Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Bulgaria face a difficult home game against Estonia on matchday two of group C4 in League C of the UEFA Nations League (UNL). This match at Stadion Hristo Botev in Plovdiv on Tuesday between the fourth-placed ‘Lions’ and the second-placed ‘Blueshirts’ could throw some intrigue with BTTS as our match prediction.
After matchday one, Bulgaria are bottom of the standings, being the only side to lose. Estonia have one point and are second.
Bulgaria took an 18th-minute lead against Luxembourg on matchday one but failed to sustain it and lost 2-1 last weekend. That result made it three games without a win (D1, L2) for the Bulgarians. It also kept them winless in four UNL games (D1, L3), including three defeats in a row.
The concerns for Bulgaria extend at home, as they were beaten in four of their last five home fixtures (W1). Even in the UNL, Bulgaria are winless in their last four home games (D2, L2).
Estonia needed a 64th-minute goal to win away at Iceland to start with a draw. It kept them unbeaten in five of their last six matches (W4, D1), one of those coming via penalties.
The visitors lost four of six games in the previous UNL campaign (W1, D1) and are also winless in their last four away UNL fixtures (D2, L2), putting pressure to deliver here.
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Bulgaria v Estonia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.64 | 3.5 | 5.6 |
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1.67 | 3.76 | 6.01 |
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1.65 | 3.66 | 5.75 |
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1.65 | 3.66 | 5.75 |
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1.65 | 3.4 | 6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Estonia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Bulgaria and Estonia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.87% for a win of Bulgaria against Estonia with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Estonia is 26.4% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Bulgaria with odds of 6.01 at 1xbet.
Bulgaria vs Estonia Form
Bulgaria and Estonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Bulgaria and Estonia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Bulgaria vs Estonia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bozhev
D. Mitov
DefenderS. Velkov
C. Stoyanov
A. Hristov
MidfielderY. Stoyanov
K. Balov
P. Panayotov
M. Minchev
A. Kraev
ForwardM. Petkov
S. Ivanov
Andre Karl Vallner
M. Igonen
DefenderF. Liivak
J. Tamm
E. Tougjas
J. Saliste
MidfielderM. Soomets
M. Miller
M. Skvortsov
P. Kristal
ForwardR. Saarma
M. Mannilaan
Most goals and assists
Bulgaria and Estonia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria - Estonia Key Points
- Six of Bulgaria’s last eight designated home games have produced BTTS.
- Bulgaria’s last four UNL matches have all seen both teams score.
- Six of Estonia’s last nine matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams scored in six of Estonia’s last seven UNL matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction
Bulgaria narrowly missed out on promotion in the last UNL edition and started this campaign with a defeat. With eight defeats from their last ten competitive matches, they have struggled for impact lately. As for Estonia, four wins from their last six matches, including a draw on matchday one, put them on a strong wicket compared to their hosts.
This is the first head-to-head match between these sides since 2011, which ended in a 2-2 draw. Going by Bulgaria’s recent home results, our Bulgaria vs Estonia prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.