Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
29/09/2026 14:45
Estonia

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Bulgaria face a difficult home game against Estonia on matchday two of group C4 in League C of the UEFA Nations League (UNL). This match at Stadion Hristo Botev in Plovdiv on Tuesday between the fourth-placed ‘Lions’ and the second-placed ‘Blueshirts’ could throw some intrigue with BTTS as our match prediction.

After matchday one, Bulgaria are bottom of the standings, being the only side to lose. Estonia have one point and are second.

Bulgaria took an 18th-minute lead against Luxembourg on matchday one but failed to sustain it and lost 2-1 last weekend. That result made it three games without a win (D1, L2) for the Bulgarians. It also kept them winless in four UNL games (D1, L3), including three defeats in a row.

The concerns for Bulgaria extend at home, as they were beaten in four of their last five home fixtures (W1). Even in the UNL, Bulgaria are winless in their last four home games (D2, L2).

Estonia needed a 64th-minute goal to win away at Iceland to start with a draw. It kept them unbeaten in five of their last six matches (W4, D1), one of those coming via penalties.

The visitors lost four of six games in the previous UNL campaign (W1, D1) and are also winless in their last four away UNL fixtures (D2, L2), putting pressure to deliver here.

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Bulgaria v Estonia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.64 3.5 5.6
1xbet
1.67 3.76 6.01
Melbet
1.65 3.66 5.75
Betwinner
1.65 3.66 5.75
Bet365
1.65 3.4 6
Check all Bulgaria vs Estonia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Estonia?

Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Estonia match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Bulgaria and Estonia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.87% for a win of Bulgaria against Estonia with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Estonia is 26.4% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Bulgaria with odds of 6.01 at 1xbet.

Bulgaria vs Estonia Form

Bulgaria and Estonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Estonia
1 1 0 1 0 0
4 Bulgaria
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Bulgaria and Estonia Last Matches

Bulgaria
Bulgaria Last matches
W W W L D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Luxembourg

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia
D L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Luxembourg

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
0 :  3
Spain

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
2 :  2
Cyprus
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Spain
4 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Georgia
3 :  0
Bulgaria
Estonia
Estonia Last matches
W D L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Kenya
1 :  1
Estonia

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  1
Moldova

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Estonia
0 :  0
Andorra

9 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
0 :  1
Norway
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Kenya
1 :  1
Estonia

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia
Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction

Bulgaria vs Estonia last Lineups

Bulgaria

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
D. Naumov
19
I. Turitsov
5
K. Dimitrov
15
T. Valentinov Ivanov
21
D. Velkovski
6
E. Tsenov
4
I. Gruev
14
A. Chandarov
11
G. Rusev
20
L. Petkov
10
Z. Dimitrov
9
K. Mustmaa
11
M. Ainsalu
20
M. Poom
10
K. Palumets
4
M. Kait
19
M. Schjonning-Larsen
18
K. Mets
2
M. Kuusk
6
R. Peetson
3
M. Paskotsi
1
K. Hein

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Estonia

Substitutes

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Goalkeeper

A. Bozhev

D. Mitov

Defender

S. Velkov

C. Stoyanov

A. Hristov

Midfielder

Y. Stoyanov

K. Balov

P. Panayotov

M. Minchev

A. Kraev

Forward

M. Petkov

S. Ivanov

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

Andre Karl Vallner

M. Igonen

Defender

F. Liivak

J. Tamm

E. Tougjas

J. Saliste

Midfielder

M. Soomets

M. Miller

M. Skvortsov

P. Kristal

Forward

R. Saarma

M. Mannilaan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bulgaria
CD Huachipato Estonia
Top Goalscorer
Bulgaria A. Chandarov (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Estonia M. Paskotsi (1 Goals)
Best assists
Bulgaria D. Velkovski (1 Assists)
Best assists
Estonia R. Peetson (1 Assists)

Bulgaria and Estonia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Estonia
Estonia
0%
Wins
0%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
100%
3
Average goals per match
2
1
Goals scored per match
1
2
Goals conceded per match
1
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
100%

Bulgaria - Estonia Key Points

  1. Six of Bulgaria’s last eight designated home games have produced BTTS.
  2. Bulgaria’s last four UNL matches have all seen both teams score.
  3. Six of Estonia’s last nine matches have seen both teams score.
  4. Both teams scored in six of Estonia’s last seven UNL matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction

Bulgaria narrowly missed out on promotion in the last UNL edition and started this campaign with a defeat. With eight defeats from their last ten competitive matches, they have struggled for impact lately. As for Estonia, four wins from their last six matches, including a draw on matchday one, put them on a strong wicket compared to their hosts.

This is the first head-to-head match between these sides since 2011, which ended in a 2-2 draw. Going by Bulgaria’s recent home results, our Bulgaria vs Estonia prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.