Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
The league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League (UCL) starts for Borussia Dortmund with a matchday one fixture against Villarreal, a side they threatened last season. This match on Tuesday in Dortmund between the 'Prussians' and the 'Yellow Submarine' is likely to be a tough outing for the Spanish club, with our prediction backing a home win.
Dortmund are in their 11th successive season of the UCL and have made it to the knockout play-off stage last term. Having started their season positively, winning the first game of this competition could be critical to their hopes of going deep in this tournament.
Villarreal are making their sixth appearance in this competition and second in a row. They didn't have great memories of last season, though, getting knocked out of the league phase itself. They had one point from eight matches, but can they change that this time? Read more in our analysis, team news, and match predictions on how we rate these two sides.
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Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.78 | 4 | 4.2 |
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1.8 | 4.23 | 4.28 |
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1.75 | 4.1 | 4.16 |
|
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1.75 | 4.1 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.74 | 4.16 | 4.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.91% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Villarreal with odds of 1.8 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal is 22.92% with odds of 4.23 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Form
Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 May 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies
Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal: Form Analysis
Dortmund were 2-0 down against Hoffenheim at the weekend in the Bundesliga but came storming back to win 3-2. It was a third win in a row in all competitions for the 'Prussians', two of those came with a clean sheet.
The Germans had a middling campaign in the league phase of this competition last season, winning three of their eight matches (D2, L3), although two of those victories have come at this venue.
Dortmund have 17 wins from their last 23 UCL home games!
Villarreal's current form doesn't raise hopes of changing that record, as they are winless in competitive action this season (D2, L2). Both defeats have come in a row, including a 3-2 loss to promoted Deportivo A Coruna at the weekend in La Liga.
Last season in the UCL league phase, Villarreal started with a 1-0 loss to Spurs and went on to lose seven of their eight games at this stage (D1). Their away form is even worse, as the 'Yellow Submarine' lost each of their last five away UCL games without scoring.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderL. Reggiani
K. Prates
MidfielderM. Sabitzer
J. Veerman
C. Chukwuemeka
ForwardE. Nwaneri
F. Silva
M. Albert
R. Gomez
P. Gulacsi
DefenderP. Navarro
S. Mourino
MidfielderA. Diatta
C. Macia
S. Comesana
ForwardT. Oluwaseyi
I. Akhomach
G. Mikautadze
T. Buchanan
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
MidfielderE. Can
G. Konstantelias
J. Lerma
M. Kaba
Borussia Dortmund & Villarreal Squad Analysis
Dortmund have a lengthy absence list with the likes of Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, and Samuele Inacio, among others, unavailable for this match. Summer signing Giannis Konstantelias is out for several months with a cruciate ligament injury, prompting the signing of Ethan Nwaneri on loan from Arsenal.
The hosts could stick to their 3-4-2-1 formation with the pacey Guinea forward Serhou Guirassy leading the line. He comes with two goals in his two competitive outings today, besides assisting once at the weekend.
Guirassy scored a brace against Villarreal last season at this stage!
Villarreal have no injury concerns, and coach Inigo Perez has a full squad to choose from. That is a welcome relief as he looks to weave his way out for the club to improve on last season's UCL results.
Their 4-4-2 formation could see Ayoze Perez and Gerard Moreno lead the line, as they look to score their first away goals in this competition after failing in their last five such trips. That could depend on Nicolas Pepe, with the Ivory Coast forward scoring two goals in four competitive games this season.
Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal Key Points
- Dortmund have won eight of their last ten home games at this venue.
- Dortmund have won three of their last five home matches in the UCL competition.
- Villarreal lost four of their last seven competitive games, winning just once.
- Villarreal lost their last six Champions League matches.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction
Dortmund and Villarreal couldn't have come into this game in more contrasting forms. Three wins in a row, including a stunning comeback at the weekend, is a sign of Dortmund's strengths. Villarreal are at the opposite end of the spectrum, losing their last two in a row. They also have bad memories of playing here last season, getting thrashed 4-0.
Will history repeat? Villarreal's form on the road in this competition has been way below par, and that's likely to continue. That's why our Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Alternative Predictions
Serhou Guirassy to Score 2 or More Goals
Serhou Guirassy made a cracking start to this campaign, scoring in both the league games he played. He also scored a brace against Villarreal in this fixture last season. Back Guirassy to repeat that feat.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal - FAQs
The Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ and Prime Video in the United Kingdom. In Germany also, Paramount+ and Prime Video are the official broadcasters, while in Spain, Movistar Plus and RTVE will stream the match.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
Dortmund will play Bodo/Glimt (away), Sabah (away), Real Betis (home), Arsenal (away), Inter Milan (home), Aston Villa (away), and AEK Athens (home).
Villarreal will play Napoli (home), Liverpool (away), PSG (home), Slavia Prague (away), Sabah (home), Fenerbahce (away), and Manchester United (home).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
