Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
08/09/2026 13:45
Swansea

Prediction :

 

Draw or Swansea

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

Southampton have drawn their past two games following successive victories in the opening weeks of the season. They now host a Swansea side sitting atop the EFL Championship table and unbeaten in five league games. The match promises a lot of excitement and so our Southampton vs Swansea match prediction is a win or draw for the away side.

The Swans drew their last EFL Championship league game 0-0 when they played Wrexham at home. Their defence has been impressive, conceding one goal in five league games. They have been prolific at the other end, scoring at a rate of 1.4 goals per game. 

19th-placed Southampton, meanwhile, have struggled in its past two games, only managing back-to-back draws. Its last match was a 1-1 draw at Lincoln. The team has also conceded one goal in each of its five league games. Against a Saints side that is yet to get a clean sheet in 5 games, Swansea will be confident they can come out on top in the next H2H2. 

On the other end, Swansea’s defence, which has been solid enough to top the league table, will be a tough nut to crack at the St Mary’s Stadium. With the Swans heading into this fixture on a string of form and at a time when Southampton is struggling for goals, we expect the Swans to win or draw the game.

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Southampton v Swansea Best Betting Odds

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1.85 3.65 3.85
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Swansea?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Swansea match is: Draw or Swansea wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2026 between Southampton and Swansea in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.05% for a win of Southampton against Swansea with odds of 1.9 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Swansea is 28.8% with odds of 3.74 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Southampton with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.

Southampton vs Swansea Form

Southampton and Swansea's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Swansea
11 5 3 2 0 +6
19 Southampton
4 5 2 2 1 +5

Southampton and Swansea Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Lincoln City
1 :  1
Southampton

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  1
Millwall

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
West Ham

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Stoke

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton
D D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  1
Millwall

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
West Ham

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Stoke

12 May 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

28 Apr 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  2
Bristol City
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Lincoln City
1 :  1
Southampton

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Colchester
0 :  2
Southampton

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

SC Preussen 06 Munster
1 :  2
Southampton

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Braunschweig
0 :  1
Southampton
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L W D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Wrexham

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Sheffield United

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Swansea

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham
W W L D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Wrexham

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Sheffield United

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
1 :  0
Leganés

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  0
Udinese
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Swansea

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bochum
2 :  0
Swansea

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Swansea

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Swansea

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  1
Swansea

Southampton vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

83 %

Draw

17 %

Swansea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Southampton

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Swansea

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  3
Southampton

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  0
Swansea

8 Jan 2022 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  3
Southampton
Southampton vs Swansea Prediction

Southampton vs Swansea last Lineups

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

5
J. Stephens
27
K. Matsuki
30
J. Ward Prowse
14
J. Bree
9
C. Larin
1
D. Peretz
4
F. Downes
13
K. Schlotterbeck
10
F. Azaz
34
Welington
7
L. Scienza
10
E. Ji-sung
33
A. Idah
49
M. Yeo
46
S. Eustaquio
4
J. Fulton
7
M. Widell
14
J. Tymon
23
S. Welsh
26
F. Lissah
2
J. Key
22
L. Vigouroux

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Swansea

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

G. Long

Defender

Z. Abbott

N. Wood

Midfielder

C. Bragg

T. Fellows

R. Manning

Forward

D. Mubama

L. Dobbin

S. Edozie

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

A. Fisher

Defender

B. Cabango

J. Seelt

T. Parente

Midfielder

E. Just

M. Stamenic

R. Pereira Martins

Forward

J. Opoku

Z. Vipotnik

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Midfielder

C. Jander

Swansea
Swansea
Defender

C. Burgess

B. Cabango

Midfielder

G. Franco

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Swansea
Top Goalscorer
Canada C. Larin (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland A. Idah (2 Goals) Ghana J. Opoku (2 Goals) South Korea E. Ji-sung (2 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (2 Assists)
Brazil L. Scienza (2 Assists)
Best assists
South Korea E. Ji-sung (2 Assists)

Southampton and Swansea Stats in Championship

Southampton
Southampton
Swansea
Swansea
40%
Wins
60%
20%
Losses
0%
40%
Draws
40%
3.4
Average goals per match
1.6
2.2
Goals scored per match
1.4
1.2
Goals conceded per match
0.2
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
0%
No goals conceded
80%
100%
BTTS
20%

Southampton - Swansea Key Points

  1. Southampton sit in 19th place with four points after five games
  2. Swansea are top of the table, with 11 points from five games.
  3. The Swans have conceded one goal in their first five EFL Championship games.
  4. The Saints have picked up eight points but have also faced a four-point deduction in the EFL.
  5. Swansea has scored at a rate of 1.4 goals per game.
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Our Southampton vs Swansea Prediction

Southampton's struggle for goals comes at a time when Swansea’s defence has only conceded one goal in five games. A dominant Swansea, which tops the Championship table, will now travel to St Mary’s Stadium with its unbeaten run intact. 

We expect The Swans to remain unbeaten, either defeating The Saints or holding them to a draw. All numbers indicate a strong performance for Swansea. Hence our Southampton vs Swansea match prediction is Draw or Swansea wins.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Swansea

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.