
5 :  0
Peterborough United

17 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Sunderland

7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  1
Sheffield United

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Stoke

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley

28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League

Barnsley FC
0 :  4
Burnley

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  5
Burnley

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Reading
1 :  3
Burnley

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
Burnley

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley
Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
L D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Bristol City

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Oxford United

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
3 :  2
Luton Town

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

14 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  1
Oxford United

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Exeter City
3 :  1
Oxford United
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Bristol City

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
3 :  2
Luton Town

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  0
Plymouth

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
3 :  2
Cardiff

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday
L W D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Oxford United

14 Jan 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  1
Oxford United

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Exeter City
3 :  1
Oxford United

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Oxford United

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Oxford United

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Oxford United

Burnley vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

28 Sep 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  0
Burnley
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Burnley against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Trafford
14
C. Roberts
6
C. Egan-Riley
5
M. Esteve
12
B. Humphreys
24
J. Cullen
29
J. Laurent
11
J. Anthony
28
H. Mejbri
17
L. Foster
19
Z. Flemming
50
T. Bradshaw
19
T. Goodhram
18
A. Matos
7
P. Placheta
8
C. Brannagan
4
W. Vaulks
22
G. Leigh
3
C. Brown
47
M. Helik
2
S. Long
1
J. Cumming

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Oxford United

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Oxford United
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Jamaica G. Leigh (5 Goals) Wales M. Harris (5 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Anthony (4 Assists)
Best assists
England C. Brannagan (4 Assists)

Burnley - Oxford United Key Points

  1. Burnley saw under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last eight league matches.
  2. Burnley kept a clean sheet in their last eight league matches in a row.
  3. Ten of Burnley’s last 11 home Championship matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
  4. The reverse fixture ended in a 0-0 draw.
  5. Seven of Oxford’s last eight Championship matches saw two or fewer goals scored.
  6. In eight of Oxford’s last ten Championship away matches, there have been under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Burnley vs Oxford United Prediction

Burnley are coming off consecutive 0-0 draws, perhaps a disappointing sequence in their quest for direct promotion. The Clarets still have a remarkable defensive record this season, conceding just nine goals so far. That could pose problems for an Oxford side that has failed to score in six of their last nine away league matches. The visitors have one of the worst scoring records on the road this season, and there could be another low-scoring result on offer here. That's why our Burnley v Oxford prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Oxford United

Burnley vs Oxford United Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burnley wins 1.38 1.5 +8.7%
Draw 4.2 3.7 -11.9%
Oxford United wins 10 7.5 -25.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 27.0% (3.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Oxford United Prediction
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