Derby County vs West Brom Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Derby County returns home to take on West Bromwich Albion, seeking a response after the heavy loss in the last outing. Fifth-placed, West Brom are just a stone's throw from the Championship summit, while Derby are a point above the drop zone. Our prediction here is for a big contest, with Derby searching for a first home win and West Brom a first win in nine against Derby.
The stakes here push us towards the goals market. Derby haven’t lost to West Brom in eight matches across all competitions.
They will see this as the perfect chance to better their season and also to respond to their 3-0 loss to West Ham United last time out. Their decline, however, doesn’t offer a lot of guarantee, and a growing injury list has worsened things.
While the Rams suffered at the hands of West Ham, West Brom recovered from their own three-game winless run with a 1-0 win at Watford.
It was a massive step towards reaching their ambitions, as they had earlier forced a 1-1 draw with Charlton. This win pushed them to 10 points, just one behind the leaders, Swansea.
With three wins in five, a confident Baggies side can only worry about their defensive output. They have conceded six times in their opening five games.
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Derby County v West Brom Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 | 3.25 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.37 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.28 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.33 | 3.36 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.28 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and West Brom?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs West Brom match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Derby County and West Brom in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.99% for a win of Derby County against West Brom with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs West Brom is 16.78% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.23% chance ⭐ for a win of West Brom vs Derby County with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.
Derby County - West Brom Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County West Brom Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom wins | 59.23% | 2.23 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.39% | 2.08 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: West Brom | 26.97% | 5.50 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs West Brom Form
Derby County and West Brom's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 |
|
23
|
7 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 |
Derby County and West Brom Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Derby County vs West Brom Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
Derby County against West Brom Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderM. Johnston
R. Nyambe
R. Offor
MidfielderJ. Ward
O. Fraulo
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
H. Meister
L. Salvesen
B. Cisse
DefenderN. Galves
C. Mepham
C. Townsend
T. Collyer
R. Nzingoula
F. Myhre
ForwardK. Tunde
B. Stewart
Missing players
C. Forsyth
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
ForwardP. Agyemang
M. Johnston
Most goals and assists
Derby County
West Brom
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Clark
(3 Goals)
A. Heggebo
(4 Goals)
, 
I. Price
(4 Goals)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
J. Morgan
(3 Assists)
Derby County - West Brom Key Points
- Four of Derby’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both scored in four of these teams’ last five meetings.
- Three of West Brom’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 14 goals were scored in Derby’s last five home games.
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Our Derby County vs West Brom Prediction
Our prediction for Derby County v West Bromwich is for BTTS & over 2.5 goals. Derby County have the chance to go for a first home win of the season and will be favored by their performance in this particular fixture.
The Rams haven’t tasted defeat against the Baggies in the last eight meetings. With their recent performances, however, extending that run might be tough. West Brom are coming off a win that broke their three-match winless run and will be confident here as well. With clean sheets being few in the two sides’ matches, we will back the same here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County West Brom
| Derby County vs West Brom | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.29 | 3.52 | +53.7% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.40 | +1.5% |
| West Brom wins | 2.97 | 2.23 | -24.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- West Brom is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 24.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.7% and is now 44.8% (11.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
