Derby County vs West Brom Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
09/09/2026 14:45
West Brom

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions

Derby County returns home to take on West Bromwich Albion, seeking a response after the heavy loss in the last outing. Fifth-placed, West Brom are just a stone's throw from the Championship summit, while Derby are a point above the drop zone. Our prediction here is for a big contest, with Derby searching for a first home win and West Brom a first win in nine against Derby.

The stakes here push us towards the goals market. Derby haven’t lost to West Brom in eight matches across all competitions.

They will see this as the perfect chance to better their season and also to respond to their 3-0 loss to West Ham United last time out.  Their decline, however, doesn’t offer a lot of guarantee, and a growing injury list has worsened things.

While the Rams suffered at the hands of West Ham, West Brom recovered from their own three-game winless run with a 1-0 win at Watford.

It was a massive step towards reaching their ambitions, as they had earlier forced a 1-1 draw with Charlton. This win pushed them to 10 points, just one behind the leaders, Swansea.

With three wins in five, a confident Baggies side can only worry about their defensive output. They have conceded six times in their opening five games.

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Derby County v West Brom Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.9 3.3 2.32
1xbet
2.89 3.42 2.33
Melbet
2.89 3.42 2.33
Betwinner
2.9 3.42 2.33
22bet
2.91 3.42 2.32
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and West Brom?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs West Brom match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Derby County and West Brom in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.22% for a win of Derby County against West Brom with odds of 3 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs West Brom is 15.93% with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 59.84% chance ⭐ for a win of West Brom vs Derby County with odds of 2.47 at Shangrila.

Derby County vs West Brom Form

Derby County and West Brom's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 West Brom
10 5 3 1 1 +2
20 Derby County
4 5 1 1 3 -5

Derby County and West Brom Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  2
Valencia

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  3
Freiburg

2 May 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield United
W L D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mansfield Town
1 :  3
Derby County
West Brom
West Brom Last matches
W W L L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
West Brom

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

23 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  1
Burnley

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
West Brom
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

23 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  1
Burnley

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

West Brom
4 :  1
Bromley

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Ipswich Town

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Watford
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
West Brom

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
West Brom

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Rotherham
1 :  4
West Brom

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Peterborough
0 :  2
West Brom

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Shrewsbury Town
1 :  4
West Brom

Derby County vs West Brom Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

67 %

Draw

33 %

West Brom

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Derby County

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

West Brom
1 :  1
Derby County

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  3
Derby County

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
West Brom

27 Dec 2021 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
West Brom
Derby County vs West Brom Prediction

Derby County vs West Brom last Lineups

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
6
S. Langas
24
R. Nyambe
28
D. Sanderson
18
C. Taylor
29
O. Fraulo
20
A. Mowatt
26
R. Hedges
19
H. Meister
10
R. Brewster
11
S. Szmodics
11
J. Morgan
19
A. Heggebo
21
I. Price
17
O. Diakite
20
R. Nzingoula
29
H. Whitwell
4
C. Styles
6
G. Campbell
2
C. Mepham
25
N. Galves
1
M. O'Leary

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

West Brom

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

R. Offor

M. Johnston

Midfielder

J. Ward

B. Clark

D. Ozoh

Forward

L. Salvesen

C. Blackett-Taylor

M. Fuseini

West Brom
West Brom
Goalkeeper

M. Ingram

Defender

B. Pereira

N. Phillips

C. Townsend

Midfielder

T. Collyer

J. Molumby

F. Myhre

Forward

B. Stewart

K. Tunde

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

M. Clarke

D. Murkin

Forward

P. Agyemang

West Brom
West Brom
Forward

T. Bany

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato West Brom
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Morgan (3 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Clark (2 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Morgan (2 Assists)

Derby County and West Brom Stats in Championship

Derby County
Derby County
West Brom
West Brom
20%
Wins
60%
60%
Losses
20%
20%
Draws
20%
3
Average goals per match
2.8
1
Goals scored per match
1.6
2
Goals conceded per match
1.2
20%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
20%
No goals conceded
20%
40%
BTTS
80%

Derby County - West Brom Key Points

  1. Four of Derby’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Both scored in four of these teams’ last five meetings.
  3. Three of West Brom’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  4. 14 goals were scored in Derby’s last five home games.
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Our Derby County vs West Brom Prediction

Our prediction for Derby County v West Bromwich is for BTTS & over 2.5 goals. Derby County have the chance to go for a first home win of the season and will be favored by their performance in this particular fixture.

The Rams haven’t tasted defeat against the Baggies in the last eight meetings. With their recent performances, however, extending that run might be tough. West Brom are coming off a win that broke their three-match winless run and will be confident here as well. With clean sheets being few in the two sides’ matches, we will back the same here.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.